Merthyr Town are 10th in the 2026-2027 National League North after 8 matches — 12 points from a 3-3-2 record, 11 goals scored and 9 conceded. Market-implied expected points say 9.0 — 3.0 more than they have banked; the underlying numbers place them 23rd. The 0:1 against Chester was the kindest result. Form over the last five: DDLWW, 8 points. They average 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match; 50% of their matches have cleared 2.5 goals, with 2 clean sheets. Biggest win: 2:0 against Hednesford.
Of their 11 goals, the most (2) have come in each of the 15-30, 30-45 and 75-90 minute bands. 3 of them have arrived after the 75th minute. The first goal in a Merthyr Town match has come before half-time 6 times in 8.
Collected 3.0 more points than market odds expected (9.0 xPTS). full table →
Flat-stake ROI of backing them in every match this season. A rare market beat — small samples swing hard, treat as description not advice.
8 points from the last five. Avg 1.4 scored, 1.1 conceded per match.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
league hub →
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | + | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Scarborough– Merthyr Town | 2026-09-12 | 14:00 | Away win ✓ | 34.1% | 32.1% | ▲ +2.1% | 3.12 |
All 2026-2027 results
odds are closing 1X2 prices| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | HT | 1st goal | 1 | X | 2 | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 |  Chester | A | 0:1 | 0:1 | 44' | 1.60 | 3.88 | 4.44 | W |
| 2026-09-05 |  Macclesfield | H | 2:1 | 0:0 | 55' | 3.02 | 3.61 | 1.99 | W |
| 2026-08-31 |  Buxton | A | 2:1 | 1:1 | 17' | 1.61 | 4.05 | 4.08 | L |
| 2026-08-29 |  Chorley | H | 1:1 | 0:1 | 23' | 2.04 | 3.51 | 2.96 | D |
| 2026-08-22 |  South Shields | A | 1:1 | 0:0 | 47' | 1.39 | 4.71 | 5.56 | D |
| 2026-08-18 |  AFC Telford | H | 2:2 | 1:1 | 21' | 2.36 | 3.53 | 2.52 | D |
| 2026-08-15 |  Spennymoor | A | 2:1 | 0:0 | 60' | 1.98 | 3.48 | 3.13 | L |
| 2026-08-08 | Hednesford | H | 2:0 | 2:0 | 3' | 2.40 | 3.43 | 2.51 | W |
Goal timing
league-wide chart →When Merthyr Town score
11 goals by 15-minute band — busiest: 15-30' (attribution approximated from goal order, as in the league heat map)
First goal in Merthyr Town matches
either side scoring — 6 of 8 matches saw a first-half opener; 0 stayed goalless
Go deeper
Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+