Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Atl. Madrid C | 9 | 17 | 9.3 | +7.7Outperforming ++ | 16 | +6.6 | +1.0 | 0:1 vs Atl. Paso (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Albacete B (-0.9) |
2 | Valladolid Promesas | 9 | 17 | 12.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 8 | +6.8 | -1.9 | 2:1 vs Real Avila (+1.5) | 2:1 vs CF Talavera (-1.0) |
3 | San Sebastian Reyes | 9 | 19 | 14.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 1 | +2.9 | +1.5 | 1:2 vs RSD Alcala (+1.7) | 2:0 vs Gimnastica Segoviana (-1.4) |
4 | Salamanca | 9 | 16 | 12.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 10 | +4.0 | -0.0 | 2:3 vs Guadalajara (+1.8) | 2:0 vs Atl. Tordesillas (-1.5) |
5 | Conquense | 8 | 17 | 13.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 3 | +0.5 | +3.2 | 1:2 vs Gimnastica Segoviana (+1.8) | 3:2 vs Atl. Madrid C (-1.6) |
6 | Numancia | 8 | 13 | 9.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 15 | -1.8 | -1.2 | 1:0 vs Guadalajara (+1.2) | 2:3 vs Navalcarnero (-2.1) |
7 | CF Talavera | 9 | 15 | 12.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 6 | +3.3 | -1.0 | 0:4 vs Albacete B (+1.5) | 3:0 vs RSD Alcala (-1.2) |
8 | Atl. Paso | 8 | 9 | 7.8 | +1.3On expectation | 18 | +1.9 | -0.6 | 1:0 vs Real Madrid C (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Atl. Madrid C (-1.7) |
9 | Navalcarnero | 9 | 12 | 10.9 | +1.1On expectation | 12 | -0.6 | +1.6 | 2:3 vs Numancia (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Conquense (-1.2) |
10 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 9 | 13 | 12.6 | +0.4On expectation | 7 | -1.3 | +1.7 | 2:0 vs San Sebastian Reyes (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Conquense (-1.5) |
11 | Atl. Tordesillas | 9 | 9 | 9.3 | -0.3On expectation | 17 | +1.4 | -1.7 | 3:0 vs Guadalajara (+2.0) | 4:3 vs Albacete B (-1.1) |
12 | Albacete B | 9 | 10 | 11.3 | -1.3On expectation | 11 | +0.7 | -2.0 | 4:3 vs Atl. Tordesillas (+1.3) | 0:4 vs CF Talavera (-1.2) |
13 | RSD Alcala | 9 | 11 | 12.8 | -1.8On expectation | 5 | +0.8 | -2.5 | 3:0 vs CF Talavera (+1.5) | 1:3 vs Navalcarnero (-1.7) |
14 | Guadalajara | 9 | 9 | 13.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 2 | -1.9 | -3.0 | 2:1 vs RSD Alcala (+1.3) | 3:0 vs Atl. Tordesillas (-1.7) |
15 | Puertollano C.F. | 9 | 6 | 10.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 13 | -2.5 | -2.5 | 1:0 vs Atl. Tordesillas (+1.3) | 0:3 vs Gimnastica Segoviana (-1.4) |
16 | Real Avila | 9 | 7 | 12.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 9 | +2.4 | -7.4 | 1:0 vs Getafe B (+1.4) | 2:1 vs Atl. Madrid C (-1.4) |
17 | Getafe B | 8 | 5 | 10.9 | -5.9Underperforming −− | 14 | -2.3 | -3.6 | 2:2 vs Conquense (+-0.1) | 1:0 vs Salamanca (-1.4) |
18 | Real Madrid C | 9 | 6 | 13.1 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 4 | -3.8 | -3.3 | 0:0 vs RSD Alcala (+-0.0) | 1:0 vs Atl. Paso (-1.6) |
