LaLiga2 2020-2021 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Mallorca	42	82	68.4	+13.6Outperforming ++	2	+7.2	+6.4	1:3 vs Rayo Vallecano (+1.8)	0:1 vs Las Palmas (-1.9)
2	Girona	42	71	58.3	+12.7Outperforming ++	9	+7.6	+5.1	1:2 vs Espanyol (+2.3)	0:1 vs Malaga (-1.7)
3	Almeria	42	73	63.8	+9.2Outperforming ++	5	+2.3	+6.9	0:2 vs Gijon (+2.2)	2:1 vs Ponferradina (-1.6)
4	Ponferradina	42	57	49.3	+7.7Outperforming ++	16	+5.6	+2.1	0:2 vs Castellon (+2.0)	0:1 vs Albacete (-1.7)
5	Leganes	42	73	67.0	+6.0Outperforming ++	4	+11.3	-5.3	2:0 vs Espanyol (+1.8)	0:2 vs Fuenlabrada (-1.7)
6	Las Palmas	42	56	51.3	+4.7Outperforming	14	+8.0	-3.4	0:1 vs UD Logrones (+2.3)	0:1 vs Sabadell (-1.6)
7	Malaga	42	53	48.4	+4.6Outperforming	18	-2.3	+6.9	1:2 vs Zaragoza (+2.0)	0:2 vs Ponferradina (-1.6)
8	Espanyol	42	82	78.5	+3.5Outperforming	1	+5.0	-1.5	1:2 vs Mallorca (+1.6)	1:2 vs Girona (-2.0)
9	Gijon	42	65	62.9	+2.1Outperforming	6	+4.8	-2.7	0:1 vs Rayo Vallecano (+1.9)	0:2 vs Almeria (-2.0)
10	Mirandes	42	54	52.7	+1.3On expectation	12	-0.7	+2.0	1:2 vs Gijon (+2.2)	0:2 vs Albacete (-1.8)
11	Rayo Vallecano	42	67	68.0	-1.0On expectation	3	-0.5	-0.5	2:3 vs Espanyol (+2.1)	0:1 vs Lugo (-2.1)
12	Sabadell	42	46	47.9	-1.9On expectation	19	-3.2	+1.3	1:2 vs Tenerife (+2.3)	1:2 vs Malaga (-1.6)
13	FC Cartagena SAD	42	49	51.1	-2.1Underperforming	15	+2.2	-4.3	0:2 vs Espanyol (+2.3)	1:2 vs Sabadell (-1.7)
14	Lugo	42	47	49.2	-2.2Underperforming	17	+3.7	-6.0	0:1 vs Rayo Vallecano (+2.3)	0:1 vs Sabadell (-1.5)
15	Fuenlabrada	42	54	56.4	-2.4Underperforming	10	-6.8	+4.4	2:3 vs Mallorca (+2.2)	0:2 vs Malaga (-1.7)
16	UD Logrones	42	44	47.4	-3.4Underperforming	20	-2.4	-1.0	0:1 vs Tenerife (+2.1)	0:1 vs Las Palmas (-2.1)
17	Alcorcon	42	48	52.5	-4.5Underperforming	13	-0.5	-3.9	0:1 vs Zaragoza (+2.0)	1:2 vs Albacete (-1.8)
18	Castellon	42	41	46.2	-5.2Underperforming −−	21	+1.3	-6.6	1:0 vs Mallorca (+2.1)	0:2 vs Ponferradina (-1.7)
19	Zaragoza	42	50	55.4	-5.4Underperforming −−	11	+3.2	-8.5	0:1 vs Fuenlabrada (+1.9)	1:2 vs Malaga (-1.7)
20	Albacete	42	38	45.3	-7.3Underperforming −−	22	-5.0	-2.4	0:1 vs Oviedo (+2.2)	0:2 vs Ponferradina (-1.5)
21	Oviedo	42	52	60.0	-8.1Underperforming −−	8	-4.4	-3.6	1:2 vs Las Palmas (+1.8)	0:1 vs Albacete (-1.9)
22	Tenerife	42	52	60.6	-8.6Underperforming −−	7	-0.4	-8.3	0:1 vs Rayo Vallecano (+1.9)	1:2 vs Sabadell (-2.0)