Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 26 OctThe season in numbers
HT Over 1.5 paid out more than the market charged: +6.9% at market prices across 61 matches. 1 other market also came out ahead; the rest returned less than they cost.
Millwall U21 produced performances worth 5 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 24.4' on average.
Add Professional Development League fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 26 OctWe simulate the remaining Professional Development League schedule 10,000 times a day. Bolton U21 win the 2026-2027 title in 88% of them, projecting ~57 points — the race is close to decided. At the other end, Millwall U21 finish in the bottom three in 86% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 21 | 57 | 51–63 | 88% | >99% | — |
| 2 |  Sheffield Utd U21 | 13 | 48 | 42–54 | 8% | 89% | — |
| 3 |  Cardiff U21 | 12 | 44 | 37–51 | 2% | 69% | — |
| 4 |  Coventry U21 | 13 | 43 | 36–49 | 1% | 57% | <1% |
| 5 |  Huddersfield U21 | 9 | 40 | 33–48 | <1% | 40% | <1% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 15 |  Colchester U21 | 6 | 25 | 18–31 | — | <1% | 40% |
| 16 |  Peterborough U21 | 8 | 22 | 16–28 | — | <1% | 61% |
| 17 |  Millwall U21 | 0 | 17 | 11–24 | — | — | 86% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 143 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
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<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/england/professional-development-league/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Professional Development League live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/england/professional-development-league">Professional Development League stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every Professional Development League match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 21 | 10.7 | +10.3 | outperformed expectations |
| 2 |  Fleetwood U21 | 16 | 8.4 | +7.6 | |
| 3 | Coventry U21 | 13 | 11.1 | +1.9 | |
| 4 | Sheffield Utd U21 | 13 | 9.3 | +3.7 | |
| 5 | Cardiff U21 | 12 | 11.6 | +0.4 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 15 | Colchester U21 | 6 | 7.4 | -1.4 | |
| 16 |  Hull U21 | 5 | 6.8 | -1.8 | |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 0 | 5.1 | -5.1 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisFleetwood U2116 ptsCoventry U2113 ptsSheffield Utd U2113 ptsCardiff U2112 pts
Bristol City U2112 pts
Swansea U2112 pts
Wigan U2110 ptsHuddersfield U219 pts
Charlton U219 pts
Barnsley U218 pts
QPR U218 ptsPeterborough U218 pts
Sheffield Wed U217 ptsColchester U216 ptsHull U215 ptsMillwall U210 ptsGo deeper
Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+