Fastest starters
CF Intercity21%
9 of their 42 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
Real Madrid C36%
15 of their 42 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
🏆
Rayo Majadahonda are 2025-2026 champions — 70 pts
Their xPTS said 57.0: a title won, outperforming the market.
2026-27
next season soon
The season in numbers
The outlier
+31.2uBlindly backing over 2.5 goals in every match beat the market this season. The other 4 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-10.0 ptsCF Intercity produced performances worth 10 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
32%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 31.7' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Segunda RFEF - Group 5 match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Final table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Majadahonda | 70 | 57.0 | +13.0 | champions — earned it |
| 2 | San Sebastian Reyes | 70 | 56.0 | +14.0 | outperformed expectations |
| 3 | Conquense |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdown
Follow the Segunda RFEF - Group 5
One email per matchweek: fixtures with data leans, who's outperforming the market, and anything it's mispricing. Starts with the 2026-27 season. No tips, no spam.
Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+