Sagan Tosu are 8th in the 2025 J2 League after 38 matches — 58 points from a 16-10-12 record, 46 goals scored and 43 conceded. Market-implied expected points say 51.3 — 6.7 more than they have banked; the underlying numbers place them 12th. The 1:0 against Omiya Ardija was the kindest result. Form over the last five: LDLDL, 2 points. They average 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match; 45% of their matches have cleared 2.5 goals, with 13 clean sheets and 9 blanks in front of goal. Biggest win: 2:0 against V-Varen Nagasaki.
Of their 46 goals, the most (11) have come in the 30-45 minute band. 11 of them have arrived after the 75th minute. The first goal in a Sagan Tosu match has come before half-time 28 times in 38, and 4 matches finished goalless.
Collected 6.7 more points than market odds expected (51.3 xPTS). full table →
Flat-stake ROI of backing them in every match this season. A rare market beat — small samples swing hard, treat as description not advice.
2 points from the last five. Avg 1.2 scored, 1.1 conceded per match.
All 2025 results
odds are closing 1X2 prices| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | HT | 1st goal | 1 | X | 2 | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | Iwata | H | 1:2 | 0:0 | 67' | 2.37 | 3.38 | 2.77 | L |
| 2025-11-23 | Fujieda MYFC | A | 0:0 | 0:0 | — | 3.13 | 3.34 | 2.20 | D |
| 2025-11-09 | Toyama | A | 3:1 | 1:0 | 30' | 3.95 | 3.33 | 1.88 | L |
| 2025-11-02 | Tokushima | H | 0:0 | 0:0 | — | 2.80 | 2.87 | 2.68 | D |
| 2025-10-26 | Vegalta Sendai | A | 3:2 | 0:1 | 31' | 2.24 | 3.27 | 3.08 | L |
| 2025-10-18 | Blaublitz | H | 1:0 | 1:0 | 5' | 2.02 | 3.21 | 3.66 | W |
| 2025-10-05 | Renofa Yamaguchi | A | 1:2 | 0:1 | 6' | 2.91 | 3.11 | 2.41 | W |
| 2025-09-27 | Imabari | A | 1:1 | 1:0 | 22' | 2.21 | 3.24 | 3.17 | D |
| 2025-09-20 | Kumamoto | H | 4:2 | 1:1 | 28' | 2.15 | 3.27 | 3.27 | W |
| 2025-09-13 | Kofu | A | 2:3 | 1:0 | 10' | 3.09 | 3.07 | 2.34 | W |
| 2025-08-30 | Montedio Yamagata | A | 3:2 | 3:1 | 20' | 2.54 | 3.17 | 2.72 | L |
| 2025-08-23 | Mito | H | 2:2 | 0:1 | 36' | 2.73 | 3.04 | 2.63 | D |
| 2025-08-17 | V-Varen Nagasaki | H | 1:2 | 1:1 | 15' | 4.15 | 3.32 | 1.88 | L |
| 2025-08-10 | Ehime | A | 0:1 | 0:1 | 17' | 4.31 | 3.44 | 1.81 | W |
| 2025-08-02 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1:0 | 0:0 | 77' | 2.55 | 3.29 | 2.63 | L |
| 2025-07-12 | Oita Trinita | H | 2:1 | 1:1 | 18' | 2.11 | 3.08 | 3.62 | W |
| 2025-07-05 | Chiba | A | 0:2 | 0:1 | 31' | 2.28 | 3.17 | 3.09 | W |
| 2025-06-28 | Iwaki | H | 1:0 | 1:0 | 31' | 2.54 | 3.08 | 2.75 | W |
| 2025-06-21 | Omiya Ardija | A | 0:0 | 0:0 | — | 1.91 | 3.48 | 3.70 | D |
| 2025-06-14 | Mito | A | 1:0 | 0:0 | 84' | 1.91 | 3.19 | 4.21 | L |
| 2025-05-31 | Ehime | H | 2:2 | 2:0 | 44' | 1.73 | 3.49 | 4.69 | D |
| 2025-05-25 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 2:1 | 2:0 | 29' | 2.61 | 3.33 | 2.55 | W |
| 2025-05-17 | Blaublitz | A | 1:2 | 1:1 | 32' | 2.51 | 2.97 | 2.94 | W |
| 2025-05-11 | Kofu | H | 0:0 | 0:0 | — | 2.28 | 3.03 | 3.20 | D |
| 2025-05-06 | Tokushima | A | 0:1 | 0:1 | 20' | 2.47 | 2.82 | 3.17 | W |
| 2025-05-03 | Chiba | H | 1:1 | 1:1 | 9' | 2.88 | 3.27 | 2.36 | D |
| 2025-04-29 | Oita Trinita | A | 1:0 | 1:0 | 13' | 2.47 | 2.96 | 3.02 | L |
| 2025-04-25 | Montedio Yamagata | H | 2:1 | 2:0 | 19' | 2.32 | 3.30 | 2.91 | W |
| 2025-04-19 | Renofa Yamaguchi | H | 2:2 | 1:0 | 9' | 2.53 | 3.00 | 2.88 | D |
| 2025-04-13 | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 0:2 | 0:1 | 31' | 1.79 | 3.62 | 4.14 | W |
| 2025-04-05 | Fujieda MYFC | H | 1:0 | 0:0 | 57' | 2.24 | 3.25 | 3.13 | W |
| 2025-03-30 | Kumamoto | A | 3:1 | 2:0 | 23' | 2.63 | 3.27 | 2.58 | L |
| 2025-03-23 | Toyama | H | 1:0 | 1:0 | 16' | 2.38 | 3.08 | 3.02 | W |
| 2025-03-15 | Omiya Ardija | H | 1:0 | 1:0 | 38' | 4.47 | 3.72 | 1.71 | W |
| 2025-03-09 | Iwaki | A | 1:1 | 0:1 | 38' | 2.25 | 3.18 | 3.12 | D |
| 2025-03-01 | Imabari | H | 1:4 | 0:3 | 22' | 2.40 | 3.08 | 3.00 | L |
| 2025-02-22 | Iwata | A | 1:0 | 0:0 | 82' | 1.91 | 3.45 | 3.78 | L |
| 2025-02-15 | Vegalta Sendai | H | 0:1 | 0:0 | 71' | 2.63 | 3.18 | 2.62 | L |
Goal timing
league-wide chart →When Sagan Tosu score
46 goals by 15-minute band — busiest: 30-45' (attribution approximated from goal order, as in the league heat map)
First goal in Sagan Tosu matches
either side scoring — 28 of 38 matches saw a first-half opener; 4 stayed goalless
Go deeper
Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+