Segunda RFEF - Group 1hub →Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dep. Fabril | 34 | 69 | 58.5 | +10.5Outperforming ++ | 2 | +5.1 | +5.3 | 0:4 vs Real Avila (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Oviedo B (-1.8) |
2 | UD Ourense | 34 | 55 | 46.0 | +8.9Outperforming ++ | 10 | +6.3 | +2.6 | 0:2 vs Real Avila (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Marino de Luanco (-1.6) |
3 | Oviedo B | 34 | 58 | 52.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 5 | -1.7 | +7.4 | 0:1 vs Dep. Fabril (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Lealtad (-2.1) |
4 | Atl. Astorga | 34 | 45 | 40.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 14 | -0.8 | +5.6 | 0:1 vs Numancia (+2.3) | 3:4 vs Lealtad (-1.8) |
5 | Rayo Cantabria | 34 | 48 | 44.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 11 | +2.4 | +0.9 | 1:2 vs Salamanca (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Langreo (-1.7) |
6 | Burgos CF B | 34 | 36 | 33.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 17 | +4.2 | -1.5 | 2:1 vs Salamanca (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Sarriana (-1.5) |
7 | Sarriana | 34 | 40 | 37.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 15 | +2.6 | -0.5 | 0:2 vs Langreo (+2.1) | 3:4 vs Rayo Cantabria (-1.5) |
8 | Coruxo FC | 34 | 52 | 50.9 | +1.1On expectation | 7 | -2.0 | +3.1 | 1:2 vs Numancia (+2.2) | 2:1 vs UD Samano (-2.3) |
9 | Marino de Luanco | 34 | 45 | 44.6 | +0.3On expectation | 12 | -5.0 | +5.4 | 1:2 vs Coruxo FC (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Coruxo FC (-1.6) |
10 | Bergantinos | 34 | 48 | 48.6 | -0.6On expectation | 8 | -3.8 | +3.2 | 3:1 vs Numancia (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Sarriana (-1.8) |
11 | Langreo | 34 | 43 | 44.0 | -1.0On expectation | 13 | +0.2 | -1.2 | 1:2 vs Coruxo FC (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Sarriana (-1.9) |
12 | Real Avila | 34 | 50 | 51.5 | -1.4On expectation | 6 | -3.3 | +1.9 | 0:2 vs Oviedo B (+2.0) | 0:4 vs Dep. Fabril (-2.0) |
13 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 34 | 51 | 52.5 | -1.5On expectation | 4 | +0.8 | -5.3 | 0:1 vs Dep. Fabril (+2.0) | 3:0 vs Burgos CF B (-1.8) |
14 | Valladolid Promesas | 34 | 45 | 46.8 | -1.8On expectation | 9 | -6.8 | +2.0 | 0:2 vs Coruxo FC (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Atl. Astorga (-1.9) |
15 | Numancia | 34 | 56 | 58.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 1 | +1.8 | -4.6 | 0:3 vs UD Ourense (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Lealtad (-2.2) |
16 | Salamanca | 34 | 50 | 54.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 3 | -2.1 | -2.4 | 0:1 vs Gimnastica Segoviana (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Burgos CF B (-1.9) |
17 | Lealtad | 34 | 28 | 35.9 | -7.9Underperforming −− | 16 | -7.5 | -0.3 | 0:1 vs Numancia (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Burgos CF B (-1.7) |
18 | UD Samano | 34 | 15 | 26.3 | -11.3Underperforming −− | 18 | -6.1 | -5.2 | 2:1 vs Coruxo FC (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Burgos CF B (-1.6) |