Premier League 2024-2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Al Arabi | 17 | 42 | 33.3 | +8.7Outperforming ++ | 2 | +4.7 | +3.9 | 2:1 vs Al Qadisiya (+1.5) | 0:0 vs Khaitan (-1.4) |
2 | Al Kuwait | 17 | 44 | 38.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 1 | +6.1 | -0.8 | 1:0 vs Al Qadisiya (+1.3) | 2:1 vs Al Qadisiya (-1.9) |
3 | Al Salmiya | 17 | 28 | 23.0 | +5.0Outperforming ++ | 5 | +2.0 | +3.0 | 0:1 vs Al Qadisiya (+2.1) | 4:3 vs Kazma SC (-1.2) |
4 | Al | 9 | 16 | 12.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 10 | +4.0 | 0.0 | 4:0 vs Fahaheel-Kazma SC (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Fahaheel-Al Qadisiya (-1.1) |
5 | Al Qadisiya | 17 | 32 | 30.2 | +1.8On expectation | 3 | +4.7 | -3.0 | 2:1 vs Al Kuwait (+2.2) | 3:0 vs Al Naser (-2.2) |
6 | Al Tadamon | 17 | 20 | 18.5 | +1.5On expectation | 6 | +2.8 | -1.3 | 2:1 vs Kazma SC (+2.0) | 4:0 vs Kazma SC (-1.2) |
7 | Fahaheel-Al Qadisiya | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | +1.4On expectation | 14 | 0.0 | +1.4 | 1:2 vs Al (+1.4) | 1:2 vs Al (1.4) |
8 | Al-Fahaheel | 9 | 12 | 10.9 | +1.1On expectation | 11 | 0.0 | +1.1 | 1:3 vs Al Naser (+1.4) | 3:0 vs Al Arabi (-0.8) |
9 | Fahaheel-Al Arabi | 1 | 3 | 2.0 | +0.9On expectation | 13 | 0.0 | +0.9 | 1:3 vs Al (+0.9) | 1:3 vs Al (0.9) |
10 | Fahaheel-Al Kuwait | 1 | 3 | 2.2 | +0.8On expectation | 12 | 0.0 | +0.8 | 0:3 vs Al (+0.8) | 0:3 vs Al (0.8) |
11 | Fahaheel-Al Salmiya | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4On expectation | 16 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 2:2 vs Al (+-0.4) | 2:2 vs Al (-0.4) |
12 | Fahaheel-Khaitan | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 19 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 1:0 vs Al (+-1.0) | 1:0 vs Al (-1.0) |
13 | Fahaheel-Al Naser | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 20 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 3:1 vs Al (+-0.9) | 3:1 vs Al (-0.9) |
14 | Fahaheel-Al Tadamon | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 18 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 2:0 vs Al (+-1.0) | 2:0 vs Al (-1.0) |
15 | Fahaheel-Yarmouk | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 17 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 4:1 vs Al (+-1.0) | 4:1 vs Al (-1.0) |
16 | Fahaheel-Kazma SC | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5On expectation | 15 | 0.0 | -1.5 | 4:0 vs Al (+-1.5) | 4:0 vs Al (-1.5) |
17 | Khaitan | 17 | 11 | 13.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 9 | -0.5 | -2.1 | 1:0 vs Kazma SC (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Al Tadamon (-1.2) |
18 | Al Naser | 17 | 12 | 17.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 7 | -4.2 | -0.9 | 3:0 vs Al Qadisiya (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Khaitan (-1.7) |
19 | Kazma SC | 17 | 19 | 24.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 4 | +1.5 | -7.0 | 4:0 vs Al Tadamon (+1.5) | 1:0 vs Khaitan (-1.8) |
20 | Yarmouk | 17 | 6 | 14.9 | -8.9Underperforming −− | 8 | -5.2 | -3.7 | 2:2 vs Al Qadisiya (+0.4) | 0:4 vs Al Naser (-1.1) |
