The season in numbers
Blindly backing over 2.5 goals in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Al Arabi produced performances worth 4 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 33.1' on average.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 11 SeptWe simulate the remaining Premier League schedule 10,000 times a day. Al Kuwait win the 2026-2027 title in 87% of them, projecting ~51 points — the race is close to decided. At the other end, Al Tadamon finish in the bottom three in 81% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Kuwait | 7 | 51 | 45–57 | 87% | >99% | — |
| 2 |  Al Qadisiya | 6 | 42 | 35–48 | 8% | 90% | <1% |
| 3 |  Al Arabi | 2 | 39 | 32–45 | 3% | 79% | <1% |
| 4 |  Al Salmiya | 6 | 35 | 28–42 | 1% | 52% | <1% |
| 5 | Kazma SC | 7 | 35 | 28–41 | <1% | 47% | <1% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 10 |  Al Jahra | 3 | 19 | 13–26 | — | <1% | 72% |
| 11 |  Al Shabab | 4 | 18 | 12–24 | — | <1% | 80% |
| 12 |  Al Tadamon | 0 | 18 | 11–24 | — | <1% | 81% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 114 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
</> Embed this table on your site</> Embed this table — free, updates hourly, keep the credit link
<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/kuwait/premier-league/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Premier League live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/kuwait/premier-league">Premier League stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Premier League match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kazma SC | 7 | 5.8 | +1.2 | |
| 2 | Al Kuwait | 7 | 5.9 | +1.1 | |
| 3 | Al Qadisiya | 6 | 5.3 | +0.7 | |
| 4 | Al Salmiya | 6 | 5.4 | +0.6 | |
| 5 |  Al Naser | 6 | 3.4 | +2.6 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 10 | Al Arabi | 2 | 6.0 | -4.0 | |
| 11 | Al Sulaibikhat | 2 | 3.0 | -1.0 | |
| 12 | Al Tadamon | 0 | 2.7 | -2.7 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+