J2 Leaguehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Kofu | 41 | 80 | 63.5 | +16.5Outperforming ++ | 5 | +11.5 | +5.0 | 2:0 vs Montedio Yamagata (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Sagamihara (-1.8) |
2 | Iwata | 41 | 88 | 74.0 | +14.0Outperforming ++ | 1 | +7.2 | +6.8 | 3:4 vs Kyoto (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Renofa Yamaguchi (-2.1) |
3 | Kyoto | 41 | 84 | 71.4 | +12.6Outperforming ++ | 2 | +6.8 | +5.8 | 0:1 vs Albirex Niigata (+1.7) | 3:0 vs Kofu (-1.6) |
4 | Ryukyu | 41 | 65 | 54.8 | +10.2Outperforming ++ | 11 | +6.0 | +4.3 | 1:0 vs Iwata (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Sagamihara (-2.0) |
5 | Machida | 41 | 69 | 61.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 6 | -4.2 | +11.7 | 1:3 vs Iwata (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Giravanz Kitakyushu (-1.9) |
6 | Chiba | 41 | 65 | 57.9 | +7.2Outperforming ++ | 8 | -1.0 | +8.1 | 0:1 vs Kanazawa (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Sagamihara (-1.8) |
7 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 21 | 39 | 32.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 23 | 0.0 | +6.9 | 0:2 vs Kyoto (+1.9) | 3:1 vs Ryukyu (-1.5) |
8 | Verdy | 41 | 57 | 53.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 13 | +2.0 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs Montedio Yamagata (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Yamaga (-1.7) |
9 | V | 21 | 39 | 36.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 22 | +2.9 | 0.0 | 2:0 vs Varen Nagasaki-Kyoto (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Varen Nagasaki-Blaublitz (-1.7) |
10 | Mito | 41 | 59 | 56.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 10 | -1.6 | +4.0 | 0:1 vs Montedio Yamagata (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Blaublitz (-1.9) |
11 | Varen Nagasaki-Blaublitz | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | +2.0Outperforming | 35 | 0.0 | +2.0 | 1:2 vs V (+2.0) | 1:2 vs V (2.0) |
12 | Varen Nagasaki-Okayama | 1 | 3 | 1.1 | +1.9On expectation | 30 | 0.0 | +1.9 | 0:1 vs V (+1.9) | 0:1 vs V (1.9) |
13 | Varen Nagasaki-Machida | 1 | 3 | 1.1 | +1.9On expectation | 29 | 0.0 | +1.9 | 0:3 vs V (+1.9) | 0:3 vs V (1.9) |
14 | Okayama | 41 | 56 | 54.2 | +1.8On expectation | 12 | -6.2 | +8.0 | 0:1 vs Albirex Niigata (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Kusatsu (-1.6) |
15 | Varen Nagasaki-Iwata | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6On expectation | 25 | 0.0 | +1.6 | 0:1 vs V (+1.6) | 0:1 vs V (1.6) |
16 | Albirex Niigata | 41 | 67 | 66.3 | +0.7On expectation | 4 | +1.8 | -1.1 | 1:0 vs V-Varen Nagasaki (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Okayama (-1.9) |
17 | Varen Nagasaki-Ehime | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +0.3On expectation | 42 | 0.0 | +0.3 | 1:1 vs V (+0.3) | 1:1 vs V (0.3) |
18 | Varen Nagasaki-Sagamihara | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.3On expectation | 41 | 0.0 | +0.3 | 0:0 vs V (+0.2) | 0:0 vs V (0.2) |
19 | Montedio Yamagata | 41 | 68 | 67.9 | +0.1On expectation | 3 | -3.4 | +3.5 | 1:2 vs Iwata (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Verdy (-2.1) |
20 | Varen Nagasaki-Omiya Ardija | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.0On expectation | 33 | 0.0 | -0.0 | 1:1 vs V (+-0.0) | 1:1 vs V (-0.0) |
21 | Varen Nagasaki-Verdy | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.0On expectation | 32 | 0.0 | -0.0 | 1:1 vs V (+-0.0) | 1:1 vs V (-0.0) |
22 | Varen Nagasaki-Chiba | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 31 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 2:2 vs V (+-0.0) | 2:2 vs V (-0.0) |
23 | Varen Nagasaki-Albirex Niigata | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2On expectation | 28 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 1:1 vs V (+-0.2) | 1:1 vs V (-0.2) |
24 | Varen Nagasaki-Giravanz Kitakyushu | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 43 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 3:2 vs V (+-0.7) | 3:2 vs V (-0.7) |
25 | Varen Nagasaki-Kusatsu | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 44 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 4:1 vs V (+-0.7) | 4:1 vs V (-0.7) |
26 | Varen Nagasaki-Renofa Yamaguchi | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 40 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 3:0 vs V (+-0.8) | 3:0 vs V (-0.8) |
27 | Varen Nagasaki-Tochigi SC | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 39 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 3:0 vs V (+-0.9) | 3:0 vs V (-0.9) |
28 | Varen Nagasaki-Yamaga | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 38 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 1:0 vs V (+-0.9) | 1:0 vs V (-0.9) |
29 | Varen Nagasaki-Kanazawa | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 37 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 2:1 vs V (+-0.9) | 2:1 vs V (-0.9) |
30 | Varen Nagasaki-Ryukyu | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 36 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 3:1 vs V (+-1.0) | 3:1 vs V (-1.0) |
31 | Varen Nagasaki-Mito | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 34 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 2:1 vs V (+-1.0) | 2:1 vs V (-1.0) |
32 | Varen Nagasaki-Kofu | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 27 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 2:1 vs V (+-1.2) | 2:1 vs V (-1.2) |
33 | Varen Nagasaki-Montedio Yamagata | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3On expectation | 26 | 0.0 | -1.3 | 5:1 vs V (+-1.3) | 5:1 vs V (-1.3) |
34 | Varen Nagasaki-Kyoto | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4On expectation | 24 | 0.0 | -1.4 | 2:0 vs V (+-1.5) | 2:0 vs V (-1.5) |
35 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 41 | 43 | 44.7 | -1.7On expectation | 18 | -1.0 | -0.6 | 1:2 vs Iwata (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Giravanz Kitakyushu (-1.4) |
36 | Sagamihara | 41 | 37 | 39.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 21 | -1.6 | -1.1 | 0:1 vs Ryukyu (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Ehime (-1.4) |
37 | Kusatsu | 41 | 41 | 46.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 17 | -1.2 | -4.1 | 0:1 vs Tochigi SC (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Giravanz Kitakyushu (-1.5) |
38 | Blaublitz | 41 | 44 | 49.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 15 | -7.7 | +1.9 | 0:3 vs Mito (+2.1) | 1:4 vs Yamaga (-1.6) |
39 | Tochigi SC | 41 | 45 | 51.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 14 | -8.3 | +2.1 | 1:2 vs Montedio Yamagata (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Giravanz Kitakyushu (-1.8) |
40 | Ehime | 41 | 34 | 41.6 | -7.6Underperforming −− | 20 | -10.5 | +2.9 | 0:1 vs Omiya Ardija (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Sagamihara (-1.5) |
41 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 41 | 35 | 43.5 | -8.5Underperforming −− | 19 | -8.0 | -0.6 | 0:1 vs Machida (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Ehime (-1.5) |
42 | Kanazawa | 41 | 41 | 56.7 | -15.7Underperforming −− | 9 | -7.9 | -7.7 | 1:0 vs Albirex Niigata (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Renofa Yamaguchi (-1.7) |
43 | Yamaga | 41 | 34 | 49.7 | -15.7Underperforming −− | 16 | -5.3 | -10.4 | 2:1 vs Verdy (+1.9) | 3:1 vs Ehime (-1.6) |
44 | Omiya Ardija | 41 | 41 | 60.1 | -19.1Underperforming −− | 7 | -9.3 | -9.9 | 4:0 vs V-Varen Nagasaki (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Ehime (-2.1) |
