Serie Bhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Vitoria | 37 | 72 | 53.3 | +18.7Outperforming ++ | 8 | +11.3 | +7.3 | 1:2 vs Sport Recife (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Criciuma (-1.9) |
2 | Criciuma | 37 | 63 | 54.2 | +8.8Outperforming ++ | 7 | +8.4 | +0.4 | 0:1 vs Vitoria (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Chapecoense-SC (-1.9) |
3 | CRB | 37 | 57 | 48.6 | +8.4Outperforming ++ | 11 | +6.8 | +1.5 | 0:1 vs Vila Nova FC (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Criciuma (-1.7) |
4 | Juventude | 37 | 62 | 54.7 | +7.3Outperforming ++ | 6 | -0.3 | +7.7 | 0:1 vs Mirassol (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Tombense (-2.0) |
5 | Guarani | 37 | 54 | 49.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 10 | +5.1 | -1.0 | 0:3 vs Ceara (+2.1) | 2:3 vs ABC (-2.2) |
6 | Atletico GO | 37 | 61 | 57.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 5 | +4.7 | -0.6 | 2:3 vs Vitoria (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Ceara (-1.8) |
7 | Botafogo SP | 37 | 47 | 44.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 17 | -2.9 | +5.5 | 0:1 vs Novorizontino (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Londrina (-2.0) |
8 | SC-Sampaio Correa | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | +2.0On expectation | 34 | 0.0 | +2.0 | 0:1 vs Chapecoense (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Chapecoense (2.0) |
9 | SC-Juventude | 1 | 3 | 1.1 | +1.9On expectation | 33 | 0.0 | +1.9 | 0:2 vs Chapecoense (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Chapecoense (1.9) |
10 | SC-Tombense | 1 | 3 | 1.1 | +1.9On expectation | 31 | 0.0 | +1.9 | 1:2 vs Chapecoense (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Chapecoense (1.9) |
11 | SC-Guarani | 1 | 3 | 1.3 | +1.7On expectation | 26 | 0.0 | +1.7 | 0:1 vs Chapecoense (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Chapecoense (1.7) |
12 | SC-Atletico GO | 1 | 3 | 1.3 | +1.7On expectation | 25 | 0.0 | +1.7 | 0:1 vs Chapecoense (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Chapecoense (1.7) |
13 | SC-Vila Nova FC | 1 | 3 | 1.3 | +1.7On expectation | 24 | 0.0 | +1.7 | 0:1 vs Chapecoense (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Chapecoense (1.7) |
14 | SC-Mirassol | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5On expectation | 23 | 0.0 | +1.5 | 0:1 vs Chapecoense (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Chapecoense (1.5) |
15 | Mirassol | 37 | 60 | 58.7 | +1.3On expectation | 3 | +3.0 | -1.6 | 1:3 vs Sampaio Correa (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Ituano (-2.0) |
16 | Novorizontino | 37 | 62 | 61.0 | +1.0On expectation | 2 | +1.8 | -0.9 | 0:3 vs Ceara (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Botafogo SP (-2.2) |
17 | SC-ABC | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +0.3On expectation | 40 | 0.0 | +0.3 | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (+0.3) | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (0.3) |
18 | Vila Nova FC | 37 | 58 | 57.9 | +0.1On expectation | 4 | +3.6 | -3.4 | 0:3 vs Avai (+1.9) | 3:2 vs ABC (-2.2) |
19 | Chapecoense-SC | 19 | 18 | 17.9 | +0.1On expectation | 21 | 0.0 | +0.1 | 1:2 vs Novorizontino (+2.3) | 1:0 vs Ponte Preta (-1.1) |
20 | SC-Avai | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.0On expectation | 35 | 0.0 | +0.0 | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (+0.0) | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (0.0) |
21 | SC-Ceara | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 30 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (+-0.1) | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (-0.1) |
22 | SC-Ponte Preta | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 29 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (+-0.1) | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (-0.1) |
23 | SC-Criciuma | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2On expectation | 28 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (+-0.2) | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (-0.2) |
24 | SC-Novorizontino | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2On expectation | 27 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (+-0.2) | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (-0.2) |
25 | SC-Sport Recife | 1 | 1 | 1.6 | -0.6On expectation | 22 | 0.0 | -0.6 | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (+-0.6) | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (-0.6) |
26 | SC-Vitoria | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 39 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 3:1 vs Chapecoense (+-0.7) | 3:1 vs Chapecoense (-0.7) |
27 | SC-Botafogo SP | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 38 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 2:0 vs Chapecoense (+-0.9) | 2:0 vs Chapecoense (-0.9) |
28 | SC-Londrina | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 37 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 3:0 vs Chapecoense (+-1.0) | 3:0 vs Chapecoense (-1.0) |
29 | SC-CRB | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 36 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 2:1 vs Chapecoense (+-1.0) | 2:1 vs Chapecoense (-1.0) |
30 | SC-Ituano | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 32 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (+-1.1) | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (-1.1) |
31 | Sport Recife | 37 | 62 | 63.5 | -1.5On expectation | 1 | +4.1 | -5.5 | 0:1 vs Vila Nova FC (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Ituano (-2.2) |
32 | Avai | 37 | 43 | 45.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 14 | -5.2 | +2.6 | 0:1 vs Botafogo SP (+2.0) | 0:2 vs ABC (-1.8) |
33 | Ceara | 37 | 49 | 52.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 9 | -2.3 | -1.2 | 0:3 vs Atletico GO (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Vitoria (-1.9) |
34 | Ponte Preta | 37 | 41 | 44.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 16 | -2.5 | -1.1 | 0:1 vs Tombense (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Tombense (-1.6) |
35 | Ituano | 37 | 42 | 45.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 12 | -2.8 | -1.1 | 1:2 vs Sport Recife (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Ponte Preta (-1.7) |
36 | Londrina | 37 | 31 | 38.8 | -7.8Underperforming −− | 18 | -2.5 | -5.3 | 0:1 vs Botafogo SP (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Botafogo SP (-1.4) |
37 | Chapecoense | 19 | 22 | 30.1 | -8.1Underperforming −− | 20 | -8.1 | 0.0 | 1:0 vs SC-Ituano (+1.4) | 0:1 vs SC-Sampaio Correa (-1.7) |
38 | Sampaio Correa | 37 | 36 | 45.9 | -9.8Underperforming −− | 13 | -3.8 | -6.1 | 0:1 vs Tombense (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Criciuma (-1.6) |
39 | ABC | 37 | 27 | 37.6 | -10.7Underperforming −− | 19 | -8.6 | -2.0 | 2:3 vs Guarani (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Botafogo SP (-1.6) |
40 | Tombense | 37 | 34 | 45.5 | -11.5Underperforming −− | 15 | -7.3 | -4.1 | 1:2 vs Juventude (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Ponte Preta (-2.0) |
