Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 3 OctThe season in numbers
Over 2.5 goals paid out more than the market charged: +17.5% at market prices across 21 matches. The other 6 markets returned less than they cost — the bookmaker margin at work.
Al Arabi produced performances worth 4 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 29.6' on average.
Add Premier League fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 3 OctWe simulate the remaining Premier League schedule 10,000 times a day. Al Kuwait win the 2026-2027 title in 86% of them, projecting ~51 points — the race is close to decided. At the other end, Al Tadamon finish in the bottom three in 82% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Kuwait | 7 | 51 | 45–57 | 86% | >99% | — |
| 2 |  Al Qadisiya | 6 | 42 | 35–48 | 8% | 90% | <1% |
| 3 |  Al Arabi | 2 | 39 | 32–45 | 3% | 79% | <1% |
| 4 |  Al Salmiya | 6 | 35 | 28–42 | <1% | 53% | <1% |
| 5 | Kazma SC | 7 | 34 | 27–41 | <1% | 46% | <1% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 10 |  Al Jahra | 3 | 19 | 13–25 | — | <1% | 72% |
| 11 |  Al Shabab | 4 | 18 | 12–24 | — | <1% | 80% |
| 12 |  Al Tadamon | 0 | 18 | 11–24 | — | <1% | 82% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 114 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
</> Embed this table on your site</> Embed this table — free, updates hourly, keep the credit link
<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/kuwait/premier-league/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Premier League live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/kuwait/premier-league">Premier League stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every Premier League match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Qadisiya | 9 | 7.4 | +1.6 | |
| 2 |  Al Naser | 9 | 4.8 | +4.2 | |
| 3 | Kazma SC | 7 | 5.8 | +1.2 | |
| 4 | Al Kuwait | 7 | 5.9 | +1.1 | |
| 5 | Al Salmiya | 6 | 5.5 | +0.5 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 11 | Al Arabi | 2 | 6.0 | -4.0 | |
| 12 | Al Sulaibikhat | 2 | 3.0 | -1.0 | |
| 13 | Al Tadamon | 0 | 3.6 | -3.6 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+