Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Villarreal B | 38 | 63 | 51.9 | +11.1Outperforming ++ | 11 | +4.2 | +6.9 | 0:2 vs FC Cartagena SAD (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Teruel (-1.7) |
2 | Eldense | 38 | 69 | 59.5 | +9.5Outperforming ++ | 3 | +13.4 | -4.0 | 0:1 vs UD Ibiza (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Antequera (-1.9) |
3 | Atl. Madrid B | 38 | 67 | 57.7 | +9.3Outperforming ++ | 5 | +7.2 | +2.1 | 0:1 vs Alcorcon (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Gimnastic (-2.0) |
4 | Antequera | 38 | 56 | 47.4 | +8.6Outperforming ++ | 14 | 0.0 | +8.6 | 0:1 vs Sabadell (+2.4) | 2:3 vs Tarazona (-1.6) |
5 | Sabadell | 38 | 68 | 60.0 | +8.0Outperforming ++ | 2 | -0.3 | +8.3 | 1:5 vs Hercules (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Betis B (-2.2) |
6 | CE Europa | 38 | 60 | 54.9 | +5.1Outperforming ++ | 7 | +1.5 | +3.6 | 0:1 vs Alcorcon (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Torremolinos (-1.9) |
7 | Algeciras | 38 | 55 | 50.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 12 | +6.8 | -2.4 | 0:1 vs Hercules (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Hercules (-1.8) |
8 | FC Cartagena SAD | 38 | 57 | 54.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 8 | +5.5 | -3.2 | 1:2 vs Murcia (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Villarreal B (-1.9) |
9 | Betis B | 38 | 45 | 42.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 18 | +2.9 | -0.7 | 1:3 vs Sabadell (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Marbella (-1.4) |
10 | Teruel | 38 | 49 | 47.6 | +1.4On expectation | 13 | +1.9 | -0.5 | 0:1 vs UD Ibiza (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Torremolinos (-1.7) |
11 | Hercules | 38 | 54 | 52.7 | +1.3On expectation | 10 | +8.4 | -7.1 | 0:2 vs Algeciras (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Algeciras (-1.8) |
12 | Torremolinos | 38 | 46 | 45.5 | +0.5On expectation | 17 | +0.8 | -0.3 | 2:3 vs CE Europa (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Betis B (-1.7) |
13 | Tarazona | 38 | 45 | 46.7 | -1.7On expectation | 16 | +2.4 | -4.1 | 2:3 vs Antequera (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Sanluqueno (-2.4) |
14 | Alcorcon | 38 | 51 | 56.4 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 6 | -4.2 | -1.2 | 1:2 vs Gimnastic (+1.9) | 0:1 vs CE Europa (-1.7) |
15 | Gimnastic | 38 | 47 | 53.5 | -6.5Underperforming −− | 9 | +1.6 | -8.0 | 1:2 vs Atl. Madrid B (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Sanluqueno (-1.9) |
16 | Sanluqueno | 38 | 31 | 37.9 | -6.9Underperforming −− | 20 | -5.6 | -1.3 | 0:2 vs Tarazona (+2.6) | 0:2 vs Torremolinos (-1.8) |
17 | Murcia | 38 | 52 | 59.3 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 4 | -8.2 | +0.9 | 0:1 vs FC Cartagena SAD (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Sanluqueno (-2.2) |
18 | UD Ibiza | 38 | 50 | 60.9 | -10.9Underperforming −− | 1 | -3.8 | -7.1 | 0:2 vs Murcia (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Sevilla FC B (-2.4) |
19 | Sevilla FC B | 38 | 28 | 40.4 | -12.4Underperforming −− | 19 | -5.5 | -7.0 | 0:1 vs UD Ibiza (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Tarazona (-1.5) |
20 | Marbella | 38 | 34 | 47.1 | -13.1Underperforming −− | 15 | -3.6 | -9.6 | 0:1 vs UD Ibiza (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Alcorcon (-1.6) |
