Serie Bhub →Serie B 2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Vila Nova FC | 35 | 62 | 48.9 | +13.1Outperforming ++ | 9 | +11.3 | +1.8 | 0:2 vs Atletico GO (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Sport Recife (-1.6) |
2 | Juventude | 35 | 64 | 54.5 | +9.6Outperforming ++ | 4 | +5.8 | +3.8 | 0:1 vs Novorizontino (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Athletic Club (-2.0) |
3 | Novorizontino | 35 | 64 | 57.0 | +7.0Outperforming ++ | 1 | +1.2 | +5.7 | 0:4 vs Goias (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Londrina (-1.9) |
4 | Sao Bernardo | 35 | 49 | 43.1 | +5.9Outperforming ++ | 15 | -5.2 | +11.1 | 2:3 vs CRB (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Londrina (-2.0) |
5 | Fortaleza | 35 | 61 | 56.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 2 | +1.8 | +3.0 | 0:2 vs Criciuma (+2.0) | 0:3 vs America MG (-2.0) |
6 | Sport Recife | 35 | 54 | 49.6 | +4.3Outperforming | 7 | +3.1 | +1.2 | 0:1 vs Vila Nova FC (+1.9) | 1:2 vs CRB (-1.5) |
7 | Criciuma | 35 | 59 | 55.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 3 | +1.8 | +1.6 | 0:1 vs Novorizontino (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Fortaleza (-1.7) |
8 | Atletico GO | 35 | 54 | 51.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 6 | +0.9 | +1.5 | 0:1 vs Ceara (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Sao Bernardo (-1.8) |
9 | Operario-PR | 35 | 51 | 49.2 | +1.8On expectation | 8 | -1.4 | +3.2 | 0:2 vs Criciuma (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Avai (-1.9) |
10 | CRB | 35 | 55 | 53.4 | +1.6On expectation | 5 | +0.6 | +0.9 | 1:2 vs America MG (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Ponte Preta (-2.3) |
11 | Goias | 34 | 49 | 47.5 | +1.5On expectation | 11 | +0.7 | +0.8 | 0:1 vs Nautico (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Cuiaba (-1.8) |
12 | Athletic Club | 35 | 44 | 42.7 | +1.3On expectation | 16 | -0.9 | +2.2 | 0:2 vs Juventude (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Operario-PR (-1.5) |
13 | Botafogo SP | 35 | 47 | 45.8 | +1.2On expectation | 14 | -2.5 | +3.7 | 0:1 vs CRB (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Sao Bernardo (-1.7) |
14 | Cuiaba | 35 | 47 | 48.8 | -1.8On expectation | 10 | -0.9 | -0.9 | 0:2 vs Goias (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Avai (-2.0) |
15 | Nautico | 35 | 43 | 46.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 13 | -0.2 | -3.5 | 2:6 vs Operario-PR (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Sao Bernardo (-1.9) |
16 | Ceara | 34 | 43 | 47.1 | -4.2Underperforming | 12 | -0.3 | -3.9 | 3:4 vs Sao Bernardo (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Botafogo SP (-1.8) |
17 | Avai | 35 | 37 | 42.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 17 | -3.6 | -1.8 | 0:1 vs Cuiaba (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Ponte Preta (-1.9) |
18 | Londrina | 35 | 32 | 39.2 | -7.2Underperforming −− | 19 | -3.4 | -3.8 | 1:2 vs Sao Bernardo (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Sport Recife (-1.5) |
19 | Ponte Preta | 35 | 15 | 25.8 | -10.8Underperforming −− | 20 | -4.3 | -6.4 | 1:0 vs CRB (+2.5) | 1:4 vs Londrina (-1.5) |
20 | America MG | 35 | 23 | 41.3 | -18.3Underperforming −− | 18 | -8.3 | -10.0 | 0:3 vs Fortaleza (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Botafogo SP (-1.7) |