The season in numbers
The outlier
+9.4uBlindly backing away wins in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-3.2 ptsCoventry U21 produced performances worth 3 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
65%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 22.6' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Professional Development League match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Away wins▲ +9.4u
23 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing away wins in every Professional Development League match in 2026-2027: +9.4 units over 23 flat-stake bets.HT Over 1.5▲ +3.2u
23 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht over 1.5 in every Professional Development League match in 2026-2027: +3.2 units over 23 flat-stake bets.Draws▲ +2.4u
23 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing draws in every Professional Development League match in 2026-2027: +2.4 units over 23 flat-stake bets.Under 2.5 goals▲ +1.1u
23 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing under 2.5 goals in every Professional Development League match in 2026-2027: +1.1 units over 23 flat-stake bets.Over 2.5 goals▼ -2.3u
23 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing over 2.5 goals in every Professional Development League match in 2026-2027: -2.3 units over 23 flat-stake bets.HT Under 1.5▼ -5.9u
23 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht under 1.5 in every Professional Development League match in 2026-2027: -5.9 units over 23 flat-stake bets.Home wins▼ -9.8u
23 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing home wins in every Professional Development League match in 2026-2027: -9.8 units over 23 flat-stake bets.Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 9 | 4.0 | +5.0 | |
| 2 |  Barnsley U21 | 7 | 3.9 | +3.1 | |
| 3 |  Huddersfield U21 | 6 | 3.2 | +2.8 | |
| 4 |  Peterborough U21 | 6 | 2.7 | +3.3 | |
| 5 |  Fleetwood U21 | 6 | 3.8 | +2.2 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 15 |  QPR U21 | 1 | 3.6 | -2.6 | |
| 16 |  Coventry U21 | 0 | 3.2 | -3.2 | |
| 17 |  Millwall U21 | 0 | 2.6 | -2.6 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdown
Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+