National League North

• Spalding United – Brackley Town2026-10-27 19:45
  Under 2.5Model 66.5%Implied 47.2%▲ +19.4%
• Morecambe – Darlington2026-10-27 19:45
  Under 1.5 HTModel 75.0%Implied 62.5%▲ +12.5%
• Buxton – Harborough2026-10-27 19:45
  Under 2.5Model 55.5%Implied 43.7%▲ +11.9%
• Bedford – Hednesford2026-10-27 19:45
  Over 1.5 HTModel 53.3%Implied 42.6%▲ +10.8%
• Worksop – King’s Lynn2026-10-27 19:45
  FT U3.5Model 72.9%Implied 64.1%▲ +8.8%
• Chester – Marine2026-10-27 19:45
  Under 2.5Model 56.9%Implied 48.3%▲ +8.6%
• Oxford City – Merthyr Town2026-10-27 19:45
  Away winModel 31.6%Implied 23.8%▲ +7.8%
• Radcliffe – Chorley2026-10-27 19:45
  Away winModel 41.4%Implied 35.5%▲ +6.0%
• Southport – Macclesfield2026-10-27 19:45
  Home winModel 28.9%Implied 23.1%▲ +5.8%
• Hereford – AFC Telford2026-10-27 19:45
  Under 1.5 HTModel 68.8%Implied 63.7%▲ +5.1%
• Spennymoor – South Shields2026-10-27 19:45
  Home winModel 30.3%Implied 28.1%▲ +2.2%

#	Match	Date	Time	Market	Model %	Implied	Divergence▼	Odds
1	Spalding United–Brackley TownNational League North	2026-10-27	19:45	Under 2.5	66.5%	47.2%	▲ +19.4%	2.12
2	Morecambe–DarlingtonNational League North	2026-10-27	19:45	Under 1.5 HT	75.0%	62.5%	▲ +12.5%	1.60
3	Buxton–HarboroughNational League North	2026-10-27	19:45	Under 2.5	55.5%	43.7%	▲ +11.9%	2.29
4	Bedford–HednesfordNational League North	2026-10-27	19:45	Over 1.5 HT	53.3%	42.6%	▲ +10.8%	2.35
5	Worksop–King’s LynnNational League North	2026-10-27	19:45	FT U3.5	72.9%	64.1%	▲ +8.8%	1.56
6	Chester–MarineNational League North	2026-10-27	19:45	Under 2.5	56.9%	48.3%	▲ +8.6%	2.07
7	Oxford City–Merthyr TownNational League North	2026-10-27	19:45	Away win	31.6%	23.8%	▲ +7.8%	4.20
8	Radcliffe–ChorleyNational League North	2026-10-27	19:45	Away win	41.4%	35.5%	▲ +6.0%	2.82
9	Southport–MacclesfieldNational League North	2026-10-27	19:45	Home win	28.9%	23.1%	▲ +5.8%	4.33
10	Hereford–AFC TelfordNational League North	2026-10-27	19:45	Under 1.5 HT	68.8%	63.7%	▲ +5.1%	1.57
11	Spennymoor–South ShieldsNational League North	2026-10-27	19:45	Home win	30.3%	28.1%	▲ +2.2%	3.56

National League North predictions and stats by market: 1X2 · Over 2.5 · Under 2.5 · BTTS · HT Over 1.5 · HT Under 1.5

We simulate the remaining National League North schedule 10,000 times a day. South Shields win the 2026-2027 title in 45% of them, projecting ~83 points; Macclesfield are next at 15%. At the other end, Southport finish in the bottom three in 73% of simulations.

#	Team	Pts now	Proj. pts	Range	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3
1	South Shields	24	83	73–93	45%	83%	—
2	Macclesfield	24	77	67–86	15%	56%	<1%
3	Hereford	26	74	64–84	9%	44%	<1%
4	Morecambe	17	73	64–83	8%	41%	<1%
5	Chester	20	72	62–82	6%	33%	<1%
· · ·
22	Darlington	11	53	43–62	<1%	<1%	36%
23	Spennymoor	7	50	41–59	<1%	<1%	51%
24	Southport	10	46	37–55	—	<1%	73%

Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 402 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.

<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/england/national-league-north/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="National League North live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/england/national-league-north">National League North stats by Football Charts</a></p>

How each market's prices compared with what happened in every National League North match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.