J2 Leaguehub →J2 League 2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mito | 38 | 70 | 55.0 | +15.0Outperforming ++ | 7 | +6.4 | +8.6 | 0:1 vs Tokushima (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Iwata (-1.6) |
2 | Iwata | 38 | 64 | 54.5 | +9.5Outperforming ++ | 8 | +5.4 | +4.1 | 1:0 vs V-Varen Nagasaki (+2.0) | 1:4 vs Blaublitz (-1.8) |
3 | Tokushima | 38 | 65 | 57.2 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 5 | +1.8 | +6.0 | 0:2 vs Blaublitz (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Fujieda MYFC (-1.8) |
4 | Chiba | 38 | 69 | 62.1 | +6.8Outperforming ++ | 2 | +2.1 | +4.7 | 0:1 vs Montedio Yamagata (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Toyama (-1.8) |
5 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 58 | 51.3 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 12 | +6.1 | +0.6 | 1:0 vs Omiya Ardija (+2.1) | 3:1 vs Toyama (-1.7) |
6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 38 | 70 | 64.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 1 | +4.3 | +1.0 | 1:2 vs Oita Trinita (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Sagan Tosu (-1.8) |
7 | Iwaki | 38 | 56 | 51.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 10 | +0.3 | +4.1 | 0:1 vs Vegalta Sendai (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Kofu (-1.8) |
8 | Omiya Ardija | 38 | 63 | 59.1 | +3.9Outperforming | 3 | +0.7 | +3.2 | 1:2 vs Vegalta Sendai (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Sagan Tosu (-1.9) |
9 | Vegalta Sendai | 38 | 62 | 58.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 4 | -0.8 | +4.3 | 0:1 vs Iwata (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Toyama (-1.9) |
10 | Montedio Yamagata | 38 | 53 | 51.4 | +1.6On expectation | 11 | +0.7 | +0.9 | 1:2 vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Ehime (-1.9) |
11 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 38 | 53 | 52.0 | +1.0On expectation | 9 | +1.0 | +0.1 | 1:2 vs Tokushima (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Kofu (-1.7) |
12 | Kofu | 38 | 44 | 46.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 15 | -5.5 | +2.7 | 2:3 vs Iwaki (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (-1.6) |
13 | Imabari | 38 | 53 | 56.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 6 | -8.8 | +5.7 | 1:4 vs Sagan Tosu (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Kofu (-1.6) |
14 | Blaublitz | 38 | 43 | 46.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 17 | -3.8 | +0.4 | 1:4 vs Iwata (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Fujieda MYFC (-1.5) |
15 | Toyama | 38 | 37 | 42.7 | -5.7Underperforming −− | 19 | -4.5 | -1.2 | 0:1 vs Vegalta Sendai (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Iwaki (-1.5) |
16 | Fujieda MYFC | 38 | 39 | 44.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 18 | -0.6 | -5.2 | 0:2 vs Tokushima (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Toyama (-1.7) |
17 | Oita Trinita | 38 | 38 | 46.7 | -8.7Underperforming −− | 16 | -2.6 | -6.1 | 0:3 vs Iwata (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Ehime (-1.8) |
18 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 38 | 36 | 47.6 | -11.6Underperforming −− | 14 | -2.8 | -8.8 | 2:1 vs Chiba (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Ehime (-1.7) |
19 | Kumamoto | 38 | 37 | 49.5 | -12.5Underperforming −− | 13 | -4.2 | -8.2 | 2:0 vs Iwata (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Blaublitz (-1.7) |
20 | Ehime | 38 | 22 | 34.8 | -12.8Underperforming −− | 20 | -11.8 | -1.0 | 2:3 vs Montedio Yamagata (+2.1) | 2:4 vs Fujieda MYFC (-1.3) |