Fastest starters
Dover23%
14 of their 60 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
super-Mare42%
11 of their 26 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
🏆
Worthing are 2025-2026 champions — 84 pts
Their xPTS said 81.7: a title won, outperforming the market.
2026-27
next season soon
The season in numbers
The outlier
+415.7uBlindly backing home wins in every match beat the market this season. The other 4 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-21.6 ptsEastbourne Boro produced performances worth 22 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
34%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 30.7' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every National League South match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Final table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing | 84 | 81.7 | +2.3 | champions — earned it |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 84 | 73.6 | +10.4 | outperformed expectations |
| 3 | Torquay | 83 |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdown
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Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+