The season in numbers
The outlier
+0.8uBlindly backing home wins in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-3.3 ptsUCAM Murcia produced performances worth 3 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
31%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 25.1' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Segunda RFEF - Group 3 match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Home wins▲ +0.8u
13 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing home wins in every Segunda RFEF - Group 3 match in 2026-2027: +0.8 units over 13 flat-stake bets.Draws▼ -0.3u
13 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing draws in every Segunda RFEF - Group 3 match in 2026-2027: -0.3 units over 13 flat-stake bets.HT Over 1.5▼ -0.7u
13 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht over 1.5 in every Segunda RFEF - Group 3 match in 2026-2027: -0.7 units over 13 flat-stake bets.Over 2.5 goals▼ -0.8u
13 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing over 2.5 goals in every Segunda RFEF - Group 3 match in 2026-2027: -0.8 units over 13 flat-stake bets.HT Under 1.5▼ -0.9u
13 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht under 1.5 in every Segunda RFEF - Group 3 match in 2026-2027: -0.9 units over 13 flat-stake bets.Under 2.5 goals▼ -1.9u
13 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing under 2.5 goals in every Segunda RFEF - Group 3 match in 2026-2027: -1.9 units over 13 flat-stake bets.Away wins▼ -4.5u
13 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing away wins in every Segunda RFEF - Group 3 match in 2026-2027: -4.5 units over 13 flat-stake bets.Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellonense | 6 | 2.2 | +3.8 | |
| 2 | CF Intercity | 6 | 3.0 | +3.0 | |
| 3 | Orihuela | 6 | 3.3 | +2.7 | |
| 4 | La Nucia | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6 | |
| 5 | Yeclano | 3 | 1.3 | +1.7 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 16 |  Castellon B | 0 | 2.5 | -2.5 | |
| 17 | Real Murcia B | 0 | 2.2 | -2.2 | |
| 18 | UCAM Murcia | 0 | 3.3 | -3.3 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdownOdds archive · €296 seasons of open/close odds, every bookmaker
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+