Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2021-2022 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Cordoba | 34 | 82 | 68.7 | +13.3Outperforming ++ | 1 | +12.8 | +0.4 | 1:5 vs Xerez D.F.C. (+1.6) | 3:0 vs San Fernando (-2.2) |
2 | Cacereno | 34 | 61 | 50.8 | +10.2Outperforming ++ | 5 | +5.3 | +4.8 | 0:1 vs Merida AD (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Villanovense (-1.6) |
3 | Merida AD | 34 | 62 | 52.7 | +9.3Outperforming ++ | 2 | +0.5 | +8.8 | 1:2 vs Cacereno (+1.8) | 0:1 vs CD Coria (-1.9) |
4 | San Roque | 34 | 52 | 45.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 9 | +3.2 | +3.7 | 0:1 vs Merida AD (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Montijo (-1.7) |
5 | Cadiz CF B | 34 | 50 | 44.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 12 | +4.6 | +1.1 | 2:3 vs Don Benito (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Velez (-1.7) |
6 | CD Coria | 34 | 53 | 47.6 | +5.4Outperforming ++ | 8 | +3.3 | +2.1 | 0:1 vs Merida AD (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Panaderia (-2.3) |
7 | Ceuta | 34 | 54 | 51.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 4 | +1.6 | +1.4 | 0:1 vs Villanovense (+2.0) | 1:0 vs San Fernando (-1.9) |
8 | Velez | 34 | 46 | 43.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 14 | +6.7 | -4.3 | 0:2 vs Cadiz CF B (+2.0) | 2:0 vs Panaderia (-1.6) |
9 | Montijo | 34 | 47 | 45.0 | +2.0On expectation | 10 | +6.3 | -4.3 | 1:2 vs San Roque (+2.0) | 1:7 vs Tamaraceite (-1.8) |
10 | Xerez D.F.C. | 34 | 47 | 47.7 | -0.7On expectation | 7 | +6.7 | -7.4 | 1:2 vs Don Benito (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Cadiz CF B (-1.5) |
11 | Antequera | 34 | 44 | 44.8 | -0.8On expectation | 11 | +0.1 | -0.9 | 0:2 vs San Roque (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Panaderia (-2.0) |
12 | Villanovense | 34 | 50 | 52.0 | -2.0On expectation | 3 | +3.2 | -5.2 | 1:0 vs Cordoba (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Don Benito (-1.7) |
13 | Mensajero | 34 | 35 | 38.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 16 | +0.7 | -4.5 | 1:0 vs Merida AD (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Cadiz CF B (-1.6) |
14 | San Fernando | 34 | 29 | 34.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 17 | +1.9 | -7.4 | 3:0 vs Cordoba (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Montijo (-1.6) |
15 | Panaderia | 34 | 25 | 31.7 | -6.7Underperforming −− | 18 | -6.6 | -0.1 | 1:2 vs CD Coria (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Antequera (-1.3) |
16 | Don Benito | 34 | 41 | 48.6 | -7.6Underperforming −− | 6 | -2.8 | -4.8 | 0:2 vs Villanovense (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Cadiz CF B (-1.7) |
17 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 31 | 43.8 | -12.8Underperforming −− | 13 | -5.1 | -7.7 | 1:2 vs Mensajero (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Antequera (-1.6) |
18 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 25 | 39.1 | -14.2Underperforming −− | 15 | -4.9 | -9.2 | 1:7 vs Montijo (+2.0) | 3:4 vs San Fernando (-1.8) |
