The season in numbers
The outlier
+6.0uBlindly backing over 2.5 goals in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-2.9 ptsGuadalajara produced performances worth 3 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
13%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 24.5' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Segunda RFEF - Group 5 match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Over 2.5 goals▲ +6.0u
16 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing over 2.5 goals in every Segunda RFEF - Group 5 match in 2026-2027: +6.0 units over 16 flat-stake bets.HT Under 1.5▲ +1.9u
16 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht under 1.5 in every Segunda RFEF - Group 5 match in 2026-2027: +1.9 units over 16 flat-stake bets.Away wins▼ -0.4u
16 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing away wins in every Segunda RFEF - Group 5 match in 2026-2027: -0.4 units over 16 flat-stake bets.Home wins▼ -1.2u
16 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing home wins in every Segunda RFEF - Group 5 match in 2026-2027: -1.2 units over 16 flat-stake bets.Draws▼ -5.5u
16 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing draws in every Segunda RFEF - Group 5 match in 2026-2027: -5.5 units over 16 flat-stake bets.Under 2.5 goals▼ -6.0u
16 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing under 2.5 goals in every Segunda RFEF - Group 5 match in 2026-2027: -6.0 units over 16 flat-stake bets.HT Over 1.5▼ -6.6u
16 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht over 1.5 in every Segunda RFEF - Group 5 match in 2026-2027: -6.6 units over 16 flat-stake bets.Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  RSD Alcala | 6 | 3.0 | +3.0 | |
| 2 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 6 | 2.7 | +3.3 | |
| 3 |  San Sebastian Reyes | 6 | 3.4 | +2.6 | |
| 4 | Salamanca | 6 | 2.5 | +3.5 | |
| 5 | Atl. Madrid C | 6 | 2.7 | +3.3 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 16 | Atl. Tordesillas | 0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 0 | 2.4 | -2.4 | |
| 18 | Puertollano C.F. | 0 | 2.7 | -2.7 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisRSD Alcala6 ptsGimnastica Segoviana6 ptsSan Sebastian Reyes6 ptsSalamanca6 ptsAtl. Madrid C6 ptsValladolid Promesas6 ptsNumancia3 pts
Real Madrid C2 ptsAlbacete B2 pts
Conquense1 pts
Getafe B1 ptsGuadalajara0 ptsReal Avila0 pts
Navalcarnero0 ptsAtl. Paso0 ptsAtl. Tordesillas0 ptsCF Talavera0 ptsPuertollano C.F.0 ptsGo deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdownOdds archive · €296 seasons of open/close odds, every bookmaker
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+