The season in numbers
The outlier
+4.7uBlindly backing over 2.5 goals in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-3.1 ptsHercules produced performances worth 3 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
25%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 33.8' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Primera RFEF - Group 2 match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Over 2.5 goals▲ +4.7u
20 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing over 2.5 goals in every Primera RFEF - Group 2 match in 2026-2027: +4.7 units over 20 flat-stake bets.HT Under 1.5▼ -0.2u
20 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht under 1.5 in every Primera RFEF - Group 2 match in 2026-2027: -0.2 units over 20 flat-stake bets.Draws▼ -1.0u
20 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing draws in every Primera RFEF - Group 2 match in 2026-2027: -1.0 units over 20 flat-stake bets.Home wins▼ -2.9u
20 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing home wins in every Primera RFEF - Group 2 match in 2026-2027: -2.9 units over 20 flat-stake bets.HT Over 1.5▼ -3.8u
20 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht over 1.5 in every Primera RFEF - Group 2 match in 2026-2027: -3.8 units over 20 flat-stake bets.Under 2.5 goals▼ -4.8u
20 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing under 2.5 goals in every Primera RFEF - Group 2 match in 2026-2027: -4.8 units over 20 flat-stake bets.Away wins▼ -5.9u
20 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing away wins in every Primera RFEF - Group 2 match in 2026-2027: -5.9 units over 20 flat-stake bets.Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Murcia | 6 | 3.3 | +2.7 | |
| 2 |  Villarreal B | 6 | 3.2 | +2.8 | |
| 3 | Jaen | 4 | 2.7 | +1.3 | |
| 4 |  Atl. Madrid B | 4 | 2.8 | +1.2 | |
| 5 |  FC Cartagena SAD | 4 | 2.8 | +1.2 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 18 | Rayo Majadahonda | 0 | 2.1 | -2.1 | |
| 19 |  Algeciras | 0 | 2.4 | -2.4 | |
| 20 |  Hercules | 0 | 3.1 | -3.1 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdownOdds archive · €295 seasons of open/close odds, every bookmaker
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+