Primera RFEF - Group 2 2022-2023 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Amorebieta | 38 | 69 | 54.5 | +14.6Outperforming ++ | 5 | +12.4 | +2.1 | 2:3 vs Numancia (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Real Sociedad B (-1.6) |
2 | Barcelona B | 38 | 61 | 52.9 | +8.1Outperforming ++ | 7 | +9.0 | -0.9 | 0:1 vs Osasuna B (+2.0) | 0:2 vs CF Intercity (-1.6) |
3 | Eldense | 38 | 69 | 61.1 | +7.9Outperforming ++ | 2 | +7.9 | +0.0 | 1:2 vs Murcia (+1.9) | 1:0 vs La Nucia (-1.5) |
4 | Real Sociedad B | 38 | 60 | 52.2 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 10 | +3.5 | +4.3 | 1:2 vs Sabadell (+1.9) | 2:3 vs La Nucia (-1.7) |
5 | R. Union | 38 | 48 | 40.3 | +7.7Outperforming ++ | 20 | +3.1 | +4.5 | 0:2 vs Numancia (+2.2) | 0:3 vs UD Logrones (-1.3) |
6 | Cornella | 38 | 49 | 43.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 18 | +3.9 | +1.6 | 0:1 vs UD Logrones (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Calahorra (-1.8) |
7 | SD Logrones | 38 | 51 | 48.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 15 | +2.7 | +0.3 | 1:3 vs UD Logrones (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Calahorra (-1.6) |
8 | Gimnastic | 38 | 53 | 52.4 | +0.6On expectation | 9 | +1.8 | -1.2 | 1:2 vs CF Intercity (+1.8) | 0:1 vs R. Union (-1.9) |
9 | Osasuna B | 38 | 53 | 52.5 | +0.5On expectation | 8 | +4.7 | -4.2 | 1:4 vs Murcia (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Barcelona B (-1.8) |
10 | Castellon | 38 | 62 | 62.3 | -0.3On expectation | 1 | +5.2 | -5.4 | 1:3 vs Osasuna B (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Calahorra (-2.2) |
11 | La Nucia | 38 | 46 | 46.3 | -0.3On expectation | 16 | -0.5 | +0.1 | 1:2 vs Ath Bilbao B (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Numancia (-1.5) |
12 | Sabadell | 38 | 50 | 50.6 | -0.6On expectation | 14 | -0.8 | +0.1 | 0:1 vs Baleares (+2.1) | 0:1 vs R. Union (-1.9) |
13 | CF Intercity | 38 | 49 | 51.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 12 | -1.1 | -1.2 | 0:1 vs Murcia (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Cornella (-1.9) |
14 | Alcoyano | 38 | 47 | 51.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 13 | -1.8 | -2.4 | 0:1 vs UD Logrones (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Cornella (-1.5) |
15 | Murcia | 38 | 56 | 60.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 3 | -5.8 | +1.5 | 1:3 vs CF Intercity (+1.8) | 1:4 vs Osasuna B (-1.9) |
16 | Numancia | 38 | 46 | 53.1 | -7.1Underperforming −− | 6 | -8.4 | +1.2 | 0:1 vs Castellon (+2.2) | 0:2 vs R. Union (-2.0) |
17 | Baleares | 38 | 47 | 56.3 | -9.3Underperforming −− | 4 | -5.4 | -3.9 | 0:1 vs Murcia (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Sabadell (-1.8) |
18 | Calahorra | 38 | 33 | 43.8 | -10.8Underperforming −− | 17 | -11.0 | +0.2 | 1:2 vs Castellon (+2.4) | 2:3 vs Cornella (-1.7) |
19 | UD Logrones | 38 | 36 | 51.8 | -15.8Underperforming −− | 11 | -10.8 | -5.0 | 1:0 vs Numancia (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Cornella (-2.0) |
20 | Ath Bilbao B | 38 | 26 | 43.0 | -17.0Underperforming −− | 19 | -10.5 | -6.5 | 0:1 vs UD Logrones (+2.1) | 1:2 vs La Nucia (-1.7) |
