J2 League 2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 38 | 75 | 59.7 | +15.3Outperforming ++ | 5 | +7.8 | +7.5 | 1:2 vs Chiba (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Mito (-1.9) |
2 | Montedio Yamagata | 38 | 66 | 54.5 | +11.6Outperforming ++ | 8 | +4.9 | +6.7 | 1:2 vs Shimizu S-Pulse (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Fujieda MYFC (-1.8) |
3 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 38 | 82 | 70.8 | +11.2Outperforming ++ | 1 | +11.2 | 0.0 | 0:1 vs Okayama (+1.5) | 3:0 vs Ehime (-2.1) |
4 | Vegalta Sendai | 38 | 64 | 55.5 | +8.6Outperforming ++ | 6 | +4.4 | +4.2 | 3:0 vs Yokohama FC (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Fujieda MYFC (-1.8) |
5 | Tokushima | 38 | 55 | 47.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 13 | -1.3 | +8.7 | 1:2 vs Okayama (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Kusatsu (-1.5) |
6 | Yokohama FC | 38 | 76 | 68.9 | +7.1Outperforming ++ | 2 | +4.4 | +2.7 | 2:0 vs Shimizu S-Pulse (+1.7) | 2:4 vs Okayama (-1.8) |
7 | Okayama | 38 | 65 | 60.0 | +5.0Outperforming | 4 | +4.9 | +0.1 | 2:4 vs Yokohama FC (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Tokushima (-1.7) |
8 | Fujieda MYFC | 38 | 46 | 41.0 | +5.0Outperforming | 17 | +2.4 | +2.6 | 1:2 vs Kumamoto (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Ehime (-1.8) |
9 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 38 | 53 | 50.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 12 | +2.3 | +0.6 | 1:2 vs Iwaki (+2.0) | 3:0 vs Fujieda MYFC (-1.6) |
10 | Blaublitz | 38 | 54 | 51.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 11 | +2.5 | +0.0 | 1:2 vs Chiba (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Kusatsu (-1.7) |
11 | Ehime | 38 | 40 | 38.8 | +1.2On expectation | 19 | +2.1 | -0.9 | 3:0 vs Shimizu S-Pulse (+2.4) | 0:4 vs Kusatsu (-1.6) |
12 | Iwaki | 38 | 54 | 54.8 | -0.8On expectation | 7 | -6.5 | +5.7 | 1:2 vs Montedio Yamagata (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Oita Trinita (-1.7) |
13 | Mito | 38 | 44 | 46.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 15 | -1.9 | -0.9 | 1:2 vs V-Varen Nagasaki (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Fujieda MYFC (-1.8) |
14 | Chiba | 38 | 61 | 64.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 3 | +3.6 | -6.6 | 1:0 vs Yokohama FC (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Tochigi SC (-2.1) |
15 | Oita Trinita | 38 | 43 | 47.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 14 | -5.5 | +1.3 | 0:1 vs Iwaki (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Tochigi SC (-1.7) |
16 | Tochigi SC | 38 | 34 | 39.9 | -5.9Underperforming −− | 18 | -2.6 | -3.3 | 2:1 vs Chiba (+2.3) | 1:0 vs Fujieda MYFC (-1.4) |
17 | Kumamoto | 38 | 46 | 52.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 10 | -10.8 | +4.7 | 0:2 vs Chiba (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Fujieda MYFC (-2.0) |
18 | Kofu | 38 | 45 | 52.9 | -7.9Underperforming −− | 9 | -8.8 | +0.8 | 3:1 vs Okayama (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Tochigi SC (-1.9) |
19 | Kagoshima Utd | 38 | 30 | 44.0 | -14.1Underperforming −− | 16 | +0.1 | -14.2 | 4:2 vs Chiba (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Fujieda MYFC (-1.5) |
20 | Kusatsu | 38 | 18 | 35.3 | -17.3Underperforming −− | 20 | -10.6 | -6.7 | 1:0 vs Blaublitz (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Ehime (-1.3) |
