Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Ciudad de Lucena | 8 | 15 | 9.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 13 | +1.3 | +3.2 | 0:1 vs Xerez CD (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Tenerife B (-1.4) |
2 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 8 | 13 | 8.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 17 | +2.5 | +2.1 | 1:3 vs Tenerife B (+2.2) | 2:2 vs Sanluqueno (-0.1) |
3 | CD Badajoz | 8 | 15 | 11.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 6 | +2.5 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs Xerez CD (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Betis B (-1.3) |
4 | Don Benito | 8 | 14 | 10.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 9 | +3.6 | -0.2 | 1:2 vs Antoniano (+1.8) | 4:2 vs Ciudad de Lucena (-1.1) |
5 | Linares | 8 | 12 | 8.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 15 | -0.5 | +2.8 | 1:4 vs CD Estepona (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Las Palmas B (-1.7) |
6 | Recreativo Huelva | 8 | 17 | 14.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 1 | +4.1 | -1.4 | 1:0 vs Xerez CD (+1.3) | 2:0 vs Atletico Central (-1.5) |
7 | Puente Genil | 8 | 11 | 8.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 16 | -0.7 | +0.1 | 1:2 vs Las Palmas B (+1.8) | 0:2 vs CD Estepona (-1.3) |
8 | Betis B | 8 | 15 | 13.3 | +1.6On expectation | 2 | -0.6 | +2.2 | 0:1 vs CD Badajoz (+1.6) | 3:2 vs Tamaraceite (-2.0) |
9 | Sevilla FC B | 8 | 12 | 12.0 | -0.0On expectation | 4 | +1.6 | -1.7 | 3:0 vs Marbella (+1.6) | 2:0 vs Atletico Central (-1.5) |
10 | Sanluqueno | 8 | 10 | 10.2 | -0.2On expectation | 10 | +1.7 | -1.9 | 4:1 vs Las Palmas B (+1.2) | 1:0 vs Don Benito (-1.0) |
11 | Atletico Central | 8 | 9 | 9.2 | -0.2On expectation | 14 | +3.4 | -3.7 | 2:0 vs Sevilla FC B (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Linares (-1.5) |
12 | CD Estepona | 8 | 12 | 12.5 | -0.5On expectation | 3 | -0.4 | -0.0 | 0:2 vs Puente Genil (+1.6) | 1:4 vs Linares (-1.8) |
13 | Tenerife B | 8 | 10 | 11.1 | -1.1On expectation | 7 | +0.8 | -1.9 | 1:2 vs Ciudad de Lucena (+1.7) | 1:3 vs Mijas Las Lagunas (-1.9) |
14 | Tamaraceite | 8 | 6 | 8.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 18 | +1.7 | -3.8 | 3:2 vs Betis B (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Atletico Central (-1.1) |
15 | Xerez CD | 8 | 9 | 11.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 5 | -1.6 | -1.2 | 2:1 vs Tenerife B (+1.2) | 0:1 vs Ciudad de Lucena (-1.7) |
16 | Las Palmas B | 8 | 5 | 9.6 | -4.5Underperforming | 12 | -3.6 | -0.9 | 0:1 vs Linares (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Puente Genil (-1.5) |
17 | Marbella | 8 | 6 | 10.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 8 | -1.1 | -3.7 | 4:1 vs Atletico Central (+1.2) | 3:0 vs Sevilla FC B (-1.3) |
18 | Antoniano | 8 | 3 | 10.1 | -7.1Underperforming −− | 11 | -4.3 | -2.8 | 0:0 vs Betis B (+0.2) | 1:2 vs Don Benito (-1.5) |
