Hereford are 1st in the 2026-2027 National League North after 12 matches — 26 points from an 8-2-2 record, 24 goals scored and 7 conceded. Market-implied expected points say 16.1 — 9.9 more than they have banked; the underlying numbers place them 15th. The 1:2 against Macclesfield was the kindest result. Form over the last five: WWDLW, 10 points. They average 2.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match; 58% of their matches have cleared 2.5 goals, with 6 clean sheets and 1 blank in front of goal. Biggest win: 6:0 against South Shields.
Of their 24 goals, the most (5) have come in each of the 60-75 and 90+ minute bands. 9 of them have arrived after the 75th minute. The first goal in a Hereford match has come before half-time 8 times in 12.
Collected 9.9 more points than market odds expected (16.1 xPTS). full table →
Flat-stake ROI of backing them in every match this season. A rare market beat — small samples swing hard, treat as description not advice.
10 points from the last five. Avg 2.0 scored, 0.6 conceded per match.
What does Hereford need?
87 points were enough in 90% of simulations: Hereford need 61 more from 34 games (1.79 per game; current pace 2.17).
Title race: every club & what-if →Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
league hub →
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hereford– AFC Telford | 2026-10-27 | 19:45 | Under 1.5 HT | 68.8% | 63.7% | ▲ +5.1% | 1.57 |
Add Hereford fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
All 2026-2027 results
odds are closing 1X2 prices| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | HT | 1st goal | 1 | X | 2 | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 |  Macclesfield | A | 1:2 | 0:1 | 16' | 1.80 | 3.69 | 3.48 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | Hednesford | H | 0:1 | 0:1 | 18' | 1.97 | 3.47 | 3.20 | L |
| 2026-09-26 |  Bedford | A | 1:1 | 0:0 | 52' | 2.74 | 3.61 | 2.16 | D |
| 2026-09-12 |  South Shields | H | 6:0 | 3:0 | 2' | 3.16 | 3.47 | 1.99 | W |
| 2026-09-08 | Harborough | A | 0:3 | 0:0 | 50' | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.24 | W |
| 2026-09-05 |  Spennymoor | H | 2:1 | 1:0 | 21' | 1.79 | 3.66 | 3.75 | W |
| 2026-08-31 |  Southport | A | 0:1 | 0:0 | 68' | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.45 | W |
| 2026-08-29 |  Chester | H | 1:1 | 1:1 | 26' | 3.06 | 3.33 | 2.07 | D |
| 2026-08-22 |  Worksop | A | 0:3 | 0:1 | 34' | 2.18 | 3.31 | 2.91 | W |
| 2026-08-18 |  Radcliffe | H | 3:0 | 1:0 | 11' | 1.87 | 3.57 | 3.40 | W |
| 2026-08-15 |  Marine | H | 1:0 | 0:0 | 77' | 2.05 | 3.45 | 3.01 | W |
| 2026-08-08 |  Buxton | A | 2:1 | 1:0 | 38' | 1.74 | 3.67 | 3.83 | L |
Goal timing
league-wide chart →When Hereford score
24 goals by 15-minute band — busiest: 60-75' (attribution approximated from goal order, as in the league heat map)
First goal in Hereford matches
either side scoring — 8 of 12 matches saw a first-half opener; 0 stayed goalless
Match stats
averages over 9 matches with stat coverageGo deeper
Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+