Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Castellonense | 8 | 18 | 8.0 | +10.1Outperforming ++ | 17 | +7.0 | +0.1 | 0:2 vs CF Intercity (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Lorca Deportiva (-1.0) |
2 | Castellon B | 8 | 15 | 10.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 12 | +2.2 | +2.7 | 1:4 vs Orihuela (+2.0) | 1:2 vs CF Intercity (-1.2) |
3 | Cieza | 8 | 15 | 10.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 10 | +2.1 | +2.7 | 2:4 vs UCAM Murcia (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Castellonense (-1.4) |
4 | Deportiva Minera | 7 | 14 | 10.9 | +3.0Outperforming | 7 | +4.3 | -1.3 | 2:0 vs La Nucia (+1.4) | 2:0 vs Alcoyano (-1.0) |
5 | La Nucia | 7 | 12 | 10.2 | +1.9On expectation | 11 | +2.2 | -0.3 | 0:1 vs Yeclano (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Lorca Deportiva (-1.7) |
6 | Poblense | 8 | 10 | 8.8 | +1.2On expectation | 15 | +4.3 | -3.1 | 1:0 vs Valencia B (+1.6) | 1:0 vs La Nucia (-1.3) |
7 | CF Intercity | 8 | 12 | 11.0 | +1.0On expectation | 6 | -2.6 | +3.7 | 1:2 vs UCAM Murcia (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Castellonense (-1.7) |
8 | Orihuela | 9 | 14 | 13.3 | +0.7On expectation | 2 | -2.5 | +3.2 | 0:2 vs Mallorca B (+1.8) | 1:4 vs Castellon B (-1.8) |
9 | UCAM Murcia | 9 | 15 | 14.6 | +0.4On expectation | 1 | -0.9 | +1.3 | 1:4 vs Baleares (+1.9) | 2:4 vs Cieza (-1.8) |
10 | Mallorca B | 8 | 9 | 9.7 | -0.7On expectation | 13 | -1.7 | +0.9 | 0:1 vs Real Murcia B (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Orihuela (-1.6) |
11 | Ilicitano | 7 | 7 | 7.9 | -0.9On expectation | 18 | +2.3 | -3.2 | 4:1 vs Valencia B (+1.8) | 4:0 vs Mallorca B (-1.2) |
12 | Alcoyano | 8 | 11 | 12.0 | -1.0On expectation | 4 | +1.1 | -2.2 | 0:1 vs Mallorca B (+1.4) | 3:0 vs Castellon B (-1.5) |
13 | Yeclano | 8 | 10 | 11.6 | -1.6On expectation | 5 | +0.6 | -2.2 | 1:0 vs Baleares (+1.7) | 0:1 vs La Nucia (-1.6) |
14 | Lorca Deportiva | 8 | 9 | 10.7 | -1.7On expectation | 8 | +0.0 | -1.7 | 1:3 vs La Nucia (+2.0) | 3:2 vs Real Murcia B (-1.5) |
15 | Real Murcia B | 8 | 7 | 8.7 | -1.7On expectation | 16 | -1.9 | +0.1 | 0:2 vs Pena Deportiva (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Mallorca B (-1.3) |
16 | Baleares | 8 | 10 | 12.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 3 | -0.1 | -2.3 | 2:0 vs Alcoyano (+1.4) | 1:4 vs UCAM Murcia (-1.6) |
17 | Valencia B | 7 | 5 | 10.4 | -5.4Underperforming −− | 9 | -1.2 | -4.2 | 3:2 vs Pena Deportiva (+1.2) | 1:2 vs Castellon B (-1.7) |
18 | Pena Deportiva | 8 | 4 | 9.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 14 | -1.6 | -4.0 | 3:1 vs Orihuela (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Real Murcia B (-2.0) |
