LaLiga2 2024-2025 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Mirandes	42	75	55.9	+19.1Outperforming ++	14	+17.5	+1.6	1:3 vs Castellon (+2.1)	0:1 vs Granada CF (-1.4)
2	Levante	42	79	64.6	+14.4Outperforming ++	3	+8.2	+6.2	1:3 vs Elche (+2.0)	0:1 vs Racing Club Ferrol (-2.1)
3	Oviedo	42	75	64.4	+10.6Outperforming ++	4	+7.0	+3.7	0:1 vs Dep. La Coruna (+1.9)	0:3 vs Huesca (-2.0)
4	Huesca	42	64	53.9	+10.1Outperforming ++	16	+8.7	+1.4	0:3 vs Oviedo (+2.2)	0:1 vs Burgos CF (-1.6)
5	Elche	42	77	67.0	+10.0Outperforming ++	2	+8.7	+1.3	0:3 vs Malaga (+1.8)	1:3 vs Levante (-1.8)
6	Racing Santander	42	71	62.0	+8.9Outperforming ++	6	+2.6	+6.4	0:1 vs Castellon (+1.9)	1:2 vs FC Cartagena SAD (-2.1)
7	Albacete	42	58	54.2	+3.8Outperforming	15	+6.1	-2.3	0:1 vs Zaragoza (+2.0)	0:1 vs Eldense (-1.7)
8	Malaga	42	53	50.1	+2.9Outperforming	20	+6.5	-3.5	1:0 vs Granada CF (+1.9)	1:2 vs Zaragoza (-1.4)
9	Burgos CF	42	55	52.1	+2.9Outperforming	18	+2.9	+0.1	0:1 vs Zaragoza (+2.0)	0:1 vs Mirandes (-1.6)
10	Granada CF	42	65	63.0	+2.0On expectation	5	+0.3	+1.7	1:2 vs Gijon (+2.0)	1:3 vs Huesca (-1.9)
11	Eibar	42	58	58.1	-0.1On expectation	12	+4.2	-4.3	0:2 vs Granada CF (+2.1)	1:3 vs Gijon (-1.7)
12	Almeria	42	69	70.5	-1.5On expectation	1	+4.7	-6.1	1:2 vs Elche (+1.9)	2:1 vs Cadiz CF (-1.8)
13	Cadiz CF	42	55	58.0	-3.0Underperforming	13	-0.2	-2.9	1:3 vs Castellon (+2.0)	1:2 vs Eldense (-1.9)
14	Gijon	42	56	59.2	-3.2Underperforming	10	-0.1	-3.0	1:3 vs Eibar (+2.0)	1:3 vs Racing Club Ferrol (-2.0)
15	Cordoba	42	55	58.7	-3.7Underperforming	11	-2.2	-1.5	2:3 vs Tenerife (+2.0)	1:2 vs Huesca (-1.7)
16	Eldense	42	45	51.4	-6.4Underperforming −−	19	-5.7	-0.7	1:2 vs Cadiz CF (+2.2)	1:2 vs FC Cartagena SAD (-1.8)
17	Dep. La Coruna	42	53	59.5	-6.5Underperforming −−	9	-9.2	+2.7	1:2 vs Oviedo (+2.1)	0:4 vs Mirandes (-1.8)
18	Castellon	42	53	61.5	-8.5Underperforming −−	7	-5.2	-3.3	2:5 vs Almeria (+2.0)	1:3 vs Mirandes (-1.9)
19	Zaragoza	42	51	59.7	-8.7Underperforming −−	8	-7.8	-1.0	0:4 vs Cadiz CF (+2.0)	0:1 vs Albacete (-1.7)
20	FC Cartagena SAD	42	23	34.4	-11.4Underperforming −−	22	-6.0	-5.4	1:2 vs Racing Santander (+2.4)	0:1 vs Racing Club Ferrol (-1.5)
21	Racing Club Ferrol	42	30	42.1	-12.1Underperforming −−	21	-10.5	-1.6	0:1 vs Levante (+2.3)	1:4 vs Albacete (-1.5)
22	Tenerife	42	36	52.3	-16.3Underperforming −−	17	-4.7	-11.6	1:3 vs Gijon (+2.0)	0:1 vs Eldense (-1.7)

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Mirandes	42	75	55.9	+19.1Outperforming ++	14	+17.5	+1.6	1:3 vs Castellon (+2.1)	0:1 vs Granada CF (-1.4)
2	Levante	42	79	64.6	+14.4Outperforming ++	3	+8.2	+6.2	1:3 vs Elche (+2.0)	0:1 vs Racing Club Ferrol (-2.1)
3	Oviedo	42	75	64.4	+10.6Outperforming ++	4	+7.0	+3.7	0:1 vs Dep. La Coruna (+1.9)	0:3 vs Huesca (-2.0)
4	Huesca	42	64	53.9	+10.1Outperforming ++	16	+8.7	+1.4	0:3 vs Oviedo (+2.2)	0:1 vs Burgos CF (-1.6)
5	Elche	42	77	67.0	+10.0Outperforming ++	2	+8.7	+1.3	0:3 vs Malaga (+1.8)	1:3 vs Levante (-1.8)
6	Racing Santander	42	71	62.0	+8.9Outperforming ++	6	+2.6	+6.4	0:1 vs Castellon (+1.9)	1:2 vs FC Cartagena SAD (-2.1)
7	Albacete	42	58	54.2	+3.8Outperforming	15	+6.1	-2.3	0:1 vs Zaragoza (+2.0)	0:1 vs Eldense (-1.7)
8	Malaga	42	53	50.1	+2.9Outperforming	20	+6.5	-3.5	1:0 vs Granada CF (+1.9)	1:2 vs Zaragoza (-1.4)
9	Burgos CF	42	55	52.1	+2.9Outperforming	18	+2.9	+0.1	0:1 vs Zaragoza (+2.0)	0:1 vs Mirandes (-1.6)
10	Granada CF	42	65	63.0	+2.0On expectation	5	+0.3	+1.7	1:2 vs Gijon (+2.0)	1:3 vs Huesca (-1.9)
11	Eibar	42	58	58.1	-0.1On expectation	12	+4.2	-4.3	0:2 vs Granada CF (+2.1)	1:3 vs Gijon (-1.7)
12	Almeria	42	69	70.5	-1.5On expectation	1	+4.7	-6.1	1:2 vs Elche (+1.9)	2:1 vs Cadiz CF (-1.8)
13	Cadiz CF	42	55	58.0	-3.0Underperforming	13	-0.2	-2.9	1:3 vs Castellon (+2.0)	1:2 vs Eldense (-1.9)
14	Gijon	42	56	59.2	-3.2Underperforming	10	-0.1	-3.0	1:3 vs Eibar (+2.0)	1:3 vs Racing Club Ferrol (-2.0)
15	Cordoba	42	55	58.7	-3.7Underperforming	11	-2.2	-1.5	2:3 vs Tenerife (+2.0)	1:2 vs Huesca (-1.7)
16	Eldense	42	45	51.4	-6.4Underperforming −−	19	-5.7	-0.7	1:2 vs Cadiz CF (+2.2)	1:2 vs FC Cartagena SAD (-1.8)
17	Dep. La Coruna	42	53	59.5	-6.5Underperforming −−	9	-9.2	+2.7	1:2 vs Oviedo (+2.1)	0:4 vs Mirandes (-1.8)
18	Castellon	42	53	61.5	-8.5Underperforming −−	7	-5.2	-3.3	2:5 vs Almeria (+2.0)	1:3 vs Mirandes (-1.9)
19	Zaragoza	42	51	59.7	-8.7Underperforming −−	8	-7.8	-1.0	0:4 vs Cadiz CF (+2.0)	0:1 vs Albacete (-1.7)
20	FC Cartagena SAD	42	23	34.4	-11.4Underperforming −−	22	-6.0	-5.4	1:2 vs Racing Santander (+2.4)	0:1 vs Racing Club Ferrol (-1.5)
21	Racing Club Ferrol	42	30	42.1	-12.1Underperforming −−	21	-10.5	-1.6	0:1 vs Levante (+2.3)	1:4 vs Albacete (-1.5)
22	Tenerife	42	36	52.3	-16.3Underperforming −−	17	-4.7	-11.6	1:3 vs Gijon (+2.0)	0:1 vs Eldense (-1.7)