Premier League 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Al Naser | 5 | 9 | 5.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 6 | +2.4 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs Al Salmiya (+1.9) | 3:0 vs Al Qadisiya (-0.8) |
2 | Al Shabab | 4 | 7 | 4.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 9 | +0.7 | +2.0 | 0:2 vs Al Salmiya (+2.3) | 2:3 vs Kazma SC (-0.8) |
3 | Al Qadisiya | 5 | 12 | 9.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 1 | -0.1 | +2.3 | 3:0 vs Al Naser (+1.0) | 0:1 vs Al Kuwait (-1.1) |
4 | Al Kuwait | 4 | 10 | 8.0 | +2.0Outperforming | 2 | -0.3 | +2.3 | 0:1 vs Al Qadisiya (+1.4) | 3:3 vs Al Arabi (-0.7) |
5 | Al Jahra | 4 | 4 | 3.0 | +1.0On expectation | 13 | +2.6 | -1.6 | 2:1 vs Al Arabi (+2.6) | 3:2 vs Al Shabab (-1.2) |
6 | Kazma SC | 4 | 8 | 7.1 | +0.9On expectation | 5 | -1.3 | +2.1 | 1:3 vs Al Tadamon (+1.1) | 0:0 vs Al Sahel (-0.9) |
7 | Al Fahaheel | 4 | 6 | 5.3 | +0.7On expectation | 7 | +0.6 | +0.1 | 0:4 vs Al Sahel (+1.4) | 2:1 vs Al Naser (-1.3) |
8 | Al Sahel | 4 | 4 | 4.2 | -0.2On expectation | 10 | +0.4 | -0.6 | 1:0 vs Al Sulaibikhat (+1.5) | 0:4 vs Al Fahaheel (-1.1) |
9 | Al-Fahaheel | 3 | 3 | 3.6 | -0.6On expectation | 12 | +0.6 | -1.3 | 4:1 vs Al Tadamon (+1.2) | 2:1 vs Al Naser (-1.3) |
10 | Al Salmiya | 4 | 6 | 7.5 | -1.5On expectation | 3 | -2.6 | +1.1 | 0:2 vs Al Tadamon (+1.1) | 0:2 vs Al Shabab (-2.1) |
11 | Al Sulaibikhat | 4 | 3 | 4.6 | -1.6On expectation | 8 | -1.0 | -0.6 | 3:3 vs Al Arabi (+0.6) | 1:0 vs Al Sahel (-1.2) |
12 | Al Tadamon | 5 | 0 | 4.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 11 | -2.1 | -2.0 | 0:2 vs Al Qadisiya (+-0.5) | 4:1 vs Al-Fahaheel (-1.0) |
13 | Al Arabi | 4 | 3 | 7.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 4 | -1.5 | -2.9 | 3:3 vs Al Kuwait (+-0.1) | 2:1 vs Al Jahra (-2.4) |
