Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2023-2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Orihuela | 34 | 54 | 43.4 | +10.6Outperforming ++ | 11 | +0.6 | +10.0 | 1:2 vs Betis B (+2.3) | 2:4 vs Cadiz CF B (-1.8) |
2 | Antoniano | 34 | 46 | 38.0 | +8.1Outperforming ++ | 16 | +10.0 | -1.9 | 0:1 vs Racing Cartagena MM (+2.4) | 0:2 vs La Union (-1.7) |
3 | Sevilla FC B | 34 | 66 | 58.4 | +7.7Outperforming ++ | 1 | +8.1 | -0.4 | 0:4 vs CD Estepona (+1.8) | 2:0 vs Antoniano (-1.8) |
4 | La Union | 34 | 46 | 39.3 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 14 | +7.6 | -0.9 | 1:2 vs Betis B (+2.3) | 1:2 vs El Palo (-1.7) |
5 | Yeclano | 34 | 60 | 53.4 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 5 | +4.1 | +2.5 | 1:2 vs Marbella (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Orihuela (-1.9) |
6 | Cadiz CF B | 34 | 42 | 36.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 17 | +1.5 | +4.5 | 0:1 vs CD Estepona (+2.4) | 2:3 vs Orihuela (-1.4) |
7 | Marbella | 34 | 56 | 54.7 | +1.3On expectation | 3 | +3.9 | -2.6 | 0:2 vs UCAM Murcia (+2.0) | 1:0 vs San Roque (-1.8) |
8 | Ciudad Real | 34 | 41 | 40.3 | +0.7On expectation | 12 | +2.0 | -1.3 | 0:2 vs Orihuela (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Antoniano (-1.7) |
9 | Betis B | 34 | 53 | 53.6 | -0.6On expectation | 4 | +5.7 | -6.2 | 0:1 vs Yeclano (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Orihuela (-2.1) |
10 | CD Estepona | 34 | 49 | 52.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 6 | -1.9 | -1.5 | 0:2 vs Linense (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Cadiz CF B (-2.1) |
11 | El Palo | 34 | 36 | 39.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 13 | -4.3 | +1.0 | 0:2 vs Aguilas FC (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Orihuela (-1.5) |
12 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 48 | 52.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 7 | +2.6 | -6.7 | 1:0 vs Velez (+1.7) | 0:2 vs El Palo (-2.0) |
13 | Linense | 34 | 47 | 52.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 8 | -1.8 | -3.3 | 0:1 vs Aguilas FC (+1.9) | 2:1 vs FC Cartagena SAD B (-1.8) |
14 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 23 | 29.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 18 | -2.2 | -3.9 | 2:0 vs Racing Cartagena MM (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Velez (-1.4) |
15 | Velez | 34 | 32 | 39.1 | -7.1Underperforming −− | 15 | -1.7 | -5.4 | 0:2 vs Orihuela (+1.8) | 0:2 vs El Palo (-1.9) |
16 | Racing Cartagena MM | 34 | 40 | 47.4 | -7.4Underperforming −− | 9 | +1.8 | -9.1 | 1:0 vs Linense (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Antoniano (-2.2) |
17 | San Roque | 34 | 36 | 43.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 10 | +2.2 | -9.7 | 1:2 vs Aguilas FC (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Orihuela (-1.5) |
18 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 47 | 57.0 | -10.0Underperforming −− | 2 | +2.0 | -12.0 | 0:2 vs Linense (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Orihuela (-2.1) |
