Segunda RFEF - Group 5hub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 34 | 61 | 49.5 | +11.5Outperforming ++ | 7 | +10.3 | +1.1 | 0:1 vs CD Badajoz (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Union Adarve (-1.7) |
2 | Getafe B | 34 | 57 | 47.1 | +9.9Outperforming ++ | 8 | +6.7 | +3.2 | 1:2 vs San Sebastian Reyes (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Illescas (-1.6) |
3 | Atl. Paso | 34 | 56 | 46.2 | +9.8Outperforming ++ | 9 | +10.1 | -0.3 | 0:1 vs CD Badajoz (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Villanovense (-1.7) |
4 | San Sebastian Reyes | 34 | 61 | 54.8 | +6.2Outperforming ++ | 3 | +3.5 | +2.7 | 1:2 vs Cacereno (+2.1) | 2:3 vs San Fernando (-1.9) |
5 | Llerenense | 34 | 44 | 39.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 16 | +3.1 | +1.8 | 0:3 vs Illescas (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Navalcarnero (-1.5) |
6 | Numancia | 34 | 60 | 56.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 1 | +4.2 | -0.4 | 0:3 vs Getafe B (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Montijo (-2.1) |
7 | Union Adarve | 34 | 48 | 45.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 10 | +0.8 | +1.4 | 1:2 vs CD Badajoz (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Montijo (-1.7) |
8 | Illescas | 34 | 44 | 42.3 | +1.7On expectation | 14 | -2.9 | +4.6 | 2:3 vs Numancia (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Montijo (-2.0) |
9 | Ursaria | 34 | 44 | 42.5 | +1.5On expectation | 13 | +1.9 | -0.3 | 2:3 vs Cacereno (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Atl. Paso (-1.5) |
10 | Navalcarnero | 34 | 46 | 44.7 | +1.3On expectation | 11 | -2.9 | +4.2 | 0:1 vs Villanovense (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Villanovense (-1.7) |
11 | Villanovense | 34 | 44 | 43.1 | +0.9On expectation | 12 | -1.4 | +2.3 | 0:1 vs Cacereno (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Navalcarnero (-1.7) |
12 | San Fernando | 34 | 38 | 39.7 | -1.7On expectation | 15 | -1.4 | -0.3 | 2:3 vs San Sebastian Reyes (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Montijo (-1.7) |
13 | Cacereno | 34 | 49 | 52.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 4 | -3.7 | +0.3 | 5:0 vs Numancia (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Ursaria (-1.9) |
14 | Guadalajara | 34 | 46 | 50.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 6 | -0.3 | -4.3 | 0:2 vs Numancia (+2.1) | 1:3 vs San Fernando (-1.9) |
15 | Montijo | 34 | 23 | 31.0 | -8.0Underperforming −− | 18 | -7.8 | -0.2 | 1:2 vs Numancia (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Illescas (-1.6) |
16 | CF Talavera | 34 | 46 | 55.4 | -9.4Underperforming −− | 2 | -1.8 | -7.6 | 0:1 vs Gimnastica Segoviana (+1.6) | 1:2 vs CD Badajoz (-2.0) |
17 | Mensajero | 34 | 25 | 36.5 | -11.5Underperforming −− | 17 | -6.4 | -5.1 | 1:0 vs CF Talavera (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Llerenense (-1.6) |
18 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 37 | 51.0 | -14.1Underperforming −− | 5 | -6.6 | -7.5 | 1:2 vs CF Talavera (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Union Adarve (-1.9) |
