Premier League: HT Over 1.5 Goals predictions and stats
Premier League 2026/27 so far: 27 of 80 matches (34%) had two or more first-half goals (results to 25 Oct).
Two or more goals in the first half, including first-half added time. Matches ranked by model probability.
Upcoming Premier League fixtures
Kickoff times: Europe/Belgrade
After Tue, 27 Oct 2026 · 8 matches
Manchester City – Brighton31 Oct 16:00Over 1.5 HTModel 50.9%Implied 47.6%▲ +3.2%- Tottenham – Crystal Palace31 Oct 18:30Over 1.5 HTModel 36.7%Implied 43.3%-6.6%
- Chelsea – Manchester Utd31 Oct 13:30Over 1.5 HTModel 34.0%Implied 44.1%-10.1%
- Brentford – Nottingham31 Oct 16:00Over 1.5 HTModel 33.5%Implied 40.0%-6.5%
- Newcastle – Everton2 Nov 21:00Over 1.5 HTModel 31.4%Implied 40.7%-9.2%
- Aston Villa – Fulham31 Oct 21:00Over 1.5 HTModel 28.4%Implied 40.2%-11.7%
- Liverpool – Arsenal1 Nov 17:30Over 1.5 HTModel 27.2%Implied 37.9%-10.7%
- Bournemouth – Leeds31 Oct 16:00Over 1.5 HTModel 25.9%Implied 37.2%-11.3%
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City– Brighton | 31 Oct | 16:00 | Over 1.5 HT | 50.9% | 47.6% | ▲ +3.2% | 2.10 |
| 2 |  Tottenham– Crystal Palace | 31 Oct | 18:30 | Over 1.5 HT | 36.7% | 43.3% | -6.6% | 2.31 |
| 3 |  Chelsea– Manchester Utd | 31 Oct | 13:30 | Over 1.5 HT | 34.0% | 44.1% | -10.1% | 2.27 |
| 4 |  Brentford– Nottingham | 31 Oct | 16:00 | Over 1.5 HT | 33.5% | 40.0% | -6.5% | 2.50 |
| 5 |  Newcastle– Everton | 2 Nov | 21:00 | Over 1.5 HT | 31.4% | 40.7% | -9.2% | 2.46 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa– Fulham | 31 Oct | 21:00 | Over 1.5 HT | 28.4% | 40.2% | -11.7% | 2.49 |
| 7 |  Liverpool– Arsenal | 1 Nov | 17:30 | Over 1.5 HT | 27.2% | 37.9% | -10.7% | 2.64 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth– Leeds | 31 Oct | 16:00 | Over 1.5 HT | 25.9% | 37.2% | -11.3% | 2.69 |
Model % is the pre-match estimated chance, not a live probability or a past hit rate.
Implied % comes from the odds. Divergence is the difference in percentage points.
HT Over 1.5 by team, 2026/27
How often each team's matches had two or more first-half goals this season, highest first. Home and away: matches with two or more first-half goals / matches played.
| Team | Played | HT Over 1.5 | % | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | 8 | 6 | 75% | 3/4 | 3/4 |
| Brighton | 8 | 5 | 63% | 3/4 | 2/4 |
| Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 63% | 3/4 | 2/4 |
| Bournemouth | 8 | 4 | 50% | 1/4 | 3/4 |
| Crystal Palace | 8 | 4 | 50% | 2/4 | 2/4 |
| Arsenal | 8 | 3 | 38% | 2/4 | 1/4 |
| Brentford | 8 | 3 | 38% | 1/4 | 2/4 |
| Hull | 8 | 3 | 38% | 1/4 | 2/4 |
| Manchester Utd | 8 | 3 | 38% | 2/4 | 1/4 |
| Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 38% | 2/4 | 1/4 |
| Aston Villa | 8 | 2 | 25% | 1/4 | 1/4 |
| Fulham | 8 | 2 | 25% | 2/4 | 0/4 |
| Liverpool | 8 | 2 | 25% | 1/4 | 1/4 |
| Manchester City | 8 | 2 | 25% | 2/4 | 0/4 |
| Nottingham | 8 | 2 | 25% | 0/4 | 2/4 |
| Sunderland | 8 | 2 | 25% | 0/4 | 2/4 |
| Coventry | 8 | 1 | 13% | 0/4 | 1/4 |
| Leeds | 8 | 1 | 13% | 1/4 | 0/4 |
| Tottenham | 8 | 1 | 13% | 0/4 | 1/4 |
| Everton | 8 | 0 | 0% | 0/4 | 0/4 |
Latest results
Premier League matches in the 7 days to Sun, 25 Oct 2026, the newest result.
- 25 OctManchester Utd 0:3 Bournemouth(HT 0:2)HT Over 1.5 yes
- 25 OctHull 1:1 Brentford(HT 1:0)HT Over 1.5 no
- 25 OctLiverpool 2:0 Brighton(HT 2:0)HT Over 1.5 yes
- 25 OctCrystal Palace 0:2 Newcastle(HT 0:0)HT Over 1.5 no
- 25 OctSunderland 0:0 Leeds(HT 0:0)HT Over 1.5 no
- 24 OctAston Villa 2:1 Manchester City(HT 1:0)HT Over 1.5 no
- 24 OctArsenal 2:0 Everton(HT 1:0)HT Over 1.5 no
- 24 OctCoventry 0:1 Fulham(HT 0:0)HT Over 1.5 no
- 24 OctChelsea 0:2 Tottenham(HT 0:0)HT Over 1.5 no
- 23 OctIpswich 1:1 Nottingham(HT 1:1)HT Over 1.5 yes
- 19 OctTottenham 3:1 Coventry(HT 1:0)HT Over 1.5 no
Premier League table, fixtures and season projection →
HT Over 1.5 Goals: by day
HT Over 1.5 Goals: by league
These rankings come from historical data alone — the market usually knows more. Every prediction is logged pre-match and settled in public. Statistics, not betting advice. 18+ · never stake more than you can afford to lose.