LaLiga2 2021-2022 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Eibar	42	80	65.5	+14.6Outperforming ++	3	+9.8	+4.8	0:2 vs Almeria (+2.0)	1:0 vs Alcorcon (-2.1)
2	Almeria	42	81	71.6	+9.4Outperforming ++	2	+4.9	+4.5	0:1 vs Gijon (+1.7)	0:1 vs FC Cartagena SAD (-1.8)
3	Ponferradina	42	63	53.9	+9.1Outperforming ++	14	+5.2	+3.9	0:1 vs Eibar (+2.2)	0:3 vs Leganes (-1.9)
4	Burgos CF	42	55	46.5	+8.5Outperforming ++	21	+8.9	-0.4	0:2 vs Las Palmas (+2.3)	0:1 vs Oviedo (-1.4)
5	Valladolid	42	81	73.0	+8.0Outperforming ++	1	+4.5	+3.5	0:2 vs Leganes (+1.8)	1:2 vs Real Sociedad B (-2.2)
6	Oviedo	42	68	60.3	+7.7Outperforming ++	8	+5.5	+2.2	1:2 vs Huesca (+2.1)	1:3 vs Burgos CF (-2.0)
7	Las Palmas	42	70	62.9	+7.1Outperforming ++	6	+4.0	+3.1	0:1 vs Valladolid (+2.3)	0:2 vs Burgos CF (-2.1)
8	FC Cartagena SAD	42	60	54.0	+6.0Outperforming ++	13	+9.1	-3.0	0:1 vs Zaragoza (+2.1)	0:1 vs Ponferradina (-1.7)
9	Tenerife	42	69	64.1	+4.9Outperforming	5	-5.6	+10.5	0:1 vs Girona (+2.0)	1:2 vs Mirandes (-2.0)
10	Girona	42	68	64.3	+3.7Outperforming	4	+4.8	-1.1	1:3 vs Las Palmas (+1.9)	0:1 vs Tenerife (-1.7)
11	Lugo	42	50	48.4	+1.6On expectation	19	+5.8	-4.2	1:3 vs Amorebieta (+1.9)	1:3 vs Fuenlabrada (-1.8)
12	Mirandes	42	52	50.4	+1.6On expectation	16	+7.6	-6.0	1:2 vs Tenerife (+2.3)	1:3 vs Alcorcon (-1.6)
13	Zaragoza	42	56	57.7	-1.7On expectation	11	-2.7	+1.0	1:2 vs Gijon (+1.9)	0:1 vs FC Cartagena SAD (-1.8)
14	UD Ibiza	42	52	54.3	-2.3Underperforming	12	-4.0	+1.7	1:2 vs Leganes (+2.2)	0:2 vs Mirandes (-1.9)
15	Amorebieta	42	43	48.3	-5.3Underperforming −−	20	+3.2	-8.5	2:1 vs Almeria (+2.1)	1:2 vs Malaga (-1.7)
16	Huesca	42	54	60.1	-6.1Underperforming −−	9	-4.7	-1.4	0:3 vs FC Cartagena SAD (+1.9)	1:2 vs Oviedo (-1.8)
17	Malaga	42	45	51.8	-6.8Underperforming −−	15	-2.4	-4.4	0:2 vs Tenerife (+2.2)	0:1 vs Burgos CF (-1.8)
18	Leganes	42	54	60.9	-6.9Underperforming −−	7	-5.4	-1.6	0:3 vs Ponferradina (+2.1)	1:2 vs UD Ibiza (-1.9)
19	Real Sociedad B	42	40	49.1	-9.1Underperforming −−	18	-13.0	+3.9	1:2 vs Valladolid (+2.4)	2:4 vs Alcorcon (-1.8)
20	Gijon	42	46	58.5	-12.5Underperforming −−	10	-6.8	-5.8	1:2 vs Girona (+1.9)	0:1 vs UD Ibiza (-1.8)
21	Alcorcon	42	29	44.1	-15.1Underperforming −−	22	-9.8	-5.4	1:0 vs Eibar (+2.3)	0:1 vs Malaga (-1.5)
22	Fuenlabrada	42	33	49.9	-16.9Underperforming −−	17	-7.9	-9.0	1:3 vs Lugo (+2.1)	1:2 vs Burgos CF (-1.6)

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Eibar	42	80	65.5	+14.6Outperforming ++	3	+9.8	+4.8	0:2 vs Almeria (+2.0)	1:0 vs Alcorcon (-2.1)
2	Almeria	42	81	71.6	+9.4Outperforming ++	2	+4.9	+4.5	0:1 vs Gijon (+1.7)	0:1 vs FC Cartagena SAD (-1.8)
3	Ponferradina	42	63	53.9	+9.1Outperforming ++	14	+5.2	+3.9	0:1 vs Eibar (+2.2)	0:3 vs Leganes (-1.9)
4	Burgos CF	42	55	46.5	+8.5Outperforming ++	21	+8.9	-0.4	0:2 vs Las Palmas (+2.3)	0:1 vs Oviedo (-1.4)
5	Valladolid	42	81	73.0	+8.0Outperforming ++	1	+4.5	+3.5	0:2 vs Leganes (+1.8)	1:2 vs Real Sociedad B (-2.2)
6	Oviedo	42	68	60.3	+7.7Outperforming ++	8	+5.5	+2.2	1:2 vs Huesca (+2.1)	1:3 vs Burgos CF (-2.0)
7	Las Palmas	42	70	62.9	+7.1Outperforming ++	6	+4.0	+3.1	0:1 vs Valladolid (+2.3)	0:2 vs Burgos CF (-2.1)
8	FC Cartagena SAD	42	60	54.0	+6.0Outperforming ++	13	+9.1	-3.0	0:1 vs Zaragoza (+2.1)	0:1 vs Ponferradina (-1.7)
9	Tenerife	42	69	64.1	+4.9Outperforming	5	-5.6	+10.5	0:1 vs Girona (+2.0)	1:2 vs Mirandes (-2.0)
10	Girona	42	68	64.3	+3.7Outperforming	4	+4.8	-1.1	1:3 vs Las Palmas (+1.9)	0:1 vs Tenerife (-1.7)
11	Lugo	42	50	48.4	+1.6On expectation	19	+5.8	-4.2	1:3 vs Amorebieta (+1.9)	1:3 vs Fuenlabrada (-1.8)
12	Mirandes	42	52	50.4	+1.6On expectation	16	+7.6	-6.0	1:2 vs Tenerife (+2.3)	1:3 vs Alcorcon (-1.6)
13	Zaragoza	42	56	57.7	-1.7On expectation	11	-2.7	+1.0	1:2 vs Gijon (+1.9)	0:1 vs FC Cartagena SAD (-1.8)
14	UD Ibiza	42	52	54.3	-2.3Underperforming	12	-4.0	+1.7	1:2 vs Leganes (+2.2)	0:2 vs Mirandes (-1.9)
15	Amorebieta	42	43	48.3	-5.3Underperforming −−	20	+3.2	-8.5	2:1 vs Almeria (+2.1)	1:2 vs Malaga (-1.7)
16	Huesca	42	54	60.1	-6.1Underperforming −−	9	-4.7	-1.4	0:3 vs FC Cartagena SAD (+1.9)	1:2 vs Oviedo (-1.8)
17	Malaga	42	45	51.8	-6.8Underperforming −−	15	-2.4	-4.4	0:2 vs Tenerife (+2.2)	0:1 vs Burgos CF (-1.8)
18	Leganes	42	54	60.9	-6.9Underperforming −−	7	-5.4	-1.6	0:3 vs Ponferradina (+2.1)	1:2 vs UD Ibiza (-1.9)
19	Real Sociedad B	42	40	49.1	-9.1Underperforming −−	18	-13.0	+3.9	1:2 vs Valladolid (+2.4)	2:4 vs Alcorcon (-1.8)
20	Gijon	42	46	58.5	-12.5Underperforming −−	10	-6.8	-5.8	1:2 vs Girona (+1.9)	0:1 vs UD Ibiza (-1.8)
21	Alcorcon	42	29	44.1	-15.1Underperforming −−	22	-9.8	-5.4	1:0 vs Eibar (+2.3)	0:1 vs Malaga (-1.5)
22	Fuenlabrada	42	33	49.9	-16.9Underperforming −−	17	-7.9	-9.0	1:3 vs Lugo (+2.1)	1:2 vs Burgos CF (-1.6)