National League North: HT Over 1.5 Goals predictions and stats
National League North 2026/27 so far: 49 of 150 matches (33%) had two or more first-half goals (results to 24 Oct).
Two or more goals in the first half, including first-half added time. Matches ranked by model probability.
Upcoming National League North fixtures
Kickoff times: Europe/Belgrade
Tue, 27 Oct 2026 · 11 matches
Bedford – Hednesford27 Oct 20:45Over 1.5 HTModel 53.3%Implied 42.6%▲ +10.8%- Spennymoor – South Shields27 Oct 20:45Over 1.5 HTModel 43.9%Implied 46.5%-2.6%
- Radcliffe – Chorley27 Oct 20:45Over 1.5 HTModel 41.9%Implied 42.2%-0.3%
- Oxford City – Merthyr Town27 Oct 20:45Over 1.5 HTModel 35.6%Implied 44.4%-8.9%
- Worksop – King’s Lynn27 Oct 20:45Over 1.5 HTModel 32.8%Implied 45.9%-13.1%
- Buxton – Harborough27 Oct 20:45Over 1.5 HTModel 31.8%Implied 44.4%-12.6%
- Hereford – AFC Telford27 Oct 20:45Over 1.5 HTModel 31.2%Implied 44.8%-13.7%
- Southport – Macclesfield27 Oct 20:45Over 1.5 HTModel 28.2%Implied 41.8%-13.6%
- Chester – Marine27 Oct 20:45Over 1.5 HTModel 27.9%Implied 41.7%-13.8%
- Morecambe – Darlington27 Oct 20:45Over 1.5 HTModel 25.0%Implied 45.7%-20.7%
- Spalding United – Brackley Town27 Oct 20:45Over 1.5 HTModel 20.3%Implied 42.4%-22.1%
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bedford– Hednesford | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 1.5 HT | 53.3% | 42.6% | ▲ +10.8% | 2.35 |
| 2 |  Spennymoor– South Shields | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 1.5 HT | 43.9% | 46.5% | -2.6% | 2.15 |
| 3 |  Radcliffe– Chorley | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 1.5 HT | 41.9% | 42.2% | -0.3% | 2.37 |
| 4 |  Oxford City– Merthyr Town | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 1.5 HT | 35.6% | 44.4% | -8.9% | 2.25 |
| 5 |  Worksop– King’s Lynn | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 1.5 HT | 32.8% | 45.9% | -13.1% | 2.18 |
| 6 |  Buxton– Harborough | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 1.5 HT | 31.8% | 44.4% | -12.6% | 2.25 |
| 7 |  Hereford– AFC Telford | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 1.5 HT | 31.2% | 44.8% | -13.7% | 2.23 |
| 8 |  Southport– Macclesfield | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 1.5 HT | 28.2% | 41.8% | -13.6% | 2.39 |
| 9 |  Chester– Marine | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 1.5 HT | 27.9% | 41.7% | -13.8% | 2.40 |
| 10 |  Morecambe– Darlington | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 1.5 HT | 25.0% | 45.7% | -20.7% | 2.19 |
| 11 |  Spalding United– Brackley Town | 27 Oct | 20:45 | Over 1.5 HT | 20.3% | 42.4% | -22.1% | 2.36 |
Model % is the pre-match estimated chance, not a live probability or a past hit rate.
Implied % comes from the odds. Divergence is the difference in percentage points.
HT Over 1.5 by team, 2026/27
How often each team's matches had two or more first-half goals this season, highest first. Home and away: matches with two or more first-half goals / matches played.
| Team | Played | HT Over 1.5 | % | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buxton | 13 | 8 | 62% | 4/6 | 4/7 |
| Hednesford | 13 | 7 | 54% | 3/7 | 4/6 |
| Bedford | 12 | 6 | 50% | 3/5 | 3/7 |
| South Shields | 12 | 6 | 50% | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| Spennymoor | 12 | 6 | 50% | 2/5 | 4/7 |
| Marine | 12 | 5 | 42% | 3/7 | 2/5 |
| Oxford City | 12 | 5 | 42% | 2/5 | 3/7 |
| Darlington | 13 | 5 | 38% | 0/7 | 5/6 |
| Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 38% | 3/7 | 2/6 |
| Scarborough | 13 | 5 | 38% | 3/6 | 2/7 |
| Chester | 12 | 4 | 33% | 1/6 | 3/6 |
| Chorley | 12 | 4 | 33% | 2/7 | 2/5 |
| King’s Lynn | 13 | 4 | 31% | 2/7 | 2/6 |
| Southport | 13 | 4 | 31% | 2/6 | 2/7 |
| AFC Telford | 13 | 3 | 23% | 1/7 | 2/6 |
| Brackley Town | 13 | 3 | 23% | 2/7 | 1/6 |
| Merthyr Town | 13 | 3 | 23% | 2/7 | 1/6 |
| Radcliffe | 13 | 3 | 23% | 2/6 | 1/7 |
| Worksop | 13 | 3 | 23% | 1/6 | 2/7 |
| Harborough | 12 | 2 | 17% | 2/7 | 0/5 |
| Hereford | 12 | 2 | 17% | 2/6 | 0/6 |
| Morecambe | 12 | 2 | 17% | 1/5 | 1/7 |
| Spalding United | 12 | 2 | 17% | 2/5 | 0/7 |
| Macclesfield | 12 | 1 | 8% | 1/7 | 0/5 |
Latest results
National League North matches in the 7 days to Sat, 24 Oct 2026, the newest result.
- 24 OctHarborough 1:1 Worksop(HT 0:1)HT Over 1.5 no
- 24 OctBrackley Town 0:1 Radcliffe(HT 0:1)HT Over 1.5 no
- 24 OctChorley 2:3 Buxton(HT 1:2)HT Over 1.5 yes
- 24 OctDarlington 3:0 Spennymoor(HT 1:0)HT Over 1.5 no
- 24 OctMacclesfield 1:2 Hereford(HT 0:1)HT Over 1.5 no
- 24 OctAFC Telford 2:2 Hebburn Town(HT 0:1)HT Over 1.5 no
- 24 OctSouth Shields 3:1 Chester(HT 1:1)HT Over 1.5 yes
- 24 OctScarborough 1:2 Bedford(HT 1:1)HT Over 1.5 yes
- 24 OctMerthyr Town 1:3 Morecambe(HT 0:1)HT Over 1.5 no
- 24 OctMarine 1:1 Oxford City(HT 1:1)HT Over 1.5 yes
- 24 OctKing’s Lynn 0:0 Southport(HT 0:0)HT Over 1.5 no
- 24 OctHednesford 2:0 Spalding United(HT 0:0)HT Over 1.5 no
National League North table, fixtures and season projection →
HT Over 1.5 Goals: by day
HT Over 1.5 Goals: by league
These rankings come from historical data alone — the market usually knows more. Every prediction is logged pre-match and settled in public. Statistics, not betting advice. 18+ · never stake more than you can afford to lose.