Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 8 OctThe season in numbers
HT Over 1.5 paid out more than the market charged: +6.0% at market prices across 51 matches. 1 other market also came out ahead; the rest returned less than they cost.
QPR U21 produced performances worth 6 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 24.5' on average.
Add Professional Development League fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 8 OctWe simulate the remaining Professional Development League schedule 10,000 times a day. Bolton U21 win the 2026-2027 title in 73% of them, projecting ~54 points; Cardiff U21 are next at 12%. At the other end, Millwall U21 finish in the bottom three in 88% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 18 | 54 | 48–60 | 73% | 99% | — |
| 2 |  Cardiff U21 | 8 | 46 | 39–53 | 12% | 80% | — |
| 3 |  Sheffield Utd U21 | 10 | 45 | 38–52 | 7% | 74% | — |
| 4 |  Bristol City U21 | 12 | 44 | 37–51 | 6% | 66% | <1% |
| 5 |  Coventry U21 | 10 | 39 | 32–46 | <1% | 31% | <1% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 15 |  Hull U21 | 2 | 21 | 14–28 | — | <1% | 66% |
| 16 |  QPR U21 | 4 | 20 | 13–26 | — | — | 79% |
| 17 |  Millwall U21 | 0 | 17 | 10–24 | — | — | 88% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 153 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
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<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/england/professional-development-league/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Professional Development League live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/england/professional-development-league">Professional Development League stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every Professional Development League match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 18 | 8.8 | +9.2 | outperformed expectations |
| 2 |  Fleetwood U21 | 15 | 7.3 | +7.7 | |
| 3 | Bristol City U21 | 12 | 10.7 | +1.3 | |
| 4 |  Swansea U21 | 12 | 12.4 | -0.4 | |
| 5 | Coventry U21 | 10 | 9.6 | +0.4 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 15 | QPR U21 | 4 | 9.8 | -5.8 | |
| 16 | Hull U21 | 2 | 5.6 | -3.6 | |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 0 | 5.1 | -5.1 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisFleetwood U2115 ptsBristol City U2112 ptsSwansea U2112 ptsCoventry U2110 ptsSheffield Utd U2110 pts
Wigan U2110 pts
Charlton U219 ptsCardiff U218 pts
Barnsley U217 pts
Peterborough U217 pts
Huddersfield U216 pts
Sheffield Wed U216 pts
Colchester U216 ptsQPR U214 ptsHull U212 ptsMillwall U210 ptsGo deeper
Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+