Serie Bhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sampaio Correa | 36 | 57 | 44.0 | +13.0Outperforming ++ | 14 | +17.1 | -4.1 | 2:3 vs Vasco (+2.3) | 1:2 vs CRB (-1.7) |
2 | Cruzeiro | 36 | 72 | 63.1 | +8.9Outperforming ++ | 2 | +8.6 | +0.4 | 1:4 vs Novorizontino (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Guarani (-2.1) |
3 | Ituano | 36 | 56 | 48.2 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 9 | +6.0 | +1.8 | 0:1 vs Gremio (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Ponte Preta (-1.7) |
4 | Londrina | 36 | 50 | 43.0 | +7.0Outperforming ++ | 16 | +3.6 | +3.4 | 0:1 vs CSA (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Ponte Preta (-1.6) |
5 | Tombense | 36 | 44 | 39.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 18 | +10.3 | -6.1 | 1:3 vs Novorizontino (+2.1) | 1:2 vs CRB (-1.5) |
6 | Vasco | 36 | 58 | 54.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 4 | +7.9 | -4.3 | 0:1 vs Criciuma (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Sampaio Correa (-2.1) |
7 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 49 | 45.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 13 | +2.5 | +1.0 | 0:1 vs CSA (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Novorizontino (-1.6) |
8 | Criciuma | 36 | 53 | 49.8 | +3.3Outperforming | 6 | +6.1 | -2.9 | 1:2 vs Ituano (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Brusque (-1.8) |
9 | SC-Londrina | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | +2.0On expectation | 54 | 0.0 | +2.0 | 0:3 vs Chapecoense (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Chapecoense (2.0) |
10 | SC-CRB | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | +2.0On expectation | 55 | 0.0 | +2.0 | 1:2 vs Chapecoense (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Chapecoense (2.0) |
11 | SC-Sport Recife | 1 | 3 | 1.1 | +1.9On expectation | 47 | 0.0 | +1.9 | 0:1 vs Chapecoense (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Chapecoense (1.9) |
12 | PR-CRB | 1 | 3 | 1.1 | +1.9On expectation | 45 | 0.0 | +1.9 | 2:3 vs Operario (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Operario (1.9) |
13 | SC-Vila Nova FC | 1 | 3 | 1.1 | +1.9On expectation | 42 | 0.0 | +1.9 | 1:2 vs Chapecoense (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Chapecoense (1.9) |
14 | SC-Criciuma | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | +1.8On expectation | 37 | 0.0 | +1.8 | 2:3 vs Chapecoense (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Chapecoense (1.8) |
15 | PR-Guarani | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | +1.8On expectation | 34 | 0.0 | +1.8 | 0:1 vs Operario (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Operario (1.8) |
16 | PR-Bahia | 1 | 3 | 1.3 | +1.7On expectation | 30 | 0.0 | +1.7 | 0:1 vs Operario (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Operario (1.7) |
17 | PR-Vasco | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6On expectation | 28 | 0.0 | +1.6 | 2:3 vs Operario (+1.6) | 2:3 vs Operario (1.6) |
18 | SC-Cruzeiro | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6On expectation | 27 | 0.0 | +1.6 | 0:2 vs Chapecoense (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Chapecoense (1.6) |
19 | PR-Gremio | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | +1.4On expectation | 26 | 0.0 | +1.4 | 0:1 vs Operario (+1.4) | 0:1 vs Operario (1.4) |
20 | PR-Cruzeiro | 1 | 3 | 1.8 | +1.3On expectation | 24 | 0.0 | +1.3 | 1:2 vs Operario (+1.2) | 1:2 vs Operario (1.2) |
21 | PR-Novorizontino | 1 | 3 | 2.2 | +0.8On expectation | 23 | 0.0 | +0.8 | 0:3 vs Operario (+0.8) | 0:3 vs Operario (0.8) |
22 | Guarani | 36 | 47 | 46.8 | +0.3On expectation | 11 | +3.4 | -3.2 | 0:1 vs Cruzeiro (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Operario-PR (-1.7) |
23 | CRB | 36 | 44 | 44.0 | +0.1On expectation | 15 | +4.1 | -4.1 | 0:1 vs Sport Recife (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Nautico (-1.8) |
24 | Sport Recife | 36 | 53 | 53.0 | +0.0On expectation | 5 | +11.1 | -11.1 | 0:1 vs Brusque (+1.8) | 0:1 vs CRB (-1.7) |
25 | PR-Tombense | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.0On expectation | 53 | 0.0 | -0.0 | 0:0 vs Operario (+-0.0) | 0:0 vs Operario (-0.0) |
26 | SC-Guarani | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 51 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (+-0.1) | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (-0.1) |
27 | PR-Brusque | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 46 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0:0 vs Operario (+-0.1) | 0:0 vs Operario (-0.1) |
28 | SC-Novorizontino | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 43 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 2:2 vs Chapecoense (+-0.1) | 2:2 vs Chapecoense (-0.1) |
29 | PR-Sampaio Correa | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2On expectation | 39 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 1:1 vs Operario (+-0.2) | 1:1 vs Operario (-0.2) |
30 | PR-Vila Nova FC | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2On expectation | 38 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 1:1 vs Operario (+-0.2) | 1:1 vs Operario (-0.2) |
31 | PR-CSA | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2On expectation | 36 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 0:0 vs Operario (+-0.2) | 0:0 vs Operario (-0.2) |
32 | SC-Ituano | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2On expectation | 35 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (+-0.2) | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (-0.2) |
33 | SC-Vasco | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3On expectation | 33 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (+-0.2) | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (-0.2) |
34 | SC-Nautico | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | -0.3On expectation | 58 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (+-0.3) | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (-0.3) |
35 | PR-Sport Recife | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3On expectation | 31 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 0:0 vs Operario (+-0.3) | 0:0 vs Operario (-0.3) |
36 | SC-Gremio | 1 | 1 | 1.7 | -0.7On expectation | 25 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (+-0.7) | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (-0.7) |
37 | SC-Tombense | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 57 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 3:2 vs Chapecoense (+-0.7) | 3:2 vs Chapecoense (-0.7) |
38 | SC-Sampaio Correa | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 56 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 3:1 vs Chapecoense (+-0.9) | 3:1 vs Chapecoense (-0.9) |
39 | SC-CSA | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 52 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (+-1.0) | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (-1.0) |
40 | PR-Criciuma | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 50 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 2:0 vs Operario (+-1.1) | 2:0 vs Operario (-1.1) |
41 | PR-Ponte Preta | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 48 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 2:0 vs Operario (+-1.1) | 2:0 vs Operario (-1.1) |
42 | SC-Ponte Preta | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 49 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 3:0 vs Chapecoense (+-1.1) | 3:0 vs Chapecoense (-1.1) |
43 | PR-Nautico | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 44 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 1:0 vs Operario (+-1.1) | 1:0 vs Operario (-1.1) |
44 | SC-Brusque | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 41 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (+-1.2) | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (-1.2) |
45 | SC-Bahia | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 40 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 3:1 vs Chapecoense (+-1.2) | 3:1 vs Chapecoense (-1.2) |
46 | Bahia | 36 | 59 | 60.3 | -1.3On expectation | 3 | +3.4 | -4.7 | 0:2 vs Guarani (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Chapecoense-SC (-2.0) |
47 | PR-Londrina | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3On expectation | 32 | 0.0 | -1.3 | 1:0 vs Operario (+-1.3) | 1:0 vs Operario (-1.3) |
48 | PR-Ituano | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4On expectation | 29 | 0.0 | -1.4 | 3:2 vs Operario (+-1.4) | 3:2 vs Operario (-1.4) |
49 | Chapecoense-SC | 20 | 19 | 20.7 | -1.7On expectation | 21 | -0.9 | -0.8 | 0:1 vs Gremio (+2.5) | 2:1 vs Operario-PR (-1.3) |
50 | Vila Nova FC | 36 | 43 | 45.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 12 | +0.2 | -2.9 | 0:1 vs Brusque (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Brusque (-1.7) |
51 | Chapecoense | 18 | 26 | 28.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 19 | -2.8 | 0.0 | 1:0 vs SC-Brusque (+1.5) | 0:3 vs SC-Londrina (-1.7) |
52 | Operario | 18 | 21 | 24.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 20 | -3.5 | 0.0 | 3:2 vs PR-Ituano (+1.7) | 2:3 vs PR-CRB (-1.6) |
53 | Operario-PR | 20 | 13 | 17.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 22 | +1.6 | -5.8 | 0:3 vs Guarani (+2.0) | 2:0 vs Nautico (-1.1) |
54 | Gremio | 36 | 61 | 68.0 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 1 | +3.6 | -10.6 | 1:2 vs Guarani (+1.3) | 0:1 vs Chapecoense-SC (-2.3) |
55 | CSA | 36 | 41 | 49.5 | -8.5Underperforming −− | 7 | -2.8 | -5.7 | 1:2 vs Vila Nova FC (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Londrina (-1.9) |
56 | Novorizontino | 36 | 40 | 48.6 | -8.6Underperforming −− | 8 | -0.9 | -7.7 | 0:1 vs Bahia (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Tombense (-1.8) |
57 | Nautico | 36 | 30 | 40.2 | -10.2Underperforming −− | 17 | -3.8 | -6.4 | 1:2 vs Brusque (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Chapecoense-SC (-1.6) |
58 | Brusque | 36 | 33 | 47.0 | -14.0Underperforming −− | 10 | -5.8 | -8.2 | 0:1 vs Criciuma (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Nautico (-1.8) |
