J2 Leaguehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Avispa Fukuoka | 41 | 81 | 61.0 | +20.0Outperforming ++ | 6 | +7.2 | +12.8 | 1:0 vs Tochigi SC (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Yamaga (-1.8) |
2 | V | 21 | 46 | 35.1 | +10.9Outperforming ++ | 22 | +10.9 | 0.0 | 1:0 vs Varen Nagasaki-Omiya Ardija (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Varen Nagasaki-Ryukyu (-2.0) |
3 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 41 | 65 | 54.4 | +10.6Outperforming ++ | 12 | +10.1 | +0.5 | 1:4 vs Kanazawa (+2.0) | 4:1 vs Renofa Yamaguchi (-1.8) |
4 | Tokushima | 41 | 81 | 72.3 | +8.7Outperforming ++ | 1 | +1.2 | +7.5 | 0:2 vs Iwata (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Mito (-1.9) |
5 | Kofu | 41 | 64 | 55.4 | +8.6Outperforming ++ | 11 | +7.0 | +1.6 | 0:1 vs Tokushima (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Okayama (-1.7) |
6 | Kusatsu | 41 | 49 | 43.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 19 | -3.9 | +9.7 | 1:3 vs Verdy (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Ryukyu (-1.3) |
7 | Tochigi SC | 41 | 58 | 52.4 | +5.6Outperforming ++ | 15 | +0.3 | +5.3 | 1:0 vs Omiya Ardija (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Avispa Fukuoka (-1.6) |
8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 21 | 34 | 31.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 23 | 0.0 | +2.9 | 2:3 vs Mito (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Kyoto (-1.5) |
9 | Varen Nagasaki-Ryukyu | 1 | 3 | 0.8 | +2.3Outperforming | 44 | 0.0 | +2.3 | 0:1 vs V (+2.2) | 0:1 vs V (2.2) |
10 | Chiba | 41 | 53 | 51.2 | +1.8On expectation | 17 | -6.3 | +8.1 | 0:2 vs Kanazawa (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Renofa Yamaguchi (-1.8) |
11 | Varen Nagasaki-Avispa Fukuoka | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | +1.8On expectation | 28 | 0.0 | +1.8 | 1:3 vs V (+1.8) | 1:3 vs V (1.8) |
12 | Varen Nagasaki-Tokushima | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5On expectation | 24 | 0.0 | +1.5 | 0:1 vs V (+1.5) | 0:1 vs V (1.5) |
13 | Yamaga | 41 | 53 | 52.5 | +0.5On expectation | 14 | +0.2 | +0.3 | 1:3 vs Montedio Yamagata (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Chiba (-1.6) |
14 | Varen Nagasaki-Kofu | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2On expectation | 43 | 0.0 | +0.2 | 1:1 vs V (+0.2) | 1:1 vs V (0.2) |
15 | Varen Nagasaki-Yamaga | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +0.1On expectation | 40 | 0.0 | +0.1 | 1:1 vs V (+0.1) | 1:1 vs V (0.1) |
16 | Varen Nagasaki-Verdy | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 32 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0:0 vs V (+-0.1) | 0:0 vs V (-0.1) |
17 | Montedio Yamagata | 41 | 62 | 62.2 | -0.2On expectation | 3 | +2.1 | -2.3 | 3:1 vs Kofu (+1.7) | 1:3 vs Yamaga (-1.9) |
18 | Varen Nagasaki-Iwata | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4On expectation | 25 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 0:0 vs V (+-0.4) | 0:0 vs V (-0.4) |
19 | Varen Nagasaki-Renofa Yamaguchi | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 42 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 4:3 vs V (+-0.8) | 4:3 vs V (-0.8) |
20 | Varen Nagasaki-Kusatsu | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 41 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 3:1 vs V (+-0.9) | 3:1 vs V (-0.9) |
21 | Varen Nagasaki-Machida | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 39 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 3:1 vs V (+-0.9) | 3:1 vs V (-0.9) |
22 | Varen Nagasaki-Albirex Niigata | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 38 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 2:0 vs V (+-0.9) | 2:0 vs V (-0.9) |
23 | Varen Nagasaki-Montedio Yamagata | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 36 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 1:0 vs V (+-1.0) | 1:0 vs V (-1.0) |
24 | Varen Nagasaki-Ehime | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 37 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 2:0 vs V (+-1.0) | 2:0 vs V (-1.0) |
25 | Varen Nagasaki-Okayama | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 35 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 5:0 vs V (+-1.0) | 5:0 vs V (-1.0) |
26 | Varen Nagasaki-Chiba | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 34 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 2:0 vs V (+-1.1) | 2:0 vs V (-1.1) |
27 | Varen Nagasaki-Kanazawa | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 33 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 3:1 vs V (+-1.1) | 3:1 vs V (-1.1) |
28 | Varen Nagasaki-Tochigi SC | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 31 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 1:0 vs V (+-1.1) | 1:0 vs V (-1.1) |
29 | Varen Nagasaki-Giravanz Kitakyushu | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 30 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 2:1 vs V (+-1.1) | 2:1 vs V (-1.1) |
30 | Varen Nagasaki-Mito | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 29 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 4:1 vs V (+-1.2) | 4:1 vs V (-1.2) |
31 | Varen Nagasaki-Kyoto | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3On expectation | 27 | 0.0 | -1.3 | 1:0 vs V (+-1.3) | 1:0 vs V (-1.3) |
32 | Varen Nagasaki-Omiya Ardija | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4On expectation | 26 | 0.0 | -1.4 | 1:0 vs V (+-1.4) | 1:0 vs V (-1.4) |
33 | Okayama | 41 | 50 | 51.5 | -1.5On expectation | 16 | +1.9 | -3.4 | 0:2 vs Kofu (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Ryukyu (-1.7) |
34 | Mito | 41 | 58 | 59.5 | -1.5On expectation | 8 | -4.7 | +3.1 | 1:2 vs Tokushima (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Ehime (-1.7) |
35 | Kyoto | 41 | 59 | 61.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 5 | +6.7 | -8.8 | 2:0 vs Tokushima (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Renofa Yamaguchi (-2.0) |
36 | Ryukyu | 41 | 47 | 49.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 18 | -0.8 | -1.6 | 1:2 vs Okayama (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Kusatsu (-1.8) |
37 | Verdy | 41 | 53 | 55.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 10 | -4.3 | +1.7 | 0:2 vs Mito (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Ehime (-1.9) |
38 | Iwata | 41 | 62 | 65.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 2 | +3.8 | -7.7 | 0:1 vs Kanazawa (+1.6) | 3:0 vs Renofa Yamaguchi (-1.9) |
39 | Albirex Niigata | 41 | 57 | 61.1 | -4.2Underperforming | 4 | -7.3 | +3.1 | 1:2 vs Montedio Yamagata (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Ehime (-2.0) |
40 | Machida | 41 | 49 | 53.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 13 | +1.1 | -5.6 | 3:0 vs Kyoto (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Ehime (-1.7) |
41 | Omiya Ardija | 41 | 53 | 60.2 | -7.2Underperforming −− | 7 | -0.9 | -6.2 | 2:4 vs Kyoto (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Tochigi SC (-1.7) |
42 | Ehime | 41 | 34 | 43.1 | -9.1Underperforming −− | 20 | -10.9 | +1.8 | 0:3 vs Albirex Niigata (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Chiba (-1.4) |
43 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 41 | 33 | 42.5 | -9.5Underperforming −− | 21 | +0.1 | -9.6 | 0:1 vs Kyoto (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Kusatsu (-1.6) |
44 | Kanazawa | 41 | 49 | 58.6 | -9.6Underperforming −− | 9 | -7.0 | -2.5 | 3:5 vs Albirex Niigata (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Chiba (-1.8) |
