J2 Leaguehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Shimizu S | 18 | 47 | 34.8 | +12.3Outperforming ++ | 19 | +12.3 | 0.0 | 2:0 vs Pulse-Chiba (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Pulse-Montedio Yamagata (-2.0) |
2 | Montedio Yamagata | 36 | 63 | 52.6 | +10.4Outperforming ++ | 6 | +4.9 | +5.5 | 2:0 vs Shimizu S-Pulse (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Fujieda MYFC (-1.8) |
3 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 20 | 38 | 28.5 | +9.5Outperforming ++ | 22 | +1.9 | +7.5 | 1:2 vs Chiba (+2.0) | 4:2 vs Montedio Yamagata (-1.5) |
4 | Yokohama FC | 36 | 75 | 66.3 | +8.7Outperforming ++ | 1 | +4.4 | +4.3 | 2:0 vs Shimizu S-Pulse (+1.7) | 2:4 vs Okayama (-1.8) |
5 | Tokushima | 36 | 54 | 45.9 | +8.1Outperforming ++ | 11 | -1.3 | +9.4 | 1:2 vs Okayama (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Kusatsu (-1.5) |
6 | Vegalta Sendai | 36 | 61 | 53.3 | +7.7Outperforming ++ | 4 | +4.4 | +3.3 | 3:0 vs Yokohama FC (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Fujieda MYFC (-1.8) |
7 | Fujieda MYFC | 36 | 46 | 39.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 15 | +2.4 | +3.9 | 1:2 vs Kumamoto (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Ehime (-1.8) |
8 | Okayama | 36 | 64 | 57.9 | +6.1Outperforming ++ | 3 | +4.9 | +1.2 | 2:4 vs Yokohama FC (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Tokushima (-1.7) |
9 | V | 18 | 37 | 31.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 21 | +5.8 | 0.0 | 1:0 vs Varen Nagasaki-Yokohama FC (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Varen Nagasaki-Mito (-1.9) |
10 | Blaublitz | 36 | 53 | 49.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 9 | +2.5 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs Chiba (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Kusatsu (-1.7) |
11 | Ehime | 36 | 40 | 37.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 17 | +2.1 | +0.4 | 3:0 vs Shimizu S-Pulse (+2.4) | 0:4 vs Kusatsu (-1.6) |
12 | Pulse-Montedio Yamagata | 1 | 3 | 0.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 45 | 0.0 | +2.2 | 1:2 vs Shimizu S (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Shimizu S (2.2) |
13 | Varen Nagasaki-Mito | 1 | 3 | 0.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 42 | 0.0 | +2.2 | 1:2 vs V (+2.2) | 1:2 vs V (2.2) |
14 | Varen Nagasaki-Renofa Yamaguchi | 1 | 3 | 1.1 | +1.9On expectation | 32 | 0.0 | +1.9 | 1:2 vs V (+1.9) | 1:2 vs V (1.9) |
15 | Varen Nagasaki-Vegalta Sendai | 1 | 3 | 1.1 | +1.9On expectation | 30 | 0.0 | +1.9 | 1:2 vs V (+1.8) | 1:2 vs V (1.8) |
16 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 36 | 50 | 48.4 | +1.6On expectation | 10 | +2.3 | -0.7 | 1:2 vs Iwaki (+2.0) | 3:0 vs Fujieda MYFC (-1.6) |
17 | Iwaki | 36 | 54 | 53.0 | +1.0On expectation | 5 | -6.5 | +7.5 | 1:2 vs Montedio Yamagata (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Oita Trinita (-1.7) |
18 | Pulse-Tokushima | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2On expectation | 48 | 0.0 | +0.2 | 1:1 vs Shimizu S (+0.2) | 1:1 vs Shimizu S (0.2) |
19 | Varen Nagasaki-Tochigi SC | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.1On expectation | 40 | 0.0 | +0.1 | 1:1 vs V (+0.1) | 1:1 vs V (0.1) |
20 | Varen Nagasaki-Okayama | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 31 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0:0 vs V (+-0.2) | 0:0 vs V (-0.2) |
21 | Varen Nagasaki-Blaublitz | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2On expectation | 27 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 2:2 vs V (+-0.2) | 2:2 vs V (-0.2) |
22 | Pulse-Yokohama FC | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3On expectation | 26 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 1:1 vs Shimizu S (+-0.3) | 1:1 vs Shimizu S (-0.3) |
23 | Varen Nagasaki-Kofu | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3On expectation | 25 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 1:1 vs V (+-0.3) | 1:1 vs V (-0.3) |
24 | Chiba | 36 | 61 | 61.5 | -0.5On expectation | 2 | +3.6 | -4.1 | 1:0 vs Yokohama FC (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Tochigi SC (-2.1) |
25 | Pulse-Tochigi SC | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5On expectation | 58 | 0.0 | -0.5 | 4:1 vs Shimizu S (+-0.5) | 4:1 vs Shimizu S (-0.5) |
26 | Varen Nagasaki-Ehime | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6On expectation | 57 | 0.0 | -0.6 | 5:2 vs V (+-0.6) | 5:2 vs V (-0.6) |
27 | Pulse-Renofa Yamaguchi | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6On expectation | 56 | 0.0 | -0.6 | 4:1 vs Shimizu S (+-0.6) | 4:1 vs Shimizu S (-0.6) |
28 | Varen Nagasaki-Fujieda MYFC | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6On expectation | 55 | 0.0 | -0.6 | 2:0 vs V (+-0.6) | 2:0 vs V (-0.6) |
29 | Pulse-Kusatsu | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 54 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 4:0 vs Shimizu S (+-0.7) | 4:0 vs Shimizu S (-0.7) |
30 | Pulse-Fujieda MYFC | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 53 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 1:0 vs Shimizu S (+-0.7) | 1:0 vs Shimizu S (-0.7) |
31 | Pulse-Ehime | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 52 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 2:0 vs Shimizu S (+-0.7) | 2:0 vs Shimizu S (-0.7) |
32 | Pulse-Kagoshima Utd | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 51 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 4:0 vs Shimizu S (+-0.7) | 4:0 vs Shimizu S (-0.7) |
33 | Varen Nagasaki-Kusatsu | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 50 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 2:0 vs V (+-0.8) | 2:0 vs V (-0.8) |
34 | Pulse-Kofu | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 49 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 3:0 vs Shimizu S (+-0.8) | 3:0 vs Shimizu S (-0.8) |
35 | Pulse-Blaublitz | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 47 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 1:0 vs Shimizu S (+-0.8) | 1:0 vs Shimizu S (-0.8) |
36 | Pulse-Iwaki | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 46 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 1:0 vs Shimizu S (+-0.8) | 1:0 vs Shimizu S (-0.8) |
37 | Varen Nagasaki-Kumamoto | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 44 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 2:0 vs V (+-0.8) | 2:0 vs V (-0.8) |
38 | Pulse-Oita Trinita | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 43 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 2:0 vs Shimizu S (+-0.8) | 2:0 vs Shimizu S (-0.8) |
39 | Pulse-Mito | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 41 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 2:1 vs Shimizu S (+-0.8) | 2:1 vs Shimizu S (-0.8) |
40 | Varen Nagasaki-Kagoshima Utd | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 39 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 4:1 vs V (+-0.9) | 4:1 vs V (-0.9) |
41 | Varen Nagasaki-Tokushima | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 38 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 6:1 vs V (+-0.9) | 6:1 vs V (-0.9) |
42 | Pulse-Vegalta Sendai | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 37 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 3:2 vs Shimizu S (+-1.0) | 3:2 vs Shimizu S (-1.0) |
43 | Pulse-Okayama | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 36 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 3:1 vs Shimizu S (+-1.0) | 3:1 vs Shimizu S (-1.0) |
44 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 20 | 35 | 36.0 | -1.0On expectation | 18 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 0:1 vs Okayama (+1.5) | 3:0 vs Ehime (-2.1) |
45 | Varen Nagasaki-Iwaki | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 35 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 3:1 vs V (+-1.0) | 3:1 vs V (-1.0) |
46 | Pulse-Kumamoto | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 34 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 1:0 vs Shimizu S (+-1.0) | 1:0 vs Shimizu S (-1.0) |
47 | Varen Nagasaki-Montedio Yamagata | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 33 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 2:0 vs V (+-1.1) | 2:0 vs V (-1.1) |
48 | Varen Nagasaki-Oita Trinita | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 29 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 4:1 vs V (+-1.2) | 4:1 vs V (-1.2) |
49 | Pulse-Chiba | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 28 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 2:0 vs Shimizu S (+-1.2) | 2:0 vs Shimizu S (-1.2) |
50 | Varen Nagasaki-Chiba | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4On expectation | 24 | 0.0 | -1.4 | 1:0 vs V (+-1.4) | 1:0 vs V (-1.4) |
51 | Varen Nagasaki-Yokohama FC | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4On expectation | 23 | 0.0 | -1.4 | 1:0 vs V (+-1.4) | 1:0 vs V (-1.4) |
52 | Oita Trinita | 36 | 43 | 45.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 12 | -5.5 | +3.3 | 0:1 vs Iwaki (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Tochigi SC (-1.7) |
53 | Mito | 36 | 41 | 45.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 13 | -1.9 | -2.2 | 1:2 vs Iwaki (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Fujieda MYFC (-1.8) |
54 | Kumamoto | 36 | 46 | 50.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 8 | -10.8 | +6.5 | 0:2 vs Chiba (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Fujieda MYFC (-2.0) |
55 | Tochigi SC | 36 | 33 | 38.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 16 | -2.6 | -2.9 | 2:1 vs Chiba (+2.3) | 1:0 vs Fujieda MYFC (-1.4) |
56 | Kofu | 36 | 44 | 50.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 7 | -8.8 | +1.9 | 3:1 vs Okayama (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Tochigi SC (-1.9) |
57 | Kagoshima Utd | 36 | 30 | 42.5 | -12.5Underperforming −− | 14 | +0.1 | -12.6 | 4:2 vs Chiba (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Fujieda MYFC (-1.5) |
58 | Kusatsu | 36 | 18 | 33.9 | -15.9Underperforming −− | 20 | -10.6 | -5.3 | 1:0 vs Blaublitz (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Ehime (-1.3) |
