Premier League 2023-2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Al Arabi | 17 | 39 | 32.0 | +7.0Outperforming ++ | 2 | +7.4 | -0.4 | 3:0 vs Al Kuwait (+1.9) | 3:1 vs Al Naser (-1.8) |
2 | Al Kuwait | 17 | 42 | 36.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 1 | +5.3 | +0.8 | 2:1 vs Al Arabi (+1.4) | 3:0 vs Al Arabi (-1.6) |
3 | Al Qadisiya | 17 | 36 | 30.1 | +5.9Outperforming ++ | 3 | +0.2 | +5.7 | 0:2 vs Kazma SC (+1.5) | 1:1 vs Khaitan (-1.1) |
4 | Al | 9 | 14 | 11.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 10 | +2.9 | 0.0 | 4:2 vs Fahaheel-Al Naser (+1.9) | 3:4 vs Fahaheel-Kazma SC (-1.0) |
5 | Al Naser | 17 | 24 | 22.7 | +1.3On expectation | 6 | -1.0 | +2.3 | 3:1 vs Al Arabi (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Al-Fahaheel (-1.6) |
6 | Fahaheel-Kazma SC | 1 | 3 | 1.8 | +1.2On expectation | 15 | 0.0 | +1.2 | 3:4 vs Al (+1.2) | 3:4 vs Al (1.2) |
7 | Fahaheel-Al Qadisiya | 1 | 3 | 1.9 | +1.1On expectation | 14 | 0.0 | +1.1 | 0:3 vs Al (+1.1) | 0:3 vs Al (1.1) |
8 | Fahaheel-Al Arabi | 1 | 3 | 2.0 | +1.0On expectation | 13 | 0.0 | +1.0 | 1:2 vs Al (+1.0) | 1:2 vs Al (1.0) |
9 | Al-Fahaheel | 9 | 9 | 8.8 | +0.2On expectation | 11 | 0.0 | +0.2 | 1:2 vs Al Naser (+1.9) | 3:0 vs Khaitan (-1.6) |
10 | Al Salmiya | 17 | 24 | 24.0 | +0.0On expectation | 4 | +0.5 | -0.4 | 1:2 vs Al Shabab (+1.4) | 1:2 vs Kazma SC (-1.4) |
11 | Fahaheel-Al Shabab | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.0On expectation | 18 | 0.0 | -0.0 | 1:1 vs Al (+-0.0) | 1:1 vs Al (-0.0) |
12 | Fahaheel-Khaitan | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 20 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 1:0 vs Al (+-1.0) | 1:0 vs Al (-1.0) |
13 | Fahaheel-Al Jahra | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 19 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 2:0 vs Al (+-1.0) | 2:0 vs Al (-1.0) |
14 | Fahaheel-Al Kuwait | 1 | 1 | 2.2 | -1.2On expectation | 12 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 1:1 vs Al (+-1.2) | 1:1 vs Al (-1.2) |
15 | Fahaheel-Al Salmiya | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 17 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 4:1 vs Al (+-1.2) | 4:1 vs Al (-1.2) |
16 | Fahaheel-Al Naser | 1 | 0 | 1.7 | -1.7On expectation | 16 | 0.0 | -1.7 | 4:2 vs Al (+-1.7) | 4:2 vs Al (-1.7) |
17 | Khaitan | 17 | 12 | 14.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 9 | -3.2 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs Al Shabab (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Al Jahra (-1.3) |
18 | Al Shabab | 17 | 13 | 17.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 7 | -3.1 | -1.8 | 1:2 vs Kazma SC (+2.2) | 5:0 vs Al Jahra (-2.0) |
19 | Kazma SC | 17 | 17 | 23.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 5 | -7.1 | +0.2 | 1:2 vs Al Salmiya (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Al Shabab (-2.0) |
20 | Al Jahra | 17 | 8 | 15.1 | -7.1Underperforming −− | 8 | -1.6 | -5.5 | 5:0 vs Al Shabab (+2.2) | 2:0 vs Al Shabab (-1.2) |
