Biggest divergence
Juventude – Avai+7.2%
Under 2.5 · data 66% vs market 59%
Fastest starters
Criciuma22%
5 of their 23 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
Londrina41%
11 of their 27 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
The season in numbers
Least bad strategy
-2.6uEven the best blind strategy (over 2.5 goals) lost this season. The bookmaker margin is undefeated.
Most underrated by results
-14.5 ptsAmerica MG produced performances worth 15 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
28%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 35.1' on average.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
all leagues →
Juventude – Avai2026-07-29 22:30Under 2.5 ✓66.2%vs 59.0%▲ +7.2%- Ponte Preta – Athletic Club2026-07-29 22:30Home win28.8%vs 23.3%▲ +5.6%
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventude– Avai | 2026-07-29 | 22:30 | Under 2.5 ✓ | 66.2% | 59.0% | ▲ +7.2% | 1.59 |
| 2 |  Ponte Preta– Athletic Club | 2026-07-29 | 22:30 | Home win | 28.8% | 23.3% | ▲ +5.6% | 3.99 |
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Serie B match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 40 | 31.6 | +8.4 | champions — earned it |
| 2 | Operario-PR | 35 | 28.6 | +6.4 | |
| 3 | Vila Nova FC | 34 |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdown
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Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+