Serie B

• Criciuma – Ponte Preta2026-10-30 22:30
  Under 2.5Model 52.9%Implied 34.1%▲ +18.8%
• Fortaleza – Atletico GO2026-11-02 19:00
  Under 2.5Model 68.5%Implied 58.5%▲ +10.1%
• Cuiaba – Sao Bernardo2026-11-01 21:30
  Away winModel 30.8%Implied 21.6%▲ +9.2%
• Juventude – Nautico2026-10-27 23:30
  Under 2.5Model 60.6%Implied 52.6%▲ +8.0%
• Novorizontino – Operario-PR2026-11-01 21:30
  Under 2.5Model 53.7%Implied 47.8%▲ +5.9%
• Ceara – Goias2026-10-28 23:00
  Under 2.5Model 60.9%Implied 56.2%▲ +4.8%
• Botafogo SP – Sport Recife2026-10-31 19:00
  Away winModel 38.6%Implied 35.6%▲ +3.0%
• Nautico – Avai2026-10-31 22:30
  Away winModel 28.6%Implied 26.7%▲ +1.9%
• Londrina – America MG2026-11-01 19:00
  BTTS: NoModel 51.7%Implied 50.8%▲ +0.9%

#	Match	Date	Time	Market	Model %	Implied	Divergence▼	Odds
1	Criciuma–Ponte PretaSerie B	2026-10-30	22:30	Under 2.5	52.9%	34.1%	▲ +18.8%	2.93
2	Fortaleza–Atletico GOSerie B	2026-11-02	19:00	Under 2.5	68.5%	58.5%	▲ +10.1%	1.71
3	Cuiaba–Sao BernardoSerie B	2026-11-01	21:30	Away win	30.8%	21.6%	▲ +9.2%	4.64
4	Juventude–NauticoSerie B	2026-10-27	23:30	Under 2.5	60.6%	52.6%	▲ +8.0%	1.90
5	Novorizontino–Operario-PRSerie B	2026-11-01	21:30	Under 2.5	53.7%	47.8%	▲ +5.9%	2.09
6	Ceara–GoiasSerie B	2026-10-28	23:00	Under 2.5	60.9%	56.2%	▲ +4.8%	1.78
7	Botafogo SP–Sport RecifeSerie B	2026-10-31	19:00	Away win	38.6%	35.6%	▲ +3.0%	2.81
8	Nautico–AvaiSerie B	2026-10-31	22:30	Away win	28.6%	26.7%	▲ +1.9%	3.74
9	Londrina–America MGSerie B	2026-11-01	19:00	BTTS: No	51.7%	50.8%	▲ +0.9%	1.97

Serie B predictions and stats by market: 1X2 · Over 2.5 · Under 2.5 · BTTS · HT Over 1.5 · HT Under 1.5

We simulate the remaining Serie B schedule 10,000 times a day. Novorizontino win the 2026 title in 55% of them, projecting ~69 points; Juventude are next at 36%. At the other end, America MG finish in the bottom three in >99% of simulations. Biggest move after the latest results: Juventude's title chance up 12 points in a day.

#	Team	Pts now	Proj. pts	Range	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3
1	Novorizontino	64	69	66–73	▼55%	99%	—
2	Juventude	64	69	66–71	▲36%	99%	—
3	Vila Nova FC	62	66	63–69	▼6%	80%	—
4	Fortaleza	61	65	62–68	▼3%	78%	—
5	Criciuma	59	64	62–66	<1%	41%	—
· · ·
18	Londrina	32	37	33–39	—	—	88%
19	America MG	23	26	24–29	—	—	>99%
20	Ponte Preta	15	17	15–19	—	—	>99%

Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 31 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.

<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/brazil/serie-b/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Serie B live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/brazil/serie-b">Serie B stats by Football Charts</a></p>

How each market's prices compared with what happened in every Serie B match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.