Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Castellonense | 2 | 6 | 2.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 7 | +3.8 | 0.0 | 2:1 vs UCAM Murcia (+1.9) | 2:1 vs UCAM Murcia (1.9) |
2 | CF Intercity | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 4 | 0.0 | +3.0 | 1:2 vs Castellon B (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Castellon B (1.5) |
3 | Orihuela | 2 | 6 | 3.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 2 | 0.0 | +2.7 | 1:2 vs Real Murcia B (+1.4) | 1:2 vs Real Murcia B (1.4) |
4 | Yeclano | 1 | 3 | 1.3 | +1.7On expectation | 14 | +1.7 | 0.0 | 1:0 vs Baleares (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Baleares (1.7) |
5 | La Nucia | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6On expectation | 12 | +1.6 | 0.0 | 1:0 vs Poblense (+1.6) | 1:0 vs Poblense (1.6) |
6 | Deportiva Minera | 1 | 3 | 1.9 | +1.1On expectation | 8 | +1.1 | 0.0 | 1:0 vs Pena Deportiva (+1.1) | 1:0 vs Pena Deportiva (1.1) |
7 | Cieza | 2 | 2 | 1.9 | +0.1On expectation | 9 | 0.0 | +0.1 | 1:1 vs Alcoyano (+0.1) | 1:1 vs Alcoyano (0.1) |
8 | Mallorca B | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.0On expectation | 17 | 0.0 | -0.0 | 1:1 vs Valencia B (+-0.0) | 1:1 vs Valencia B (-0.0) |
9 | Ilicitano | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2On expectation | 16 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 1:1 vs Lorca Deportiva (+-0.2) | 1:1 vs Lorca Deportiva (-0.2) |
10 | Lorca Deportiva | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | -0.5On expectation | 11 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 1:1 vs Ilicitano (+-0.5) | 1:1 vs Ilicitano (-0.5) |
11 | Valencia B | 1 | 1 | 1.7 | -0.7On expectation | 10 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 1:1 vs Mallorca B (+-0.7) | 1:1 vs Mallorca B (-0.7) |
12 | Pena Deportiva | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 18 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 1:0 vs Deportiva Minera (+-0.8) | 1:0 vs Deportiva Minera (-0.8) |
13 | Poblense | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3On expectation | 15 | 0.0 | -1.3 | 1:0 vs La Nucia (+-1.3) | 1:0 vs La Nucia (-1.3) |
14 | Baleares | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4On expectation | 13 | 0.0 | -1.4 | 1:0 vs Yeclano (+-1.4) | 1:0 vs Yeclano (-1.4) |
15 | Alcoyano | 2 | 2 | 3.5 | -1.6On expectation | 1 | -1.6 | 0.0 | 1:1 vs Cieza (+-0.8) | 1:1 vs Cieza (-0.8) |
16 | Real Murcia B | 2 | 0 | 2.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 6 | -2.2 | 0.0 | 1:2 vs Orihuela (+-1.1) | 1:2 vs Orihuela (-1.1) |
17 | Castellon B | 2 | 0 | 2.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 5 | -2.5 | 0.0 | 1:2 vs CF Intercity (+-1.2) | 1:2 vs CF Intercity (-1.2) |
18 | UCAM Murcia | 2 | 0 | 3.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 3 | 0.0 | -3.3 | 2:1 vs Castellonense (+-1.6) | 2:1 vs Castellonense (-1.6) |
