Segunda RFEF - Group 1

We simulate the remaining Segunda RFEF - Group 1 schedule 10,000 times a day. Alaves B win the 2026-2027 title in 39% of them, projecting ~64 points; Eibar B are next at 31%. At the other end, Torrelavega finish in the bottom three in 78% of simulations. Biggest move after the latest results: Eibar B's title chance down 1 points in a day.

#	Team	Pts now	Proj. pts	Range	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3
1	Alaves B	17	64	56–72	▲39%	89%	<1%
2	Eibar B	17	63	55–71	▼31%	86%	<1%
3	Sestao	19	61	53–69	19%	77%	—
4	Gernika	10	55	46–63	5%	44%	<1%
5	Bergantinos	17	54	46–63	4%	38%	<1%
· · ·
16	Arosa SC	7	37	29–45	—	<1%	38%
17	Llanera	7	31	24–39	—	—	74%
18	Torrelavega	5	30	22–38	—	—	78%

Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 234 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.

<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/spain/segunda-rfef-group-1/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Segunda RFEF - Group 1 live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/spain/segunda-rfef-group-1">Segunda RFEF - Group 1 stats by Football Charts</a></p>

How each market's prices compared with what happened in every Segunda RFEF - Group 1 match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.