Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 8 OctThe season in numbers
Home wins paid out more than the market charged: +20.0% at market prices across 52 matches. 1 other market also came out ahead; the rest returned less than they cost.
Real Madrid C produced performances worth 5 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 30.3' on average.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
all leagues →| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guadalajara– Getafe B | 2026-10-11 | 16:00 | Over 2.5 | 51.8% | 49.0% | ▲ +2.8% | 2.04 |
Add Segunda RFEF - Group 5 fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 8 OctWe simulate the remaining Segunda RFEF - Group 5 schedule 10,000 times a day. San Sebastian Reyes win the 2026-2027 title in 25% of them, projecting ~63 points; Numancia are next at 19%. At the other end, Puertollano C.F. finish in the bottom three in 94% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Sebastian Reyes | 13 | 63 | 55–72 | 25% | 71% | — |
| 2 | Numancia | 11 | 62 | 54–70 | 19% | 64% | — |
| 3 | Valladolid Promesas | 12 | 62 | 53–71 | 21% | 65% | — |
| 4 | Salamanca | 12 | 60 | 51–68 | 12% | 50% | — |
| 5 | Atl. Madrid C | 15 | 59 | 51–68 | 10% | 44% | — |
| · · · | |||||||
| 16 | Atl. Tordesillas | 4 | 30 | 23–38 | — | <1% | 60% |
| 17 | Albacete B | 6 | 26 | 19–33 | — | — | 86% |
| 18 | Puertollano C.F. | 4 | 23 | 16–30 | — | — | 94% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 261 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
</> Embed this table on your site</> Embed this table — free, updates hourly, keep the credit link
<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/spain/segunda-rfef-group-5/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Segunda RFEF - Group 5 live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/spain/segunda-rfef-group-5">Segunda RFEF - Group 5 stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every Segunda RFEF - Group 5 match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 15 | 6.1 | +8.9 | outperformed expectations |
| 2 | San Sebastian Reyes | 13 | 9.8 | +3.2 | |
| 3 | Valladolid Promesas | 12 | 8.5 | +3.5 | |
| 4 | Salamanca | 12 | 7.8 | +4.2 | |
| 5 | Numancia | 11 | 4.5 | +6.5 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 16 | Atl. Tordesillas | 4 | 6.6 | -2.6 | |
| 17 | Puertollano C.F. | 4 | 7.8 | -3.8 | |
| 18 | Getafe B | 3 | 6.4 | -3.4 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisSan Sebastian Reyes13 ptsValladolid Promesas12 ptsSalamanca12 ptsNumancia11 ptsGimnastica Segoviana10 pts
Conquense10 pts
RSD Alcala9 ptsCF Talavera8 pts
Navalcarnero7 ptsReal Avila6 ptsAlbacete B6 ptsGuadalajara5 ptsAtl. Paso5 pts
Real Madrid C4 ptsAtl. Tordesillas4 ptsPuertollano C.F.4 ptsGetafe B3 ptsGo deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+