Premier League 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Al Salmiya | 22 | 36 | 31.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 4 | +3.7 | +1.1 | 1:0 vs Al Arabi (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Al-Fahaheel (-1.7) |
2 | Kazma SC | 21 | 35 | 31.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 5 | -0.9 | +4.9 | 1:2 vs Al Qadisiya (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Al Tadamon (-2.0) |
3 | Al Kuwait | 21 | 49 | 45.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 1 | +4.6 | -1.5 | 3:2 vs Al Arabi (+1.4) | 1:1 vs Al Naser (-1.3) |
4 | Al Shabab | 17 | 15 | 15.2 | -0.2On expectation | 9 | -1.6 | +1.4 | 0:1 vs Al-Fahaheel (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Al Tadamon (-1.4) |
5 | Al Naser | 16 | 16 | 16.8 | -0.8On expectation | 7 | -1.9 | +1.2 | 1:2 vs Al Arabi (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Al Jahra (-1.7) |
6 | Al-Fahaheel | 22 | 22 | 22.8 | -0.8On expectation | 6 | -2.1 | +1.2 | 2:3 vs Kazma SC (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Al Shabab (-1.9) |
7 | Al Tadamon | 17 | 15 | 16.2 | -1.2On expectation | 8 | -0.7 | -0.6 | 1:0 vs Kazma SC (+2.3) | 1:0 vs Al Jahra (-1.7) |
8 | Al Qadisiya | 22 | 38 | 39.4 | -1.4On expectation | 2 | +1.9 | -3.3 | 2:1 vs Al Salmiya (+1.2) | 1:2 vs Kazma SC (-2.0) |
9 | Al Arabi | 21 | 35 | 39.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 3 | -2.7 | -1.6 | 0:2 vs Kazma SC (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Al Naser (-2.4) |
10 | Al Jahra | 17 | 8 | 12.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 10 | -1.9 | -3.0 | 0:1 vs Al Naser (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Al Shabab (-1.2) |
