Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 26 OctThe season in numbers
Every market returned less than it cost this season. The closest, over 2.5 goals, returned −0.1% at market prices across 90 matches — the bookmaker margin at work.
Rayo Majadahonda produced performances worth 5 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 34' on average.
Add Primera RFEF - Group 2 fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 26 OctWe simulate the remaining Primera RFEF - Group 2 schedule 10,000 times a day. Zaragoza win the 2026-2027 title in 56% of them, projecting ~74 points; Villarreal B are next at 32%. At the other end, Aguilas FC finish in the bottom three in 77% of simulations. Biggest move after the latest results: Villarreal B's title chance up 9 points in a day.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaragoza | 20 | 74 | 65–83 | ▼56% | 96% | — |
| 2 | Villarreal B | 20 | 71 | 62–79 | ▲32% | 91% | — |
| 3 | Jaen | 16 | 63 | 54–72 | 5% | 57% | <1% |
| 4 | UD Ibiza | 14 | 59 | 51–68 | 2% | 35% | <1% |
| 5 | Murcia | 16 | 58 | 50–67 | 1% | 28% | <1% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 18 | Torremolinos | 6 | 40 | 31–48 | — | <1% | 43% |
| 19 | Teruel | 6 | 35 | 27–43 | — | <1% | 72% |
| 20 | Aguilas FC | 7 | 34 | 26–42 | — | — | 77% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 290 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
</> Embed this table on your site</> Embed this table — free, updates hourly, keep the credit link
<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/spain/primera-rfef-group-2/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Primera RFEF - Group 2 live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/spain/primera-rfef-group-2">Primera RFEF - Group 2 stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every Primera RFEF - Group 2 match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal B | 20 | 14.3 | +5.7 | |
| 2 | Zaragoza | 20 | 14.8 | +5.2 | |
| 3 | Jaen | 16 | 11.4 | +4.6 | |
| 4 | Murcia | 16 | 14.0 | +2.0 | |
| 5 | FC Cartagena SAD | 15 | 12.6 | +2.4 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 18 | CE Europa | 7 | 9.7 | -2.7 | |
| 19 | Torremolinos | 6 | 8.1 | -2.1 | |
| 20 | Teruel | 6 | 8.8 | -2.8 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Villarreal B20 ptsZaragoza20 ptsJaen16 pts
Murcia16 pts
FC Cartagena SAD15 pts
Alcorcon14 pts
Gimnastic14 pts
UD Ibiza14 pts
Algeciras13 pts
Hercules13 ptsHuesca12 ptsReal Madrid B12 pts
Antequera11 pts
Atl. Madrid B10 ptsSant Andreu9 ptsRayo Majadahonda7 ptsAguilas FC7 pts
CE Europa7 pts
Torremolinos6 pts
Teruel6 ptsGo deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+
