National League Southhub →National League South 2024-2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Eastbourne Boro | 46 | 88 | 68.7 | +19.3Outperforming ++ | 7 | +12.6 | +6.8 | 2:1 vs Boreham Wood (+2.1) | 3:0 vs Chippenham (-1.5) |
2 | Truro | 45 | 89 | 70.2 | +18.8Outperforming ++ | 6 | +8.3 | +10.5 | 1:2 vs Maidstone (+2.1) | 3:2 vs Enfield Town (-1.9) |
3 | Torquay | 46 | 89 | 73.9 | +15.1Outperforming ++ | 4 | +8.1 | +7.0 | 0:1 vs Dorking (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Chesham (-1.9) |
4 | Worthing | 45 | 87 | 72.3 | +14.7Outperforming ++ | 5 | +7.7 | +7.1 | 1:2 vs Boreham Wood (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Farnborough (-1.9) |
5 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 75 | 66.7 | +8.3Outperforming ++ | 9 | -4.0 | +12.3 | 0:1 vs Boreham Wood (+2.2) | 1:4 vs Welling (-1.9) |
6 | Chippenham | 46 | 59 | 50.8 | +8.2Outperforming ++ | 21 | -3.9 | +12.2 | 1:4 vs Boreham Wood (+2.5) | 0:3 vs Bath (-1.6) |
7 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 62 | 55.8 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 19 | +6.0 | +0.2 | 0:1 vs Farnborough (+2.2) | 2:5 vs Eastbourne Boro (-1.5) |
8 | Hornchurch | 46 | 65 | 59.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 13 | +3.7 | +2.0 | 2:1 vs Boreham Wood (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Eastbourne Boro (-1.8) |
9 | Enfield Town | 46 | 48 | 42.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 24 | +0.6 | +4.6 | 1:3 vs Tonbridge (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Tonbridge (-1.3) |
10 | Dorking | 46 | 86 | 81.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 2 | -1.5 | +6.4 | 0:1 vs Boreham Wood (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Weymouth (-2.1) |
11 | Tonbridge | 46 | 57 | 57.0 | +0.1On expectation | 17 | +3.7 | -3.6 | 0:2 vs Farnborough (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Enfield Town (-2.1) |
12 | Bath | 45 | 56 | 57.2 | -1.2On expectation | 16 | +0.5 | -1.7 | 0:1 vs Chesham (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Enfield Town (-2.0) |
13 | Maidstone | 45 | 78 | 80.0 | -2.0Underperforming | 3 | -4.8 | +2.8 | 0:2 vs Worthing (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Aveley (-2.3) |
14 | Chesham | 46 | 59 | 62.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 12 | -1.9 | -1.4 | 1:2 vs Torquay (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Enfield Town (-1.9) |
15 | Boreham Wood | 45 | 83 | 86.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 1 | +0.9 | -4.7 | 2:3 vs Chelmsford (+1.4) | 1:4 vs Chippenham (-2.4) |
16 | Chelmsford | 45 | 61 | 65.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 10 | -2.1 | -2.9 | 1:5 vs Maidstone (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Enfield Town (-1.9) |
17 | Farnborough | 46 | 63 | 68.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 8 | +3.3 | -8.8 | 1:2 vs Worthing (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Hemel Hempstead (-1.9) |
18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 51 | 57.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 15 | -4.5 | -1.7 | 0:1 vs Torquay (+2.0) | 0:1 vs St. Albans (-1.8) |
19 | Slough | 46 | 57 | 65.1 | -8.1Underperforming −− | 11 | +1.9 | -10.0 | 1:0 vs Maidstone (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Welling (-2.1) |
20 | Salisbury | 46 | 46 | 56.2 | -10.2Underperforming −− | 18 | -5.7 | -4.5 | 2:1 vs Boreham Wood (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Aveley (-2.0) |
21 | Welling | 46 | 38 | 51.3 | -13.3Underperforming −− | 20 | -2.3 | -10.9 | 2:3 vs Slough (+2.3) | 0:4 vs Chippenham (-1.5) |
22 | St. Albans | 46 | 45 | 58.5 | -13.5Underperforming −− | 14 | -4.2 | -9.3 | 0:1 vs Hampton & Richmond (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Chippenham (-1.7) |
23 | Aveley | 46 | 32 | 47.5 | -15.5Underperforming −− | 23 | -6.3 | -9.3 | 0:2 vs Maidstone (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Enfield Town (-1.6) |
24 | Weymouth | 46 | 33 | 48.8 | -15.8Underperforming −− | 22 | -7.8 | -8.0 | 2:1 vs Boreham Wood (+2.3) | 1:0 vs Enfield Town (-1.7) |