LaLiga2hub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Eibar | 42 | 80 | 65.5 | +14.6Outperforming ++ | 3 | +9.8 | +4.8 | 0:2 vs Almeria (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Alcorcon (-2.1) |
2 | Almeria | 42 | 81 | 71.6 | +9.4Outperforming ++ | 2 | +4.9 | +4.5 | 0:1 vs Gijon (+1.7) | 0:1 vs FC Cartagena SAD (-1.8) |
3 | Ponferradina | 42 | 63 | 53.9 | +9.1Outperforming ++ | 14 | +5.2 | +3.9 | 0:1 vs Eibar (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Leganes (-1.9) |
4 | Burgos CF | 42 | 55 | 46.5 | +8.5Outperforming ++ | 21 | +8.9 | -0.4 | 0:2 vs Las Palmas (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Oviedo (-1.4) |
5 | Valladolid | 42 | 81 | 73.0 | +8.0Outperforming ++ | 1 | +4.5 | +3.5 | 0:2 vs Leganes (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Real Sociedad B (-2.2) |
6 | Oviedo | 42 | 68 | 60.3 | +7.7Outperforming ++ | 8 | +5.5 | +2.2 | 1:2 vs Huesca (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Burgos CF (-2.0) |
7 | Las Palmas | 42 | 70 | 62.9 | +7.1Outperforming ++ | 6 | +4.0 | +3.1 | 0:1 vs Valladolid (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Burgos CF (-2.1) |
8 | FC Cartagena SAD | 42 | 60 | 54.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 13 | +9.1 | -3.0 | 0:1 vs Zaragoza (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Ponferradina (-1.7) |
9 | Tenerife | 42 | 69 | 64.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 5 | -5.6 | +10.5 | 0:1 vs Girona (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Mirandes (-2.0) |
10 | Girona | 42 | 68 | 64.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 4 | +4.8 | -1.1 | 1:3 vs Las Palmas (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Tenerife (-1.7) |
11 | Lugo | 42 | 50 | 48.4 | +1.6On expectation | 19 | +5.8 | -4.2 | 1:3 vs Amorebieta (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Fuenlabrada (-1.8) |
12 | Mirandes | 42 | 52 | 50.4 | +1.6On expectation | 16 | +7.6 | -6.0 | 1:2 vs Tenerife (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Alcorcon (-1.6) |
13 | Zaragoza | 42 | 56 | 57.7 | -1.7On expectation | 11 | -2.7 | +1.0 | 1:2 vs Gijon (+1.9) | 0:1 vs FC Cartagena SAD (-1.8) |
14 | UD Ibiza | 42 | 52 | 54.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 12 | -4.0 | +1.7 | 1:2 vs Leganes (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Mirandes (-1.9) |
15 | Amorebieta | 42 | 43 | 48.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 20 | +3.2 | -8.5 | 2:1 vs Almeria (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Malaga (-1.7) |
16 | Huesca | 42 | 54 | 60.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 9 | -4.7 | -1.4 | 0:3 vs FC Cartagena SAD (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Oviedo (-1.8) |
17 | Malaga | 42 | 45 | 51.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 15 | -2.4 | -4.4 | 0:2 vs Tenerife (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Burgos CF (-1.8) |
18 | Leganes | 42 | 54 | 60.9 | -6.9Underperforming −− | 7 | -5.4 | -1.6 | 0:3 vs Ponferradina (+2.1) | 1:2 vs UD Ibiza (-1.9) |
19 | Real Sociedad B | 42 | 40 | 49.1 | -9.1Underperforming −− | 18 | -13.0 | +3.9 | 1:2 vs Valladolid (+2.4) | 2:4 vs Alcorcon (-1.8) |
20 | Gijon | 42 | 46 | 58.5 | -12.5Underperforming −− | 10 | -6.8 | -5.8 | 1:2 vs Girona (+1.9) | 0:1 vs UD Ibiza (-1.8) |
21 | Alcorcon | 42 | 29 | 44.1 | -15.1Underperforming −− | 22 | -9.8 | -5.4 | 1:0 vs Eibar (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Malaga (-1.5) |
22 | Fuenlabrada | 42 | 33 | 49.9 | -16.9Underperforming −− | 17 | -7.9 | -9.0 | 1:3 vs Lugo (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Burgos CF (-1.6) |
