Fastest starters
Oita Trinita30%
8 of their 27 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
Iwata37%
22 of their 59 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
🏆
Mito are 2025 champions — 70 pts
Their xPTS said 55.0: a title won, outperforming the market.
2026-2027
next season soon
The season in numbers
The outlier
+2.0uBlindly backing ht under 1.5 in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-12.8 ptsEhime produced performances worth 13 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
29%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 32.6' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every J2 League match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
HT Under 1.5▲ +2.0u
380 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht under 1.5 in every J2 League match in 2025: +2.0 units over 380 flat-stake bets.Under 2.5 goals▲ +1.8u
380 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing under 2.5 goals in every J2 League match in 2025: +1.8 units over 380 flat-stake bets.Over 2.5 goals▼ -14.4u
380 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing over 2.5 goals in every J2 League match in 2025: -14.4 units over 380 flat-stake bets.Draws▼ -24.9u
380 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing draws in every J2 League match in 2025: -24.9 units over 380 flat-stake bets.Away wins▼ -34.4u
380 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing away wins in every J2 League match in 2025: -34.4 units over 380 flat-stake bets.HT Over 1.5▼ -45.9u
380 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht over 1.5 in every J2 League match in 2025: -45.9 units over 380 flat-stake bets.Home wins▼ -48.6u
380 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing home wins in every J2 League match in 2025: -48.6 units over 380 flat-stake bets.Final table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mito | 70 | 55.0 | +15.0 | champions — earned it |
| 2 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 70 | 64.8 | +5.2 | |
| 3 | Chiba | 69 | 62.1 | +6.9 | |
| 4 | Tokushima | 65 | 57.2 | +7.8 | |
| 5 | Iwata | 64 | 54.5 | +9.5 | outperformed expectations |
| · · · | |||||
| 18 | Kumamoto | 37 | 49.5 | -12.5 | underperformed expectations |
| 19 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 36 | 47.6 | -11.6 | underperformed expectations |
| 20 | Ehime | 22 | 34.8 | -12.8 | underperformed expectations |
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Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisMito70 ptsV-Varen Nagasaki70 ptsChiba69 ptsTokushima65 ptsIwata64 ptsOmiya Ardija63 ptsVegalta Sendai62 ptsSagan Tosu58 ptsIwaki56 ptsMontedio Yamagata53 ptsImabari53 ptsHokkaido Consadole Sapporo53 ptsKofu44 ptsBlaublitz43 ptsFujieda MYFC39 ptsOita Trinita38 ptsToyama37 ptsKumamoto37 ptsRenofa Yamaguchi36 ptsEhime22 pts
Go deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdownOdds archive · €296 seasons of open/close odds, every bookmaker
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+