Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sestao | 8 | 19 | 12.6 | +6.4Outperforming ++ | 1 | +2.5 | +3.8 | 1:2 vs Gernika (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Compostela (-1.2) |
2 | Alaves B | 8 | 17 | 11.4 | +5.6Outperforming ++ | 6 | -2.2 | +4.8 | 2:5 vs Arosa SC (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Coruxo FC (-1.6) |
3 | Bergantinos | 8 | 17 | 11.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 5 | +5.4 | -0.1 | 0:3 vs Torrelavega (+1.8) | 3:2 vs Eibar B (-1.1) |
4 | Eibar B | 8 | 17 | 11.9 | +5.1Outperforming ++ | 3 | +3.2 | +1.9 | 0:2 vs Ourense CF (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Oviedo B (-1.0) |
5 | Compostela | 8 | 13 | 10.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 10 | -0.5 | +2.7 | 0:1 vs Coruxo FC (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Oviedo B (-1.5) |
6 | Amorebieta | 8 | 13 | 11.4 | +1.6On expectation | 7 | -2.4 | +4.0 | 1:2 vs Gernika (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Portugalete (-1.6) |
7 | Portugalete | 8 | 12 | 10.6 | +1.4On expectation | 11 | -0.7 | +2.1 | 1:2 vs Amorebieta (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Alaves B (-1.4) |
8 | Ourense CF | 8 | 13 | 12.4 | +0.6On expectation | 2 | -1.3 | +1.9 | 0:1 vs Amorebieta (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Coruxo FC (-1.7) |
9 | Oviedo B | 8 | 11 | 10.9 | +0.1On expectation | 8 | +1.7 | -1.6 | 1:2 vs Compostela (+1.8) | 2:0 vs Sestao (-1.0) |
10 | Gernika | 8 | 10 | 10.8 | -0.8On expectation | 9 | -2.3 | +1.4 | 0:4 vs Arosa SC (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Sestao (-1.6) |
11 | Llanera | 8 | 7 | 8.6 | -1.6On expectation | 18 | +1.7 | -3.3 | 2:1 vs Rayo Cantabria (+1.6) | 1:3 vs Compostela (-1.4) |
12 | Basconia | 8 | 10 | 11.7 | -1.7On expectation | 4 | -0.8 | -0.9 | 1:2 vs Marino de Luanco (+1.6) | 3:1 vs Rayo Cantabria (-1.4) |
13 | Atl. Astorga | 8 | 7 | 9.0 | -2.0On expectation | 17 | +0.6 | -2.6 | 4:0 vs Ourense CF (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Portugalete (-1.4) |
14 | Coruxo FC | 8 | 8 | 10.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 12 | -3.1 | +0.6 | 0:1 vs Ourense CF (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Compostela (-1.6) |
15 | Arosa SC | 8 | 7 | 9.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 15 | -1.8 | -0.8 | 4:1 vs Llanera (+1.5) | 0:4 vs Gernika (-1.6) |
16 | Marino de Luanco | 8 | 7 | 9.8 | -2.9Underperforming | 13 | -4.0 | +1.2 | 1:2 vs Torrelavega (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Ourense CF (-1.3) |
17 | Rayo Cantabria | 8 | 5 | 9.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 16 | -2.4 | -1.9 | 3:1 vs Basconia (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Sestao (-1.5) |
18 | Torrelavega | 8 | 5 | 9.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 14 | -2.8 | -1.8 | 2:1 vs Llanera (+1.3) | 1:2 vs Marino de Luanco (-1.6) |
