Premier League 2020-2021 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Al Naser | 14 | 32 | 22.8 | +9.2Outperforming ++ | 3 | +4.6 | +4.7 | 2:1 vs Al Shabab (+1.7) | 2:1 vs Burgan (-1.7) |
2 | Kazma SC | 13 | 28 | 21.9 | +6.1Outperforming ++ | 6 | +2.8 | +3.3 | 0:1 vs Al Arabi (+1.4) | 1:1 vs Burgan (-1.1) |
3 | Al Salmiya | 13 | 28 | 22.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 5 | +0.3 | +5.5 | 0:1 vs Al Qadisiya (+2.3) | 2:2 vs Khaitan (-1.4) |
4 | Khaitan | 14 | 18 | 13.9 | +4.0Outperforming | 12 | +0.8 | +3.3 | 1:2 vs Al Tadamon (+2.0) | 3:0 vs Al Sahel (-1.3) |
5 | Al Shabab | 13 | 19 | 15.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 8 | +0.1 | +3.4 | 1:2 vs Al Tadamon (+1.7) | 2:1 vs Al Naser (-1.3) |
6 | Al Qadisiya | 14 | 32 | 28.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 2 | +3.6 | -0.4 | 1:2 vs Al Kuwait (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Al Salmiya (-2.0) |
7 | Al | 8 | 12 | 9.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 15 | +2.9 | 0.0 | 1:0 vs Fahaheel-Kazma SC (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Fahaheel-Al Shabab (-1.3) |
8 | Burgan | 13 | 16 | 14.1 | +1.9On expectation | 11 | -3.6 | +5.6 | 0:1 vs Al Arabi (+2.7) | 0:1 vs Al Shabab (-1.4) |
9 | Al Sahel | 14 | 17 | 15.3 | +1.7On expectation | 9 | -2.1 | +3.9 | 1:3 vs Yarmouk (+1.7) | 2:0 vs Al Jahra (-1.6) |
10 | Fahaheel-Al Shabab | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6On expectation | 21 | 0.0 | +1.6 | 0:2 vs Al (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Al (1.6) |
11 | Fahaheel-Al Jahra | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5On expectation | 20 | 0.0 | +1.5 | 1:2 vs Al (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Al (1.5) |
12 | Al-Fahaheel | 6 | 6 | 6.2 | -0.2On expectation | 16 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 0:2 vs Yarmouk (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Khaitan (-1.7) |
13 | Fahaheel-Burgan | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3On expectation | 24 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 1:1 vs Al (+-0.3) | 1:1 vs Al (-0.3) |
14 | Fahaheel-Al Salmiya | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3On expectation | 22 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 0:0 vs Al (+-0.3) | 0:0 vs Al (-0.3) |
15 | Fahaheel-Al Arabi | 1 | 1 | 2.1 | -1.1On expectation | 18 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 1:1 vs Al (+-1.1) | 1:1 vs Al (-1.1) |
16 | Fahaheel-Al Sulaibikhat | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3On expectation | 23 | 0.0 | -1.3 | 2:0 vs Al (+-1.3) | 2:0 vs Al (-1.3) |
17 | Al Arabi | 13 | 21 | 22.4 | -1.4On expectation | 4 | -2.7 | +1.3 | 1:3 vs Al Kuwait (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Burgan (-2.6) |
18 | Fahaheel-Al Tadamon | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5On expectation | 19 | 0.0 | -1.5 | 2:1 vs Al (+-1.5) | 2:1 vs Al (-1.5) |
19 | Fahaheel-Kazma SC | 1 | 0 | 2.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 17 | 0.0 | -2.1 | 1:0 vs Al (+-2.1) | 1:0 vs Al (-2.1) |
20 | Yarmouk | 14 | 8 | 13.2 | -5.2Underperforming −− | 13 | -6.3 | +1.1 | 2:5 vs Al Shabab (+1.7) | 1:3 vs Al Sahel (-1.5) |
21 | Al Sulaibikhat | 13 | 5 | 11.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 14 | -6.0 | +0.1 | 1:2 vs Al Tadamon (+2.2) | 0:6 vs Al Naser (-1.3) |
22 | Al Jahra | 13 | 8 | 14.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 10 | -2.3 | -3.9 | 2:0 vs Al Sahel (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Khaitan (-1.6) |
23 | Al Kuwait | 14 | 24 | 30.6 | -6.6Underperforming −− | 1 | -6.3 | -0.3 | 2:3 vs Al Jahra (+0.8) | 1:3 vs Al Arabi (-2.0) |
24 | Al Tadamon | 13 | 8 | 15.7 | -7.7Underperforming −− | 7 | -7.5 | -0.2 | 1:3 vs Yarmouk (+1.4) | 1:2 vs Al Sulaibikhat (-1.9) |
