Primera RFEF - Group 2 2024-2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Merida AD | 38 | 58 | 49.5 | +8.5Outperforming ++ | 13 | +11.1 | -2.6 | 0:4 vs Betis B (+2.0) | 1:4 vs Murcia (-1.3) |
2 | Ceuta | 38 | 67 | 58.6 | +8.4Outperforming ++ | 2 | +6.5 | +1.9 | 0:1 vs Real Madrid B (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Alcorcon (-2.0) |
3 | Sevilla FC B | 38 | 53 | 44.7 | +8.3Outperforming ++ | 20 | +7.9 | +0.4 | 0:1 vs Atl. Madrid B (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Marbella (-1.7) |
4 | Antequera | 38 | 58 | 50.7 | +7.3Outperforming ++ | 12 | +3.7 | +3.6 | 0:1 vs Atl. Madrid B (+2.1) | 3:4 vs Fuenlabrada (-1.9) |
5 | Algeciras | 38 | 52 | 46.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 16 | +2.6 | +2.9 | 0:3 vs Villarreal B (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Marbella (-1.5) |
6 | Murcia | 38 | 64 | 58.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 3 | -3.8 | +9.3 | 1:2 vs UD Ibiza (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Sevilla FC B (-2.0) |
7 | UD Ibiza | 38 | 63 | 59.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 1 | +1.1 | +2.3 | 1:2 vs Villarreal B (+1.8) | 0:2 vs CF Intercity (-2.0) |
8 | Sanluqueno | 38 | 46 | 44.8 | +1.2On expectation | 19 | -2.8 | +3.9 | 0:1 vs Atl. Madrid B (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Alcorcon (-1.6) |
9 | Alcorcon | 38 | 51 | 50.8 | +0.2On expectation | 11 | +5.1 | -4.9 | 0:2 vs Ceuta (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Betis B (-1.8) |
10 | Real Madrid B | 38 | 54 | 55.8 | -1.8On expectation | 5 | +0.7 | -2.5 | 1:3 vs Betis B (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Antequera (-1.8) |
11 | Fuenlabrada | 38 | 43 | 45.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 18 | -1.3 | -1.4 | 3:4 vs Antequera (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Sevilla FC B (-1.6) |
12 | Atl. Madrid B | 38 | 54 | 57.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 4 | +0.6 | -3.8 | 2:3 vs Alcorcon (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Sevilla FC B (-2.1) |
13 | Marbella | 38 | 46 | 49.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 15 | +1.7 | -5.0 | 0:1 vs Sevilla FC B (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Yeclano (-1.6) |
14 | Betis B | 38 | 46 | 49.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 14 | -8.1 | +4.7 | 0:1 vs Murcia (+2.2) | 0:4 vs Merida AD (-1.7) |
15 | Hercules | 38 | 47 | 51.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 8 | +4.1 | -8.4 | 1:2 vs Alcoyano (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Algeciras (-1.7) |
16 | Villarreal B | 38 | 49 | 54.0 | -5.0Underperforming −− | 6 | -4.1 | -0.9 | 0:2 vs Alcoyano (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Algeciras (-1.8) |
17 | Alcoyano | 38 | 42 | 51.1 | -9.1Underperforming −− | 9 | -10.2 | +1.0 | 0:1 vs Murcia (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Sanluqueno (-1.8) |
18 | Yeclano | 38 | 43 | 52.6 | -9.6Underperforming −− | 7 | -8.5 | -1.2 | 0:1 vs Murcia (+2.0) | 1:2 vs CF Intercity (-2.3) |
19 | CF Intercity | 38 | 35 | 45.8 | -10.8Underperforming −− | 17 | -11.6 | +0.8 | 1:2 vs Yeclano (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Algeciras (-1.7) |
20 | Recreativo Huelva | 38 | 37 | 50.9 | -13.9Underperforming −− | 10 | -3.7 | -10.2 | 1:2 vs Hercules (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Betis B (-1.6) |
