Serie Bhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 34 | 25.4 | +8.6Outperforming ++ | 14 | +8.8 | -0.2 | 1:2 vs America MG (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Goias (-1.1) |
2 | Criciuma | 20 | 40 | 31.6 | +8.4Outperforming ++ | 1 | +2.8 | +5.6 | 0:1 vs Novorizontino (+1.9) | 0:0 vs Nautico (-1.1) |
3 | Operario-PR | 20 | 35 | 28.6 | +6.4Outperforming ++ | 6 | +3.6 | +2.8 | 1:2 vs Ceara (+2.0) | 2:6 vs Nautico (-1.6) |
4 | Juventude | 19 | 32 | 28.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 9 | +5.7 | -1.7 | 0:1 vs CRB (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Sport Recife (-1.6) |
5 | Athletic Club | 19 | 27 | 23.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 17 | +0.9 | +2.4 | 2:3 vs CRB (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Operario-PR (-1.5) |
6 | Atletico GO | 20 | 31 | 27.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 10 | +0.4 | +2.7 | 0:1 vs Ceara (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Sao Bernardo (-1.8) |
7 | Novorizontino | 20 | 33 | 29.9 | +3.0Outperforming | 3 | +1.1 | +1.9 | 0:4 vs Goias (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Londrina (-1.9) |
8 | Sao Bernardo | 20 | 27 | 24.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 15 | -5.4 | +7.8 | 2:3 vs CRB (+2.2) | 3:4 vs Ceara (-1.6) |
9 | Fortaleza | 19 | 31 | 30.1 | +0.9On expectation | 2 | +4.7 | -3.8 | 0:1 vs Nautico (+1.8) | 0:3 vs America MG (-2.0) |
10 | Goias | 20 | 29 | 28.1 | +0.9On expectation | 8 | +1.0 | -0.2 | 0:1 vs Nautico (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Cuiaba (-1.8) |
11 | Sport Recife | 20 | 29 | 28.5 | +0.5On expectation | 7 | -2.3 | +2.8 | 0:1 vs Juventude (+1.9) | 1:2 vs CRB (-1.6) |
12 | CRB | 20 | 29 | 29.0 | -0.0On expectation | 5 | -3.8 | +3.7 | 1:2 vs America MG (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Sao Bernardo (-2.0) |
13 | Botafogo SP | 19 | 24 | 24.4 | -0.5On expectation | 16 | +0.3 | -0.8 | 0:1 vs Ceara (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Sao Bernardo (-1.7) |
14 | Cuiaba | 20 | 25 | 27.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 12 | -2.4 | +0.2 | 0:2 vs Goias (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Atletico GO (-1.6) |
15 | Nautico | 20 | 25 | 27.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 11 | -2.4 | -0.0 | 2:6 vs Operario-PR (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Sao Bernardo (-1.9) |
16 | Londrina | 20 | 20 | 22.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 19 | -1.8 | -0.9 | 1:3 vs Novorizontino (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Sport Recife (-1.5) |
17 | Avai | 19 | 20 | 23.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 18 | +0.4 | -3.6 | 0:1 vs CRB (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Ponte Preta (-1.9) |
18 | Ceara | 20 | 22 | 29.0 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 4 | -5.5 | -1.6 | 3:4 vs Sao Bernardo (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Botafogo SP (-1.8) |
19 | Ponte Preta | 19 | 8 | 17.4 | -9.4Underperforming −− | 20 | -6.1 | -3.3 | 1:2 vs Avai (+2.1) | 1:4 vs Londrina (-1.5) |
20 | America MG | 20 | 11 | 25.5 | -14.5Underperforming −− | 13 | -9.3 | -5.2 | 0:3 vs Fortaleza (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Botafogo SP (-1.7) |
