J2 League 2020 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Avispa Fukuoka | 42 | 84 | 62.3 | +21.8Outperforming ++ | 6 | +7.2 | +14.6 | 1:0 vs Tochigi SC (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Yamaga (-1.8) |
2 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 42 | 80 | 66.2 | +13.8Outperforming ++ | 3 | +10.9 | +2.9 | 2:3 vs Mito (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Ryukyu (-2.0) |
3 | Tokushima | 42 | 84 | 73.8 | +10.2Outperforming ++ | 1 | +1.2 | +9.0 | 0:2 vs Iwata (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Mito (-1.9) |
4 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 42 | 65 | 55.5 | +9.5Outperforming ++ | 13 | +10.1 | -0.6 | 1:4 vs Kanazawa (+2.0) | 4:1 vs Renofa Yamaguchi (-1.8) |
5 | Kofu | 42 | 65 | 56.2 | +8.8Outperforming ++ | 12 | +7.0 | +1.8 | 0:1 vs Tokushima (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Okayama (-1.7) |
6 | Kusatsu | 42 | 49 | 44.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 21 | -3.9 | +8.9 | 1:3 vs Verdy (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Ryukyu (-1.3) |
7 | Tochigi SC | 42 | 58 | 53.5 | +4.5Outperforming | 15 | +0.3 | +4.2 | 1:0 vs Omiya Ardija (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Avispa Fukuoka (-1.6) |
8 | Chiba | 42 | 53 | 52.3 | +0.7On expectation | 18 | -6.3 | +7.0 | 0:2 vs Kanazawa (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Renofa Yamaguchi (-1.8) |
9 | Yamaga | 42 | 54 | 53.4 | +0.6On expectation | 16 | +0.2 | +0.5 | 1:3 vs Montedio Yamagata (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Chiba (-1.6) |
10 | Ryukyu | 42 | 50 | 50.3 | -0.3On expectation | 19 | -0.8 | +0.6 | 0:1 vs V-Varen Nagasaki (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Kusatsu (-1.8) |
11 | Montedio Yamagata | 42 | 62 | 63.2 | -1.2On expectation | 4 | +2.1 | -3.3 | 3:1 vs Kofu (+1.7) | 1:3 vs Yamaga (-1.9) |
12 | Okayama | 42 | 50 | 52.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 17 | +1.9 | -4.4 | 0:2 vs Kofu (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Ryukyu (-1.7) |
13 | Verdy | 42 | 54 | 56.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 11 | -4.3 | +1.6 | 0:2 vs Mito (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Ehime (-1.9) |
14 | Mito | 42 | 58 | 60.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 9 | -4.7 | +1.9 | 1:2 vs Tokushima (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Ehime (-1.7) |
15 | Kyoto | 42 | 59 | 62.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 5 | +6.7 | -10.0 | 2:0 vs Tokushima (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Renofa Yamaguchi (-2.0) |
16 | Iwata | 42 | 63 | 67.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 2 | +3.8 | -8.1 | 0:1 vs Kanazawa (+1.6) | 3:0 vs Renofa Yamaguchi (-1.9) |
17 | Albirex Niigata | 42 | 57 | 62.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 7 | -7.3 | +2.2 | 1:2 vs Montedio Yamagata (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Ehime (-2.0) |
18 | Machida | 42 | 49 | 54.4 | -5.4Underperforming −− | 14 | +1.1 | -6.5 | 3:0 vs Kyoto (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Ehime (-1.7) |
19 | Omiya Ardija | 42 | 53 | 61.5 | -8.6Underperforming −− | 8 | -0.9 | -7.6 | 2:4 vs Kyoto (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Tochigi SC (-1.7) |
20 | Ehime | 42 | 34 | 44.1 | -10.1Underperforming −− | 20 | -10.9 | +0.8 | 0:3 vs Albirex Niigata (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Chiba (-1.4) |
21 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 42 | 33 | 43.3 | -10.3Underperforming −− | 22 | +0.1 | -10.4 | 0:1 vs Kyoto (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Kusatsu (-1.6) |
22 | Kanazawa | 42 | 49 | 59.7 | -10.7Underperforming −− | 10 | -7.0 | -3.6 | 3:5 vs Albirex Niigata (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Chiba (-1.8) |
