Serie Bhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Juventude | 36 | 61 | 49.6 | +11.3Outperforming ++ | 6 | +10.0 | +1.4 | 0:1 vs Confianca (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Brasil de Pelotas (-1.9) |
2 | Sampaio Correa | 36 | 56 | 46.4 | +9.6Outperforming ++ | 13 | +2.2 | +7.5 | 1:2 vs Cruzeiro (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Brasil de Pelotas (-1.9) |
3 | Brasil de Pelotas | 36 | 48 | 39.4 | +8.6Outperforming ++ | 17 | +5.9 | +2.7 | 1:2 vs Juventude (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Vitoria (-1.8) |
4 | CSA | 36 | 57 | 49.0 | +8.0Outperforming ++ | 8 | +10.3 | -2.3 | 3:1 vs Cruzeiro (+2.1) | 2:0 vs Parana (-1.3) |
5 | Chapecoense | 18 | 39 | 31.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 19 | +7.5 | 0.0 | 1:0 vs SC-Botafogo SP (+1.5) | 0:1 vs SC-Cruzeiro (-1.5) |
6 | Avai | 36 | 54 | 46.9 | +7.1Outperforming ++ | 11 | +1.9 | +5.2 | 0:1 vs Cruzeiro (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Oeste (-1.9) |
7 | Chapecoense-SC | 20 | 34 | 27.5 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 20 | +1.2 | +5.3 | 0:1 vs Cruzeiro (+2.1) | 3:0 vs Botafogo SP (-1.6) |
8 | Operario | 18 | 33 | 26.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 21 | +6.3 | 0.0 | 1:0 vs PR-Ponte Preta (+1.7) | 1:2 vs PR-Guarani (-1.5) |
9 | Cuiaba | 36 | 60 | 54.6 | +5.4Outperforming ++ | 4 | +8.3 | -2.9 | 0:1 vs America MG (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Sampaio Correa (-1.8) |
10 | America MG | 36 | 69 | 65.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 1 | +0.4 | +3.3 | 1:2 vs Cruzeiro (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Sampaio Correa (-1.9) |
11 | CRB | 36 | 52 | 49.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 7 | +9.0 | -6.0 | 1:2 vs Botafogo SP (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Parana (-1.6) |
12 | PR-Guarani | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | +1.8On expectation | 38 | 0.0 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs Operario (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Operario (1.8) |
13 | SC-Cruzeiro | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | +1.8On expectation | 35 | 0.0 | +1.8 | 0:1 vs Chapecoense (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Chapecoense (1.8) |
14 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 57 | 55.3 | +1.7On expectation | 3 | +2.4 | -0.7 | 1:2 vs Confianca (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Avai (-1.8) |
15 | PR-America MG | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | +1.4On expectation | 24 | 0.0 | +1.4 | 0:1 vs Operario (+1.4) | 0:1 vs Operario (1.4) |
16 | PR-Cruzeiro | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | +1.4On expectation | 23 | 0.0 | +1.4 | 0:1 vs Operario (+1.4) | 0:1 vs Operario (1.4) |
17 | Operario-PR | 20 | 24 | 22.8 | +1.2On expectation | 22 | +1.9 | -0.7 | 1:2 vs Confianca (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Juventude (-1.2) |
18 | SC-Oeste | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +0.4On expectation | 58 | 0.0 | +0.4 | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (+0.4) | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (0.4) |
19 | SC-Brasil de Pelotas | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2On expectation | 54 | 0.0 | +0.2 | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (+0.2) | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (0.2) |
20 | SC-Nautico | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2On expectation | 53 | 0.0 | +0.2 | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (+0.2) | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (0.2) |
21 | SC-CSA | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +0.1On expectation | 49 | 0.0 | +0.1 | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (+0.1) | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (0.1) |
22 | SC-Vitoria | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 40 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (+-0.1) | 1:1 vs Chapecoense (-0.1) |
23 | PR-Confianca | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 39 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 1:1 vs Operario (+-0.1) | 1:1 vs Operario (-0.1) |
24 | PR-Avai | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2On expectation | 33 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 1:1 vs Operario (+-0.2) | 1:1 vs Operario (-0.2) |
25 | PR-Vitoria | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3On expectation | 30 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 1:1 vs Operario (+-0.3) | 1:1 vs Operario (-0.3) |
26 | PR-Sampaio Correa | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3On expectation | 29 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 1:1 vs Operario (+-0.3) | 1:1 vs Operario (-0.3) |
27 | PR-Botafogo SP | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3On expectation | 28 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 0:0 vs Operario (+-0.3) | 0:0 vs Operario (-0.3) |
28 | SC-America MG | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4On expectation | 27 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (+-0.4) | 0:0 vs Chapecoense (-0.4) |
29 | PR-Cuiaba | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4On expectation | 25 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 1:1 vs Operario (+-0.4) | 1:1 vs Operario (-0.4) |
30 | SC-Sampaio Correa | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6On expectation | 57 | 0.0 | -0.6 | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (+-0.6) | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (-0.6) |
31 | SC-Confianca | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 56 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 3:1 vs Chapecoense (+-0.7) | 3:1 vs Chapecoense (-0.7) |
32 | PR-CSA | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 55 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 3:0 vs Operario (+-0.8) | 3:0 vs Operario (-0.8) |
33 | PR-Brasil de Pelotas | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 52 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 2:1 vs Operario (+-0.8) | 2:1 vs Operario (-0.8) |
34 | SC-CRB | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 51 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 3:2 vs Chapecoense (+-0.9) | 3:2 vs Chapecoense (-0.9) |
35 | SC-Cuiaba | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 50 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (+-0.9) | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (-0.9) |
36 | PR-Oeste | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 47 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 2:0 vs Operario (+-0.9) | 2:0 vs Operario (-0.9) |
37 | SC-Parana | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 48 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 2:0 vs Chapecoense (+-0.9) | 2:0 vs Chapecoense (-0.9) |
38 | SC-Figueirense | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 46 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 2:1 vs Chapecoense (+-0.9) | 2:1 vs Chapecoense (-0.9) |
39 | PR-Nautico | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 45 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 3:1 vs Operario (+-1.0) | 3:1 vs Operario (-1.0) |
40 | SC-Juventude | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 44 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (+-1.0) | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (-1.0) |
41 | SC-Ponte Preta | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 43 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (+-1.1) | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (-1.1) |
42 | SC-Guarani | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 42 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 2:0 vs Chapecoense (+-1.1) | 2:0 vs Chapecoense (-1.1) |
43 | PR-CRB | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 41 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 3:2 vs Operario (+-1.1) | 3:2 vs Operario (-1.1) |
44 | SC-Botafogo SP | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 36 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (+-1.2) | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (-1.2) |
45 | PR-Parana | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 37 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 1:0 vs Operario (+-1.2) | 1:0 vs Operario (-1.2) |
46 | SC-Avai | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 34 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (+-1.2) | 1:0 vs Chapecoense (-1.2) |
47 | PR-Figueirense | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 32 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 3:1 vs Operario (+-1.2) | 3:1 vs Operario (-1.2) |
48 | PR-Juventude | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 31 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 3:0 vs Operario (+-1.2) | 3:0 vs Operario (-1.2) |
49 | PR-Ponte Preta | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4On expectation | 26 | 0.0 | -1.4 | 1:0 vs Operario (+-1.4) | 1:0 vs Operario (-1.4) |
50 | Nautico | 36 | 43 | 45.0 | -2.0On expectation | 15 | +5.6 | -7.6 | 1:2 vs Guarani (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Confianca (-1.6) |
51 | Figueirense | 36 | 39 | 41.0 | -2.0Underperforming | 16 | +0.9 | -3.0 | 0:1 vs America MG (+2.2) | 2:7 vs Ponte Preta (-1.5) |
52 | Confianca | 36 | 45 | 47.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 10 | -0.9 | -1.2 | 1:2 vs Cruzeiro (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Juventude (-1.7) |
53 | Guarani | 36 | 45 | 47.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 9 | +0.8 | -3.7 | 1:0 vs Cuiaba (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Nautico (-1.8) |
54 | Vitoria | 36 | 46 | 50.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 5 | -1.0 | -3.9 | 0:1 vs Brasil de Pelotas (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Avai (-1.8) |
55 | Oeste | 36 | 28 | 36.4 | -8.4Underperforming −− | 18 | -4.0 | -4.4 | 0:1 vs Cruzeiro (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Juventude (-1.4) |
56 | Parana | 36 | 37 | 46.5 | -9.5Underperforming −− | 12 | -2.6 | -6.9 | 0:2 vs CRB (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Oeste (-1.7) |
57 | Cruzeiro | 36 | 49 | 61.1 | -12.1Underperforming −− | 2 | -9.5 | -2.5 | 1:2 vs America MG (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Oeste (-2.1) |
58 | Botafogo SP | 36 | 33 | 45.3 | -12.3Underperforming −− | 14 | -4.5 | -7.9 | 0:1 vs Avai (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Brasil de Pelotas (-1.9) |
