LaLiga2hub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Racing Santander | 44 | 88 | 68.0 | +20.0Outperforming ++ | 4 | +9.1 | +10.9 | 1:3 vs Castellon (+2.2) | 2:4 vs Cultural Leonesa (-2.1) |
2 | Malaga | 48 | 85 | 66.4 | +18.6Outperforming ++ | 5 | +8.8 | +9.8 | 1:3 vs Gijon (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Cadiz CF (-1.6) |
3 | Burgos CF | 44 | 74 | 60.1 | +13.9Outperforming ++ | 12 | +3.5 | +10.4 | 1:2 vs Almeria (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Albacete (-1.7) |
4 | Dep. La Coruna | 41 | 77 | 65.1 | +11.9Outperforming ++ | 7 | +1.3 | +10.7 | 1:2 vs Almeria (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Real Sociedad B (-2.1) |
5 | Dep. A Coruna | 42 | 77 | 66.3 | +10.8Outperforming ++ | 6 | +0.1 | +10.7 | 1:2 vs Almeria (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Real Sociedad B (-2.1) |
6 | Ceuta | 44 | 61 | 50.6 | +10.4Outperforming ++ | 20 | +9.6 | +0.8 | 0:2 vs Andorra (+2.5) | 0:3 vs Valladolid (-1.4) |
7 | Real Sociedad B | 44 | 50 | 44.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 23 | +2.3 | +3.0 | 0:3 vs Dep. La Coruna (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Granada CF (-1.5) |
8 | Las Palmas | 45 | 75 | 70.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 3 | +0.6 | +3.8 | 1:2 vs Almeria (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Malaga (-1.8) |
9 | Almeria | 48 | 80 | 76.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 2 | +5.4 | -2.1 | 0:1 vs Las Palmas (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Burgos CF (-1.9) |
10 | Eibar | 44 | 68 | 64.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 8 | +8.7 | -5.4 | 0:1 vs Andorra (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Cultural Leonesa (-1.9) |
11 | Andorra | 44 | 61 | 57.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 14 | -2.6 | +5.7 | 0:1 vs Valladolid (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Ceuta (-2.3) |
12 | Albacete | 44 | 59 | 56.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 16 | -2.9 | +5.9 | 1:2 vs Cordoba (+2.3) | 1:4 vs Mirandes (-1.8) |
13 | Gijon | 44 | 62 | 62.5 | -0.5On expectation | 10 | +2.7 | -3.2 | 1:3 vs Zaragoza (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Ceuta (-2.1) |
14 | Castellon | 46 | 79 | 80.0 | -1.0On expectation | 1 | +0.8 | -1.8 | 1:3 vs Dep. La Coruna (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Cordoba (-2.2) |
15 | Cordoba | 44 | 61 | 64.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 9 | -6.6 | +3.2 | 1:2 vs Castellon (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Albacete (-2.0) |
16 | Granada CF | 44 | 51 | 56.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 15 | -7.8 | +2.4 | 0:2 vs Dep. A Coruna (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Mirandes (-1.7) |
17 | Cadiz CF | 44 | 44 | 51.2 | -7.2Underperforming −− | 18 | -7.5 | +0.2 | 1:2 vs Cordoba (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Cultural Leonesa (-1.6) |
18 | Mirandes | 44 | 40 | 47.7 | -7.7Underperforming −− | 22 | -6.0 | -1.7 | 1:4 vs Albacete (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Cadiz CF (-1.6) |
19 | Leganes | 44 | 47 | 58.3 | -11.3Underperforming −− | 13 | -6.6 | -4.7 | 1:2 vs Andorra (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Burgos CF (-1.6) |
20 | Huesca | 44 | 39 | 51.0 | -12.0Underperforming −− | 19 | -1.4 | -10.7 | 0:2 vs Cultural Leonesa (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Mirandes (-1.7) |
21 | Cultural Leonesa | 44 | 37 | 49.7 | -12.7Underperforming −− | 21 | -13.2 | +0.5 | 2:4 vs Racing Santander (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Huesca (-1.6) |
22 | Valladolid | 44 | 47 | 62.5 | -15.5Underperforming −− | 11 | -8.1 | -7.4 | 0:1 vs Castellon (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Cultural Leonesa (-2.1) |
23 | Zaragoza | 44 | 36 | 53.9 | -17.9Underperforming −− | 17 | -14.0 | -3.9 | 2:3 vs Racing Santander (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Andorra (-1.8) |
