Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2021-2022 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Racing Cartagena MM	34	55	43.6	+11.4Outperforming ++	12	+10.6	+0.8	2:3 vs Melilla (+2.0)	0:1 vs Granada CF B (-1.5)
2	CF Intercity	34	66	54.9	+11.1Outperforming ++	3	+4.0	+7.1	1:2 vs Aguilas FC (+1.9)	0:1 vs El Ejido (-2.0)
3	La Nucia	34	64	56.6	+7.4Outperforming ++	1	+3.8	+3.6	1:4 vs Pulpileno (+1.8)	1:0 vs Granada CF B (-2.0)
4	Alzira	34	51	45.2	+5.8Outperforming ++	10	+4.7	+1.1	1:2 vs Levante B (+2.4)	0:1 vs Melilla (-1.6)
5	Eldense	34	56	50.8	+5.2Outperforming ++	5	-4.1	+9.3	1:2 vs Murcia (+2.0)	0:2 vs Socuellamos (-2.0)
6	Murcia	34	58	54.4	+3.6Outperforming	4	+4.6	-1.0	1:2 vs La Nucia (+1.9)	1:2 vs Eldense (-1.7)
7	Socuellamos	34	43	41.9	+1.1On expectation	14	+2.6	-1.5	0:2 vs Eldense (+2.3)	2:3 vs Puertollano C.F. (-2.2)
8	Mancha	34	43	42.0	+1.0On expectation	13	-4.0	+5.0	0:1 vs Eldense (+2.0)	0:2 vs Marchamalo (-2.0)
9	Granada CF B	34	46	45.0	+0.9On expectation	11	-2.0	+3.0	1:0 vs La Nucia (+2.2)	1:2 vs Marchamalo (-2.0)
10	Hercules	34	56	56.1	-0.1On expectation	2	+1.0	-1.1	1:2 vs Melilla (+1.8)	0:3 vs Levante B (-1.8)
11	Marchamalo	34	32	32.2	-0.2On expectation	18	+1.2	-1.4	1:2 vs Granada CF B (+2.3)	1:2 vs Socuellamos (-1.5)
12	Melilla	34	45	46.6	-1.6On expectation	7	+1.6	-3.3	0:1 vs Aguilas FC (+2.0)	2:3 vs Racing Cartagena MM (-1.7)
13	El Ejido	34	43	45.6	-2.6Underperforming	8	-6.8	+4.2	0:1 vs CF Intercity (+2.2)	0:1 vs Pulpileno (-1.9)
14	Pulpileno	34	34	40.2	-6.2Underperforming −−	15	-8.0	+1.8	0:1 vs El Ejido (+2.1)	0:3 vs Granada CF B (-1.4)
15	Aguilas FC	34	41	47.8	-6.8Underperforming −−	6	-6.1	-0.7	0:1 vs Eldense (+1.9)	0:1 vs Melilla (-1.7)
16	Levante B	34	38	45.4	-7.4Underperforming −−	9	-6.9	-0.5	0:3 vs Hercules (+2.1)	1:2 vs Alzira (-2.1)
17	Puertollano C.F.	34	29	39.7	-10.7Underperforming −−	16	-2.7	-8.0	2:3 vs Socuellamos (+2.4)	1:2 vs Marchamalo (-1.8)
18	Toledo	34	28	39.5	-11.5Underperforming −−	17	-12.1	+0.6	0:2 vs Levante B (+2.1)	0:1 vs Aguilas FC (-1.6)

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Racing Cartagena MM	34	55	43.6	+11.4Outperforming ++	12	+10.6	+0.8	2:3 vs Melilla (+2.0)	0:1 vs Granada CF B (-1.5)
2	CF Intercity	34	66	54.9	+11.1Outperforming ++	3	+4.0	+7.1	1:2 vs Aguilas FC (+1.9)	0:1 vs El Ejido (-2.0)
3	La Nucia	34	64	56.6	+7.4Outperforming ++	1	+3.8	+3.6	1:4 vs Pulpileno (+1.8)	1:0 vs Granada CF B (-2.0)
4	Alzira	34	51	45.2	+5.8Outperforming ++	10	+4.7	+1.1	1:2 vs Levante B (+2.4)	0:1 vs Melilla (-1.6)
5	Eldense	34	56	50.8	+5.2Outperforming ++	5	-4.1	+9.3	1:2 vs Murcia (+2.0)	0:2 vs Socuellamos (-2.0)
6	Murcia	34	58	54.4	+3.6Outperforming	4	+4.6	-1.0	1:2 vs La Nucia (+1.9)	1:2 vs Eldense (-1.7)
7	Socuellamos	34	43	41.9	+1.1On expectation	14	+2.6	-1.5	0:2 vs Eldense (+2.3)	2:3 vs Puertollano C.F. (-2.2)
8	Mancha	34	43	42.0	+1.0On expectation	13	-4.0	+5.0	0:1 vs Eldense (+2.0)	0:2 vs Marchamalo (-2.0)
9	Granada CF B	34	46	45.0	+0.9On expectation	11	-2.0	+3.0	1:0 vs La Nucia (+2.2)	1:2 vs Marchamalo (-2.0)
10	Hercules	34	56	56.1	-0.1On expectation	2	+1.0	-1.1	1:2 vs Melilla (+1.8)	0:3 vs Levante B (-1.8)
11	Marchamalo	34	32	32.2	-0.2On expectation	18	+1.2	-1.4	1:2 vs Granada CF B (+2.3)	1:2 vs Socuellamos (-1.5)
12	Melilla	34	45	46.6	-1.6On expectation	7	+1.6	-3.3	0:1 vs Aguilas FC (+2.0)	2:3 vs Racing Cartagena MM (-1.7)
13	El Ejido	34	43	45.6	-2.6Underperforming	8	-6.8	+4.2	0:1 vs CF Intercity (+2.2)	0:1 vs Pulpileno (-1.9)
14	Pulpileno	34	34	40.2	-6.2Underperforming −−	15	-8.0	+1.8	0:1 vs El Ejido (+2.1)	0:3 vs Granada CF B (-1.4)
15	Aguilas FC	34	41	47.8	-6.8Underperforming −−	6	-6.1	-0.7	0:1 vs Eldense (+1.9)	0:1 vs Melilla (-1.7)
16	Levante B	34	38	45.4	-7.4Underperforming −−	9	-6.9	-0.5	0:3 vs Hercules (+2.1)	1:2 vs Alzira (-2.1)
17	Puertollano C.F.	34	29	39.7	-10.7Underperforming −−	16	-2.7	-8.0	2:3 vs Socuellamos (+2.4)	1:2 vs Marchamalo (-1.8)
18	Toledo	34	28	39.5	-11.5Underperforming −−	17	-12.1	+0.6	0:2 vs Levante B (+2.1)	0:1 vs Aguilas FC (-1.6)