J2 Leaguehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mito | 37 | 70 | 54.0 | +16.0Outperforming ++ | 6 | +6.4 | +9.7 | 0:1 vs Tokushima (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Iwata (-1.6) |
2 | Iwata | 37 | 64 | 53.3 | +10.7Outperforming ++ | 7 | +5.4 | +5.3 | 1:0 vs V-Varen Nagasaki (+2.0) | 1:4 vs Blaublitz (-1.8) |
3 | Tokushima | 37 | 65 | 56.1 | +8.9Outperforming ++ | 4 | +1.8 | +7.1 | 0:2 vs Blaublitz (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Fujieda MYFC (-1.8) |
4 | Chiba | 37 | 69 | 60.9 | +8.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | +2.1 | +6.0 | 0:1 vs Montedio Yamagata (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Toyama (-1.8) |
5 | Sagan Tosu | 37 | 55 | 50.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 11 | +6.1 | -1.5 | 1:0 vs Omiya Ardija (+2.1) | 3:1 vs Toyama (-1.7) |
6 | V | 19 | 39 | 34.8 | +4.3Outperforming | 19 | +4.3 | 0.0 | 1:0 vs Varen Nagasaki-Chiba (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Varen Nagasaki-Sagan Tosu (-1.8) |
7 | Omiya Ardija | 37 | 62 | 58.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 2 | +0.7 | +3.4 | 1:2 vs Vegalta Sendai (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Sagan Tosu (-1.9) |
8 | Vegalta Sendai | 37 | 61 | 57.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 3 | -0.8 | +4.3 | 0:1 vs Iwata (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Toyama (-1.9) |
9 | Iwaki | 37 | 53 | 50.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 9 | +0.3 | +2.2 | 0:1 vs Vegalta Sendai (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Kofu (-1.8) |
10 | Varen Nagasaki-Sagan Tosu | 1 | 3 | 0.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 31 | 0.0 | +2.1 | 0:2 vs V (+2.1) | 0:2 vs V (2.1) |
11 | Varen Nagasaki-Iwaki | 1 | 3 | 1.1 | +1.9On expectation | 26 | 0.0 | +1.9 | 3:4 vs V (+1.9) | 3:4 vs V (1.9) |
12 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 37 | 53 | 51.1 | +1.9On expectation | 8 | +1.0 | +0.9 | 1:2 vs Tokushima (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Kofu (-1.7) |
13 | Montedio Yamagata | 37 | 52 | 50.5 | +1.5On expectation | 10 | +0.7 | +0.8 | 1:2 vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Ehime (-1.9) |
14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 19 | 31 | 30.0 | +1.0On expectation | 21 | 0.0 | +1.0 | 1:2 vs Oita Trinita (+1.6) | 1:0 vs Iwata (-1.7) |
15 | Varen Nagasaki-Toyama | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +0.4On expectation | 40 | 0.0 | +0.4 | 1:1 vs V (+0.4) | 1:1 vs V (0.4) |
16 | Varen Nagasaki-Ehime | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +0.3On expectation | 38 | 0.0 | +0.3 | 1:1 vs V (+0.3) | 1:1 vs V (0.3) |
17 | Varen Nagasaki-Imabari | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2On expectation | 34 | 0.0 | +0.2 | 1:1 vs V (+0.2) | 1:1 vs V (0.2) |
18 | Varen Nagasaki-Montedio Yamagata | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.0On expectation | 30 | 0.0 | +0.0 | 1:1 vs V (+0.0) | 1:1 vs V (0.0) |
19 | Varen Nagasaki-Vegalta Sendai | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 27 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0:0 vs V (+-0.1) | 0:0 vs V (-0.1) |
20 | Varen Nagasaki-Omiya Ardija | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 24 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 3:3 vs V (+-0.1) | 3:3 vs V (-0.1) |
21 | Varen Nagasaki-Kofu | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 39 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 4:0 vs V (+-0.7) | 4:0 vs V (-0.7) |
22 | Varen Nagasaki-Renofa Yamaguchi | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 37 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 1:0 vs V (+-0.7) | 1:0 vs V (-0.7) |
23 | Varen Nagasaki-Fujieda MYFC | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 35 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 2:1 vs V (+-0.8) | 2:1 vs V (-0.8) |
24 | Varen Nagasaki-Oita Trinita | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 36 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 1:0 vs V (+-0.8) | 1:0 vs V (-0.8) |
25 | Varen Nagasaki-Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 33 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 2:1 vs V (+-0.8) | 2:1 vs V (-0.8) |
26 | Varen Nagasaki-Blaublitz | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 32 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 5:1 vs V (+-0.8) | 5:1 vs V (-0.8) |
27 | Varen Nagasaki-Kumamoto | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 28 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 3:2 vs V (+-1.0) | 3:2 vs V (-1.0) |
28 | Varen Nagasaki-Mito | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 29 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 2:1 vs V (+-1.0) | 2:1 vs V (-1.0) |
29 | Varen Nagasaki-Tokushima | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 25 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 1:0 vs V (+-1.1) | 1:0 vs V (-1.1) |
30 | Varen Nagasaki-Iwata | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 23 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 1:0 vs V (+-1.2) | 1:0 vs V (-1.2) |
31 | Varen Nagasaki-Chiba | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3On expectation | 22 | 0.0 | -1.3 | 1:0 vs V (+-1.3) | 1:0 vs V (-1.3) |
32 | Kofu | 37 | 44 | 46.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 14 | -5.5 | +3.4 | 2:3 vs Iwaki (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (-1.6) |
33 | Blaublitz | 37 | 43 | 45.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 16 | -3.8 | +1.2 | 1:4 vs Iwata (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Fujieda MYFC (-1.5) |
34 | Imabari | 37 | 52 | 55.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 5 | -8.8 | +5.5 | 1:4 vs Sagan Tosu (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Kofu (-1.6) |
35 | Fujieda MYFC | 37 | 39 | 44.0 | -5.0Underperforming | 17 | -0.6 | -4.4 | 0:2 vs Tokushima (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Toyama (-1.7) |
36 | Toyama | 37 | 36 | 42.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 18 | -4.5 | -1.6 | 0:1 vs Vegalta Sendai (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Iwaki (-1.5) |
37 | Oita Trinita | 37 | 38 | 45.9 | -7.9Underperforming −− | 15 | -2.6 | -5.3 | 0:3 vs Iwata (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Ehime (-1.8) |
38 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 37 | 36 | 46.9 | -10.9Underperforming −− | 13 | -2.8 | -8.1 | 2:1 vs Chiba (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Ehime (-1.7) |
39 | Kumamoto | 37 | 37 | 48.4 | -11.4Underperforming −− | 12 | -4.2 | -7.2 | 2:0 vs Iwata (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Blaublitz (-1.7) |
40 | Ehime | 37 | 21 | 34.1 | -13.1Underperforming −− | 20 | -11.8 | -1.3 | 2:3 vs Montedio Yamagata (+2.1) | 2:4 vs Fujieda MYFC (-1.3) |
