The season in numbers
The outlier
+2.1uBlindly backing ht under 1.5 in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-5.1 ptsAlbacete produced performances worth 5 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
23%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 29.7' on average.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
all leagues →
Tenerife – Leganes2026-09-13 19:00Under 2.5 ✓75.0%vs 64.9%▲ +10.0%- Cordoba – Almeria2026-09-12 19:00Over 2.5 ✓70.3%vs 62.1%▲ +8.1%
- Andorra – Real Sociedad B2026-09-12 12:00Away win ✓24.9%vs 19.4%▲ +5.5%
- Valladolid – Oviedo2026-09-13 14:15Away win ✓37.4%vs 32.1%▲ +5.4%
- Cadiz CF – Las Palmas2026-09-12 14:15Under 2.5 ✓60.2%vs 55.9%▲ +4.4%
- Burgos CF – Ceuta2026-09-11 18:30Under 2.5 ✓58.7%vs 55.6%▲ +3.2%
- Granada CF – Albacete2026-09-12 16:30Over 1.5 HT ✓36.9%vs 33.7%▲ +3.2%
- Gijon – Eldense2026-09-13 12:00Away win18.7%vs 20.0%-1.3%
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | + | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tenerife– Leganes | 2026-09-13 | 19:00 | Under 2.5 ✓ | 75.0% | 64.9% | ▲ +10.0% | 1.54 | |
| 2 |  Cordoba– Almeria | 2026-09-12 | 19:00 | Over 2.5 ✓ | 70.3% | 62.1% | ▲ +8.1% | 1.61 | |
| 3 |  Andorra– Real Sociedad B | 2026-09-12 | 12:00 | Away win ✓ | 24.9% | 19.4% | ▲ +5.5% | 5.16 | |
| 4 |  Valladolid– Oviedo | 2026-09-13 | 14:15 | Away win ✓ | 37.4% | 32.1% | ▲ +5.4% | 3.12 | |
| 5 |  Cadiz CF– Las Palmas | 2026-09-12 | 14:15 | Under 2.5 ✓ | 60.2% | 55.9% | ▲ +4.4% | 1.79 | |
| 6 |  Burgos CF– Ceuta | 2026-09-11 | 18:30 | Under 2.5 ✓ | 58.7% | 55.6% | ▲ +3.2% | 1.80 | |
| 7 |  Granada CF– Albacete | 2026-09-12 | 16:30 | Over 1.5 HT ✓ | 36.9% | 33.7% | ▲ +3.2% | 2.97 | |
| 8 |  Gijon– Eldense | 2026-09-13 | 12:00 | Away win | 18.7% | 20.0% | -1.3% | 5.01 |
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every LaLiga2 match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
HT Under 1.5▲ +2.1u
44 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht under 1.5 in every LaLiga2 match in 2026-2027: +2.1 units over 44 flat-stake bets.Under 2.5 goals▲ +1.9u
44 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing under 2.5 goals in every LaLiga2 match in 2026-2027: +1.9 units over 44 flat-stake bets.Home wins▼ -3.3u
44 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing home wins in every LaLiga2 match in 2026-2027: -3.3 units over 44 flat-stake bets.Away wins▼ -4.3u
44 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing away wins in every LaLiga2 match in 2026-2027: -4.3 units over 44 flat-stake bets.Draws▼ -5.6u
44 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing draws in every LaLiga2 match in 2026-2027: -5.6 units over 44 flat-stake bets.Over 2.5 goals▼ -12.2u
44 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing over 2.5 goals in every LaLiga2 match in 2026-2027: -12.2 units over 44 flat-stake bets.HT Over 1.5▼ -14.9u
44 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht over 1.5 in every LaLiga2 match in 2026-2027: -14.9 units over 44 flat-stake bets.Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellon | 10 | 7.6 | +2.4 | |
| 2 |  Eibar | 9 | 6.3 | +2.7 | |
| 3 | Sabadell | 8 | 4.9 | +3.1 | |
| 4 | Leganes | 8 | 4.7 | +3.3 | |
| 5 | Girona | 7 | 6.7 | +0.3 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 20 | Eldense | 2 | 4.2 | -2.2 | |
| 21 | Albacete | 0 | 5.1 | -5.1 | |
| 22 | Ceuta | 0 | 4.3 | -4.3 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdownOdds archive · €296 seasons of open/close odds, every bookmaker
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+