Premier League 2022-2023 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Al | 9 | 13 | 10.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 10 | +2.8 | 0.0 | 3:2 vs Fahaheel-Al Salmiya (+2.0) | 1:4 vs Fahaheel-Al Jahra (-1.6) |
2 | Al Jahra | 17 | 20 | 17.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 7 | -0.8 | +3.1 | 0:1 vs Al Kuwait (+2.6) | 0:3 vs Al Tadamon (-1.5) |
3 | Fahaheel-Al Jahra | 1 | 3 | 1.1 | +1.9On expectation | 20 | 0.0 | +1.9 | 1:4 vs Al (+1.9) | 1:4 vs Al (1.9) |
4 | Al-Fahaheel | 9 | 11 | 9.3 | +1.7On expectation | 11 | 0.0 | +1.7 | 1:3 vs Al Naser (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Al Arabi (-0.9) |
5 | Al Naser | 17 | 21 | 19.7 | +1.3On expectation | 6 | -1.3 | +2.6 | 4:1 vs Kazma SC (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Al-Fahaheel (-1.8) |
6 | Fahaheel-Al Arabi | 1 | 3 | 1.8 | +1.2On expectation | 15 | 0.0 | +1.2 | 1:3 vs Al (+1.2) | 1:3 vs Al (1.2) |
7 | Fahaheel-Kazma SC | 1 | 3 | 1.8 | +1.2On expectation | 14 | 0.0 | +1.2 | 0:1 vs Al (+1.2) | 0:1 vs Al (1.2) |
8 | Fahaheel-Al Qadisiya | 1 | 3 | 2.4 | +0.6On expectation | 12 | 0.0 | +0.6 | 0:1 vs Al (+0.6) | 0:1 vs Al (0.6) |
9 | Al Tadamon | 17 | 16 | 15.5 | +0.5On expectation | 9 | -0.6 | +1.1 | 1:0 vs Al Salmiya (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Al Sahel (-1.3) |
10 | Al Kuwait | 17 | 34 | 34.3 | -0.3On expectation | 1 | +0.8 | -1.1 | 1:0 vs Kazma SC (+1.2) | 0:1 vs Al Jahra (-2.4) |
11 | Fahaheel-Al Kuwait | 1 | 1 | 2.1 | -1.1On expectation | 13 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 3:3 vs Al (+-1.1) | 3:3 vs Al (-1.1) |
12 | Fahaheel-Al Sahel | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 19 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 2:0 vs Al (+-1.1) | 2:0 vs Al (-1.1) |
13 | Fahaheel-Al Tadamon | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 18 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 2:0 vs Al (+-1.2) | 2:0 vs Al (-1.2) |
14 | Al Salmiya | 17 | 23 | 24.4 | -1.4On expectation | 5 | +0.3 | -1.6 | 0:3 vs Al Naser (+1.4) | 1:0 vs Al Tadamon (-1.8) |
15 | Fahaheel-Al Naser | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4On expectation | 17 | 0.0 | -1.4 | 4:1 vs Al (+-1.4) | 4:1 vs Al (-1.4) |
16 | Kazma SC | 17 | 26 | 27.6 | -1.6On expectation | 4 | +1.7 | -3.3 | 0:2 vs Al Arabi (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Al Jahra (-2.0) |
17 | Fahaheel-Al Salmiya | 1 | 0 | 1.7 | -1.7On expectation | 16 | 0.0 | -1.7 | 3:2 vs Al (+-1.7) | 3:2 vs Al (-1.7) |
18 | Al Sahel | 17 | 14 | 16.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 8 | -1.3 | -1.2 | 1:4 vs Al Qadisiya (+2.3) | 2:3 vs Al-Fahaheel (-1.4) |
19 | Al Qadisiya | 17 | 26 | 28.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 3 | -0.9 | -2.0 | 2:1 vs Al Arabi (+1.6) | 1:4 vs Al Sahel (-2.0) |
20 | Al Arabi | 17 | 25 | 29.1 | -4.0Underperforming | 2 | -0.3 | -3.8 | 2:3 vs Kazma SC (+1.6) | 2:1 vs Al Jahra (-2.1) |
