Hereford are 1st in the 2026-2027 National League North after 8 matches — 19 points from a 6-1-1 record, 15 goals scored and 4 conceded. Market-implied expected points say 10.8 — 8.2 more than they have banked; the underlying numbers place them 13th. The 0:3 against Harborough was the kindest result. Form over the last five: WDWWW, 13 points. They average 1.9 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match; 63% of their matches have cleared 2.5 goals, with 5 clean sheets. Biggest win: 3:0 against Radcliffe.
Of their 15 goals, the most (4) have come in the 90+ minute band. 7 of them have arrived after the 75th minute. The first goal in a Hereford match has come before half-time 5 times in 8.
Collected 8.2 more points than market odds expected (10.8 xPTS). full table →
Flat-stake ROI of backing them in every match this season. A rare market beat — small samples swing hard, treat as description not advice.
13 points from the last five. Avg 1.9 scored, 0.5 conceded per match.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
league hub →| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | + | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford– South Shields | 2026-09-12 | 14:00 | Under 2.5 ✓ | 48.3% | 44.6% | ▲ +3.6% | 2.24 |
All 2026-2027 results
odds are closing 1X2 prices| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | HT | 1st goal | 1 | X | 2 | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Harborough | A | 0:3 | 0:0 | 50' | 1.92 | 3.65 | 3.30 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | Spennymoor | H | 2:1 | 1:0 | 21' | 1.78 | 3.61 | 3.71 | W |
| 2026-08-31 | Southport | A | 0:1 | 0:0 | 68' | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.45 | W |
| 2026-08-29 | Chester | H | 1:1 | 1:1 | 26' | 3.06 | 3.33 | 2.07 | D |
| 2026-08-22 | Worksop | A | 0:3 | 0:1 | 34' | 2.18 | 3.31 | 2.91 | W |
| 2026-08-18 | Radcliffe | H | 3:0 | 1:0 | 11' | 1.87 | 3.57 | 3.40 | W |
| 2026-08-15 | Marine | H | 1:0 | 0:0 | 77' | 2.08 | 3.54 | 2.96 | W |
| 2026-08-08 | Buxton | A | 2:1 | 1:0 | 38' | 1.74 | 3.67 | 3.83 | L |
Goal timing
league-wide chart →When Hereford score
15 goals by 15-minute band — busiest: 90+' (attribution approximated from goal order, as in the league heat map)
First goal in Hereford matches
either side scoring — 5 of 8 matches saw a first-half opener; 0 stayed goalless
Go deeper
Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+



Spennymoor
Southport
Chester
Worksop
Radcliffe
Marine
Buxton