National League Southhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Chippenham | 44 | 62 | 42.5 | +19.5Outperforming ++ | 22 | +5.6 | +13.9 | 0:1 vs Maidstone (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Tonbridge (-1.3) |
2 | Braintree | 44 | 75 | 63.3 | +11.7Outperforming ++ | 9 | +6.0 | +5.7 | 4:0 vs Worthing (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Eastbourne Boro (-2.0) |
3 | Yeovil | 43 | 89 | 78.0 | +11.0Outperforming ++ | 1 | +9.1 | +1.9 | 1:2 vs Worthing (+1.7) | 1:3 vs Chippenham (-2.2) |
4 | Chelmsford | 44 | 80 | 70.5 | +9.5Outperforming ++ | 4 | +0.7 | +8.8 | 2:3 vs Worthing (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Dover (-2.3) |
5 | Hampton & Richmond | 44 | 68 | 59.6 | +8.3Outperforming ++ | 13 | +8.6 | -0.2 | 0:1 vs Taunton (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Aveley (-1.5) |
6 | Worthing | 44 | 81 | 74.0 | +7.0Outperforming ++ | 2 | -5.1 | +12.0 | 0:3 vs Torquay (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Taunton (-2.4) |
7 | Maidstone | 44 | 79 | 73.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 3 | +6.1 | -0.1 | 2:1 vs Yeovil (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Chippenham (-2.3) |
8 | Aveley | 44 | 67 | 61.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 11 | +2.1 | +3.9 | 1:2 vs Worthing (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Weymouth (-1.6) |
9 | Bath | 43 | 70 | 64.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 8 | +3.2 | +2.3 | 1:2 vs Eastbourne Boro (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Farnborough (-1.5) |
10 | St. Albans | 44 | 65 | 59.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 12 | -0.5 | +5.8 | 0:3 vs Dartford (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Chippenham (-1.9) |
11 | Mare-Weymouth | 1 | 3 | 0.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 70 | 0.0 | +2.2 | 2:3 vs Weston-super (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Weston-super (2.2) |
12 | Mare-Slough | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | +2.0Outperforming | 68 | 0.0 | +2.0 | 0:3 vs Weston-super (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Weston-super (2.0) |
13 | Mare-Truro | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | +2.0On expectation | 67 | 0.0 | +2.0 | 2:3 vs Weston-super (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Weston-super (2.0) |
14 | Mare-St. Albans | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | +1.8On expectation | 58 | 0.0 | +1.8 | 0:2 vs Weston-super (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Weston-super (1.8) |
15 | Mare-Bath | 1 | 3 | 1.3 | +1.7On expectation | 55 | 0.0 | +1.7 | 0:1 vs Weston-super (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Weston-super (1.7) |
16 | super-Mare | 23 | 30 | 28.3 | +1.7On expectation | 25 | 0.0 | +1.7 | 0:1 vs Truro-Weston (+1.8) | 3:1 vs Welling-Weston (-1.4) |
17 | Welling-Weston | 1 | 3 | 1.3 | +1.7On expectation | 52 | +1.7 | 0.0 | 3:1 vs super-Mare (+1.7) | 3:1 vs super-Mare (1.7) |
18 | Mare-Chelmsford | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6On expectation | 50 | 0.0 | +1.6 | 0:3 vs Weston-super (+1.6) | 0:3 vs Weston-super (1.6) |
19 | Mare-Aveley | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6On expectation | 51 | 0.0 | +1.6 | 1:2 vs Weston-super (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Weston-super (1.6) |
20 | Hampton & Richmond-Weston | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6On expectation | 48 | +1.6 | 0.0 | 2:1 vs super-Mare (+1.6) | 2:1 vs super-Mare (1.6) |
21 | Mare-Farnborough | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6On expectation | 46 | 0.0 | +1.6 | 0:3 vs Weston-super (+1.6) | 0:3 vs Weston-super (1.6) |
22 | Mare-Braintree | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6On expectation | 47 | 0.0 | +1.6 | 0:1 vs Weston-super (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Weston-super (1.6) |
23 | Mare-Yeovil | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | +1.4On expectation | 36 | 0.0 | +1.4 | 2:3 vs Weston-super (+1.4) | 2:3 vs Weston-super (1.4) |
24 | Eastbourne Boro-Weston | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | +1.4On expectation | 35 | +1.4 | 0.0 | 2:1 vs super-Mare (+1.4) | 2:1 vs super-Mare (1.4) |
25 | Braintree-Weston | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | +1.4On expectation | 34 | +1.4 | 0.0 | 2:0 vs super-Mare (+1.4) | 2:0 vs super-Mare (1.4) |
26 | Slough-Weston | 1 | 3 | 1.7 | +1.3On expectation | 32 | +1.3 | 0.0 | 2:0 vs super-Mare (+1.3) | 2:0 vs super-Mare (1.3) |
27 | Dartford-Weston | 1 | 3 | 1.7 | +1.3On expectation | 30 | +1.3 | 0.0 | 4:2 vs super-Mare (+1.3) | 4:2 vs super-Mare (1.3) |
28 | Maidstone-Weston | 1 | 3 | 1.7 | +1.3On expectation | 31 | +1.3 | 0.0 | 1:0 vs super-Mare (+1.3) | 1:0 vs super-Mare (1.3) |
29 | Farnborough-Weston | 1 | 3 | 1.7 | +1.3On expectation | 29 | +1.3 | 0.0 | 3:0 vs super-Mare (+1.3) | 3:0 vs super-Mare (1.3) |
30 | Aveley-Weston | 1 | 3 | 1.7 | +1.3On expectation | 28 | +1.3 | 0.0 | 2:0 vs super-Mare (+1.3) | 2:0 vs super-Mare (1.3) |
31 | Yeovil-Weston | 1 | 3 | 1.9 | +1.1On expectation | 27 | +1.1 | 0.0 | 2:1 vs super-Mare (+1.1) | 2:1 vs super-Mare (1.1) |
32 | Worthing-Weston | 1 | 3 | 2.1 | +0.8On expectation | 26 | +0.8 | 0.0 | 4:2 vs super-Mare (+0.9) | 4:2 vs super-Mare (0.9) |
33 | Welling | 44 | 51 | 50.6 | +0.4On expectation | 20 | +2.4 | -2.0 | 0:1 vs Yeovil (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Eastbourne Boro (-1.6) |
34 | Tonbridge | 44 | 58 | 57.9 | +0.1On expectation | 14 | +1.4 | -1.2 | 2:5 vs Slough (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Welling (-1.8) |
35 | Mare-Hampton & Richmond | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2On expectation | 61 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 1:1 vs Weston-super (+-0.2) | 1:1 vs Weston-super (-0.2) |
36 | Mare-Dartford | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2On expectation | 59 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 2:2 vs Weston-super (+-0.2) | 2:2 vs Weston-super (-0.2) |
37 | Mare-Hemel Hempstead | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2On expectation | 60 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 1:1 vs Weston-super (+-0.2) | 1:1 vs Weston-super (-0.2) |
38 | Weymouth-Weston | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3On expectation | 56 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 3:3 vs super-Mare (+-0.3) | 3:3 vs super-Mare (-0.3) |
39 | Mare-Eastbourne Boro | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4On expectation | 45 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 1:1 vs Weston-super (+-0.4) | 1:1 vs Weston-super (-0.4) |
40 | Torquay-Weston | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | -0.5On expectation | 39 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 3:3 vs super-Mare (+-0.5) | 3:3 vs super-Mare (-0.5) |
41 | Chelmsford-Weston | 1 | 1 | 1.6 | -0.6On expectation | 37 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 1:1 vs super-Mare (+-0.5) | 1:1 vs super-Mare (-0.5) |
42 | Mare-Maidstone | 1 | 1 | 1.6 | -0.6On expectation | 33 | 0.0 | -0.6 | 1:1 vs Weston-super (+-0.6) | 1:1 vs Weston-super (-0.6) |
43 | Mare-Dover | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 71 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 1:0 vs Weston-super (+-0.7) | 1:0 vs Weston-super (-0.7) |
44 | Mare-Taunton | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 69 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 4:0 vs Weston-super (+-0.9) | 4:0 vs Weston-super (-0.9) |
45 | Mare-Chippenham | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 66 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 2:1 vs Weston-super (+-1.0) | 2:1 vs Weston-super (-1.0) |
46 | Chippenham-Weston | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 65 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 0:1 vs super-Mare (+-1.1) | 0:1 vs super-Mare (-1.1) |
47 | Dover-Weston | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 64 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 0:1 vs super-Mare (+-1.1) | 0:1 vs super-Mare (-1.1) |
48 | Mare-Welling | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 63 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 4:2 vs Weston-super (+-1.1) | 4:2 vs Weston-super (-1.1) |
49 | Mare-Tonbridge | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 62 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 3:1 vs Weston-super (+-1.1) | 3:1 vs Weston-super (-1.1) |
50 | Tonbridge-Weston | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3On expectation | 57 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 0:1 vs super-Mare (+-1.3) | 0:1 vs super-Mare (-1.3) |
51 | St. Albans-Weston | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3On expectation | 54 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 0:1 vs super-Mare (+-1.3) | 0:1 vs super-Mare (-1.3) |
52 | Hemel Hempstead-Weston | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3On expectation | 53 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 1:2 vs super-Mare (+-1.3) | 1:2 vs super-Mare (-1.3) |
53 | Mare-Havant & W | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4On expectation | 49 | 0.0 | -1.4 | 1:0 vs Weston-super (+-1.4) | 1:0 vs Weston-super (-1.4) |
54 | Havant & W-Weston | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4On expectation | 43 | -1.4 | 0.0 | 1:2 vs super-Mare (+-1.4) | 1:2 vs super-Mare (-1.4) |
55 | Bath-Weston | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4On expectation | 44 | -1.4 | 0.0 | 2:6 vs super-Mare (+-1.4) | 2:6 vs super-Mare (-1.4) |
56 | Mare-Worthing | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5On expectation | 42 | 0.0 | -1.5 | 4:0 vs Weston-super (+-1.5) | 4:0 vs Weston-super (-1.5) |
57 | Truro-Weston | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5On expectation | 41 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 0:1 vs super-Mare (+-1.5) | 0:1 vs super-Mare (-1.5) |
58 | Taunton-Weston | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5On expectation | 40 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 0:1 vs super-Mare (+-1.5) | 0:1 vs super-Mare (-1.5) |
59 | Mare-Torquay | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5On expectation | 38 | 0.0 | -1.5 | 3:2 vs Weston-super (+-1.5) | 3:2 vs Weston-super (-1.5) |
60 | Farnborough | 44 | 66 | 69.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 5 | +0.7 | -3.8 | 2:3 vs Worthing (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Taunton (-2.1) |
61 | Weymouth | 43 | 49 | 52.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 19 | -3.2 | -0.4 | 0:1 vs Dartford (+2.0) | 2:4 vs Hampton & Richmond (-1.5) |
62 | Truro | 44 | 52 | 55.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 16 | -0.6 | -3.3 | 3:1 vs Maidstone (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Chippenham (-2.1) |
63 | Taunton | 44 | 46 | 50.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 21 | -3.1 | -1.0 | 1:3 vs Worthing (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Hampton & Richmond (-1.6) |
64 | Torquay | 44 | 63 | 67.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 6 | +2.9 | -7.3 | 1:2 vs Truro (+1.7) | 0:3 vs Taunton (-1.9) |
65 | Hemel Hempstead | 44 | 49 | 53.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 18 | -2.1 | -2.8 | 1:2 vs Chelmsford (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Chippenham (-2.0) |
66 | Weston-super | 23 | 29 | 34.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 24 | -5.5 | 0.0 | 3:2 vs Mare-Torquay (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Mare-Weymouth (-1.9) |
67 | Slough | 43 | 59 | 64.9 | -5.9Underperforming −− | 7 | -1.7 | -4.1 | 1:2 vs Dartford (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Dover (-2.0) |
68 | Eastbourne Boro | 44 | 48 | 54.9 | -6.9Underperforming −− | 17 | -2.6 | -4.3 | 2:3 vs Braintree (+2.2) | 4:2 vs Chippenham (-1.7) |
69 | Dover | 44 | 27 | 39.9 | -12.9Underperforming −− | 23 | -4.8 | -8.1 | 1:0 vs Chelmsford (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Hampton & Richmond (-1.3) |
70 | Havant & W | 44 | 37 | 56.3 | -19.3Underperforming −− | 15 | -6.0 | -13.3 | 2:4 vs Farnborough (+2.1) | 2:4 vs Chippenham (-1.9) |
71 | Dartford | 44 | 42 | 62.4 | -20.4Underperforming −− | 10 | -13.3 | -7.1 | 3:4 vs Worthing (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Chippenham (-1.9) |
