Serie Bhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Goias | 35 | 60 | 52.4 | +7.6Outperforming ++ | 7 | +8.2 | -0.6 | 0:1 vs CRB (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Chapecoense-SC (-2.1) |
2 | Mirassol | 36 | 63 | 55.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 5 | +10.7 | -3.2 | 0:1 vs Coritiba (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Botafogo SP (-1.9) |
3 | Amazonas | 35 | 49 | 41.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 14 | +6.4 | +1.1 | 1:0 vs Santos (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Botafogo SP (-1.7) |
4 | Avai | 35 | 52 | 45.9 | +6.1Outperforming ++ | 11 | +2.7 | +3.4 | 1:2 vs Sport Recife (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Novorizontino (-1.7) |
5 | Novorizontino | 35 | 57 | 51.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 8 | +1.1 | +4.7 | 1:2 vs Sport Recife (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Operario-PR (-1.9) |
6 | Vila Nova FC | 35 | 50 | 44.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 12 | +13.2 | -8.0 | 0:1 vs Goias (+2.1) | 3:4 vs Ituano (-1.8) |
7 | Operario-PR | 20 | 25 | 20.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 21 | +1.1 | +3.8 | 1:2 vs Sport Recife (+2.4) | 1:0 vs Vila Nova FC (-1.1) |
8 | Sport Recife | 36 | 65 | 60.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 2 | +0.5 | +3.6 | 0:2 vs Avai (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Avai (-2.2) |
9 | Ceara | 35 | 60 | 56.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 4 | +6.9 | -3.6 | 0:3 vs Novorizontino (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Mirassol (-1.7) |
10 | Operario | 17 | 30 | 26.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 19 | +3.1 | 0.0 | 1:0 vs PR-Santos (+2.0) | 1:2 vs PR-Ituano (-2.0) |
11 | PR-Ituano | 1 | 3 | 0.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 56 | 0.0 | +2.3 | 1:2 vs Operario (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Operario (2.3) |
12 | PR-Botafogo SP | 1 | 3 | 0.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 52 | 0.0 | +2.1 | 0:1 vs Operario (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Operario (2.1) |
13 | Chapecoense-SC | 20 | 19 | 16.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 22 | -1.5 | +3.6 | 1:2 vs Goias (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Operario-PR (-1.5) |
14 | PR-Vila Nova FC | 1 | 3 | 0.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 51 | 0.0 | +2.1 | 2:3 vs Operario (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Operario (2.1) |
15 | Santos | 36 | 68 | 66.2 | +1.8On expectation | 1 | -0.4 | +2.3 | 0:1 vs Ceara (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Botafogo SP (-2.2) |
16 | SC-Guarani | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | +1.8On expectation | 35 | 0.0 | +1.8 | 0:4 vs Chapecoense (+1.8) | 0:4 vs Chapecoense (1.8) |
17 | SC-Paysandu PA | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | +1.8On expectation | 36 | 0.0 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs Chapecoense (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Chapecoense (1.8) |
18 | SC-Goias | 1 | 3 | 1.3 | +1.7On expectation | 32 | 0.0 | +1.7 | 0:4 vs Chapecoense (+1.7) | 0:4 vs Chapecoense (1.7) |
19 | SC-Novorizontino | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6On expectation | 29 | 0.0 | +1.6 | 0:2 vs Chapecoense (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Chapecoense (1.6) |
20 | Chapecoense | 17 | 25 | 24.5 | +0.5On expectation | 20 | +0.5 | 0.0 | 3:2 vs SC-Santos (+2.0) | 1:2 vs SC-Paysandu PA (-1.4) |
21 | PR-Brusque | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2On expectation | 55 | 0.0 | +0.2 | 0:0 vs Operario (+0.2) | 0:0 vs Operario (0.2) |
22 | PR-Ponte Preta | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2On expectation | 54 | 0.0 | +0.2 | 1:1 vs Operario (+0.2) | 1:1 vs Operario (0.2) |
23 | PR-Paysandu PA | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +0.1On expectation | 50 | 0.0 | +0.1 | 1:1 vs Operario (+0.1) | 1:1 vs Operario (0.1) |
24 | PR-Ceara | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.0On expectation | 48 | 0.0 | -0.0 | 0:0 vs Operario (+-0.0) | 0:0 vs Operario (-0.0) |
25 | SC-Ponte Preta | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 46 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (+-0.1) | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (-0.1) |
26 | SC-Botafogo SP | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 45 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (+-0.1) | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (-0.1) |
27 | PR-Novorizontino | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 43 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0:0 vs Operario (+-0.1) | 0:0 vs Operario (-0.1) |
28 | SC-Brusque | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 42 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (+-0.1) | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (-0.1) |
29 | SC-CRB | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 40 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (+-0.1) | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (-0.1) |
30 | SC-Vila Nova FC | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 38 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (+-0.1) | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (-0.1) |
31 | PR-Mirassol | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3On expectation | 33 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 1:1 vs Operario (+-0.3) | 1:1 vs Operario (-0.3) |
32 | Botafogo SP | 35 | 40 | 40.3 | -0.3On expectation | 16 | -3.8 | +3.5 | 1:2 vs Santos (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Ituano (-1.7) |
33 | SC-America MG | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4On expectation | 30 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 2:2 vs Chapecoense (+-0.4) | 2:2 vs Chapecoense (-0.4) |
34 | SC-Sport Recife | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4On expectation | 28 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (+-0.4) | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (-0.4) |
35 | PR-Amazonas | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 53 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 1:0 vs Operario (+-0.8) | 1:0 vs Operario (-0.8) |
36 | SC-Ituano | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 49 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 3:1 vs Chapecoense (+-1.0) | 3:1 vs Chapecoense (-1.0) |
37 | SC-Coritiba | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 47 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 2:1 vs Chapecoense (+-1.0) | 2:1 vs Chapecoense (-1.0) |
38 | PR-Guarani | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 44 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 1:0 vs Operario (+-1.1) | 1:0 vs Operario (-1.1) |
39 | PR-Avai | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 41 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 1:0 vs Operario (+-1.1) | 1:0 vs Operario (-1.1) |
40 | SC-Amazonas | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 39 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 2:0 vs Chapecoense (+-1.2) | 2:0 vs Chapecoense (-1.2) |
41 | PR-Goias | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 37 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 2:0 vs Operario (+-1.2) | 2:0 vs Operario (-1.2) |
42 | SC-Avai | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 34 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (+-1.2) | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (-1.2) |
43 | America MG | 36 | 57 | 58.3 | -1.3On expectation | 3 | +8.7 | -9.9 | 2:1 vs Santos (+1.5) | 1:0 vs Amazonas (-1.5) |
44 | PR-Coritiba | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3On expectation | 31 | 0.0 | -1.3 | 2:1 vs Operario (+-1.3) | 2:1 vs Operario (-1.3) |
45 | PR-America MG | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5On expectation | 27 | 0.0 | -1.5 | 1:0 vs Operario (+-1.5) | 1:0 vs Operario (-1.5) |
46 | SC-Ceara | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5On expectation | 26 | 0.0 | -1.5 | 2:1 vs Chapecoense (+-1.5) | 2:1 vs Chapecoense (-1.5) |
47 | PR-Sport Recife | 1 | 0 | 1.6 | -1.6On expectation | 25 | 0.0 | -1.6 | 2:1 vs Operario (+-1.6) | 2:1 vs Operario (-1.6) |
48 | PR-Santos | 1 | 0 | 1.6 | -1.6On expectation | 24 | 0.0 | -1.6 | 1:0 vs Operario (+-1.6) | 1:0 vs Operario (-1.6) |
49 | SC-Santos | 1 | 0 | 1.7 | -1.7On expectation | 23 | 0.0 | -1.7 | 3:2 vs Chapecoense (+-1.7) | 3:2 vs Chapecoense (-1.7) |
50 | Paysandu PA | 35 | 45 | 46.7 | -1.7On expectation | 10 | +1.3 | -3.0 | 1:2 vs Ponte Preta (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Novorizontino (-1.7) |
51 | Ituano | 35 | 34 | 36.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 18 | -0.3 | -2.0 | 3:4 vs Vila Nova FC (+2.1) | 1:2 vs CRB (-1.6) |
52 | Coritiba | 36 | 50 | 54.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 6 | +0.7 | -4.8 | 0:1 vs Sport Recife (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Botafogo SP (-2.0) |
53 | Brusque | 36 | 34 | 38.8 | -4.8Underperforming | 17 | +3.5 | -8.3 | 1:0 vs Ceara (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Botafogo SP (-1.7) |
54 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 36 | 40.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 15 | +2.1 | -7.0 | 0:1 vs CRB (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Chapecoense-SC (-1.7) |
55 | CRB | 36 | 42 | 48.3 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 9 | -3.0 | -3.3 | 0:2 vs Santos (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Ponte Preta (-1.9) |
56 | Guarani | 35 | 30 | 42.6 | -12.6Underperforming −− | 13 | -3.0 | -9.7 | 0:1 vs Ponte Preta (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Chapecoense-SC (-1.7) |
