Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 27 OctThe season in numbers
Over 2.5 goals paid out more than the market charged: +15.6% at market prices across 79 matches. 2 other markets also came out ahead; the rest returned less than they cost.
Real Madrid C produced performances worth 7 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 30.8' on average.
Add Segunda RFEF - Group 5 fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 27 OctWe simulate the remaining Segunda RFEF - Group 5 schedule 10,000 times a day. San Sebastian Reyes win the 2026-2027 title in 37% of them, projecting ~64 points; Valladolid Promesas are next at 28%. At the other end, Puertollano C.F. finish in the bottom three in 88% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Sebastian Reyes | 19 | 64 | 55–72 | 37% | 82% | — |
| 2 | Valladolid Promesas | 17 | 62 | 54–70 | 28% | 76% | — |
| 3 | Salamanca | 16 | 59 | 51–67 | 13% | 58% | — |
| 4 |  Conquense | 17 | 57 | 48–65 | 7% | 44% | <1% |
| 5 | CF Talavera | 15 | 56 | 48–64 | 5% | 37% | <1% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 16 | Real Avila | 7 | 33 | 25–41 | <1% | <1% | 55% |
| 17 | Albacete B | 10 | 31 | 24–39 | — | — | 69% |
| 18 | Puertollano C.F. | 6 | 27 | 20–34 | — | — | 88% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 234 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
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<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/spain/segunda-rfef-group-5/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Segunda RFEF - Group 5 live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/spain/segunda-rfef-group-5">Segunda RFEF - Group 5 stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every Segunda RFEF - Group 5 match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Sebastian Reyes | 19 | 14.6 | +4.4 | |
| 2 | Valladolid Promesas | 17 | 12.1 | +4.9 | |
| 3 | Conquense | 17 | 13.3 | +3.7 | |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid C | 17 | 9.3 | +7.7 | |
| 5 | Salamanca | 16 | 12.0 | +4.0 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 16 |  Real Madrid C | 6 | 13.1 | -7.1 | |
| 17 | Puertollano C.F. | 6 | 10.9 | -4.9 | |
| 18 |  Getafe B | 5 | 10.9 | -5.9 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisSan Sebastian Reyes19 ptsValladolid Promesas17 ptsConquense17 ptsAtl. Madrid C17 ptsSalamanca16 ptsCF Talavera15 ptsGimnastica Segoviana13 ptsNumancia13 pts
Navalcarnero12 pts
RSD Alcala11 ptsAlbacete B10 ptsAtl. Paso9 ptsAtl. Tordesillas9 ptsGuadalajara9 ptsReal Avila7 ptsReal Madrid C6 ptsPuertollano C.F.6 ptsGetafe B5 ptsGo deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+