Primera RFEF - Group 2 2023-2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Cordoba | 38 | 77 | 64.5 | +12.5Outperforming ++ | 4 | +4.3 | +8.2 | 2:3 vs Castellon (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Alcoyano (-2.2) |
2 | Castellon | 38 | 82 | 70.8 | +11.2Outperforming ++ | 1 | +6.1 | +5.0 | 2:1 vs Malaga (+1.7) | 2:1 vs Merida AD (-1.9) |
3 | Recreativo Huelva | 38 | 61 | 51.3 | +9.8Outperforming ++ | 10 | +8.0 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs Atl. Madrid B (+2.1) | 1:4 vs Linares (-1.9) |
4 | Ceuta | 38 | 62 | 56.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 6 | +7.9 | -1.9 | 1:2 vs UD Ibiza (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Linares (-1.5) |
5 | Murcia | 38 | 58 | 53.3 | +4.7Outperforming | 7 | -2.0 | +6.8 | 2:3 vs Alcoyano (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Sanluqueno (-1.9) |
6 | Antequera | 38 | 56 | 51.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 9 | -0.1 | +4.7 | 0:3 vs Sanluqueno (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Algeciras (-1.6) |
7 | Malaga | 38 | 70 | 66.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 3 | -0.6 | +4.5 | 0:2 vs Antequera (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Alcoyano (-2.1) |
8 | Merida AD | 38 | 47 | 43.1 | +3.9Outperforming | 16 | +1.9 | +2.0 | 0:1 vs CF Intercity (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Antequera (-1.4) |
9 | UD Ibiza | 38 | 68 | 66.6 | +1.4On expectation | 2 | -1.6 | +3.0 | 1:3 vs Castellon (+2.0) | 1:3 vs CF Intercity (-2.1) |
10 | Alcoyano | 38 | 51 | 49.8 | +1.2On expectation | 11 | +0.8 | +0.4 | 0:1 vs Cordoba (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Granada CF B (-1.9) |
11 | Atl. Madrid B | 38 | 53 | 53.0 | +0.0On expectation | 8 | +1.0 | -1.0 | 0:1 vs UD Ibiza (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Recreativo Huelva (-1.8) |
12 | Algeciras | 38 | 46 | 47.3 | -1.3On expectation | 15 | +2.1 | -3.5 | 0:1 vs Antequera (+1.9) | 0:1 vs CF Intercity (-1.5) |
13 | Sanluqueno | 38 | 45 | 48.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 13 | +0.6 | -4.0 | 2:3 vs Murcia (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Antequera (-1.7) |
14 | CF Intercity | 38 | 45 | 48.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 12 | -3.0 | -0.5 | 1:3 vs UD Ibiza (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Merida AD (-2.0) |
15 | Linares | 38 | 39 | 43.1 | -4.2Underperforming | 17 | -1.9 | -2.2 | 0:1 vs Cordoba (+2.2) | 3:1 vs Baleares (-1.8) |
16 | Real Madrid B | 38 | 51 | 56.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 5 | -7.7 | +1.9 | 1:2 vs Cordoba (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Merida AD (-2.0) |
17 | Melilla | 38 | 34 | 40.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 18 | +2.7 | -8.7 | 1:0 vs Malaga (+2.1) | 1:2 vs CF Intercity (-1.4) |
18 | San Fernando | 38 | 42 | 48.4 | -6.4Underperforming −− | 14 | -0.6 | -5.8 | 2:0 vs Castellon (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Merida AD (-1.8) |
19 | Baleares | 38 | 29 | 36.6 | -7.6Underperforming −− | 20 | -1.6 | -6.0 | 3:1 vs Linares (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Atl. Madrid B (-1.4) |
20 | Granada CF B | 38 | 27 | 38.1 | -11.2Underperforming −− | 19 | -1.1 | -10.1 | 3:0 vs Cordoba (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Baleares (-1.7) |
